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  • Winter Storm Warning

    Ends in 1 day 11 h

    When
    Until 4 PM AKDT Sunday.
    Where
    Upper Kobuk Valley.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Fairbanks AK

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph.

    Impacts

    Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.

    Precautionary actions

    If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

    Areas: Upper Kobuk Valleys

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 3:50 AM AKDT at PAFM

Ambler, AK weather

Winter Storm Warning. 28°−2° and windy now.

Today: low 28°−2° (likely 27°−3° to 29°−2°), high 37°3° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°).

Forecasts differ

Now 28°−2°

Windy · Feels like 15°−10°

Feels like
15°−10°
Wind chill from 22 mph35 km/h wind · air 28°−2°
Wind
22 mph35 km/hgusts 28 mph44 km/h
From the east-southeast. 1524–25 mph40 km/h through 4 PM
Dew point
27°−3°
Dry, static shocks likely
Humidity
93%
Air 28°−2°, dew point 27°−3° · frost likely
UV tomorrow
1Low
Low all day (peak 1)
Pressure
29.82 inHg1010 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.01 inHg+0.5 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

Heavy snow now, through the next 2 hours.

  1. 12:00 AM: heavy snow
  2. 12:15 AM: heavy snow
  3. 12:30 AM: heavy snow
  4. 12:45 AM: heavy snow
  5. 1:00 AM: heavy snow
  6. 1:15 AM: heavy snow
  7. 1:30 AM: heavy snow
  8. 1:45 AM: heavy snow

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Snow until 10 AM (80%, 2–5 in5–13 cm)
  • Gusts to 40 mph64 km/h until 7 PM
  • Rain today 10 AM–tonight 4 AM (80%, 0.72 in18 mm)
  • Snow tomorrow 4–10 AM (80%, 0–3 in0–8 cm)
  • Rain tomorrow from 10 AM (100%, 1.1 in27 mm)
  1. TonightNear 32°0° · Snow all night (80%) · freezing, low 32°0° · gusts to 40 mph64 km/h
  2. This morningNear 33°1° · Snow 6–10 AM (80%) · freezing, low 32°0° · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h
  3. This afternoonNear 36°2° · Rain all afternoon (80%) · gusts to 28 mph45 km/h
  4. TonightDown to 32°0° by 11 PM · Rain 6 PM–4 AM (70%) · freezing, low 32°0° · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h
  5. Tomorrow morningNear 32°0° · Snow 6–10 AM (80%) · freezing, low 31°−1°
  6. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 38°3° by 3 PM · Rain all afternoon (90%)
  7. Tomorrow nightNear 36°2° · Rain all night (100%) · gusts to 25 mph40 km/h
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 4aSnow32°0° (likely 29°−2° to 32°0°)19°−7°80%, snow 0.6 in1.5 cm25 mph40 km/h from SE, gusts 40 mph65 km/h91%99%0
Sat 5aSnow32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 32°0°)19°−7°80%, snow 0.6 in1.5 cm25 mph40 km/h from SE, gusts 37 mph60 km/h92%100%0
Sat 6aSnow32°0° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)20°−7°80%, snow 0.6 in1.5 cm25 mph40 km/h from SE, gusts 33 mph54 km/h94%99%0
Sat 7aSnow33°1° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)22°−6°70%, snow 0.6 in1.5 cm20 mph32 km/h from E, gusts 32 mph51 km/h94%99%0
Sat 8aSnow33°1° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)22°−6°70%, snow 0.6 in1.5 cm20 mph32 km/h from E, gusts 31 mph51 km/h94%99%0
Sat 9aSnow33°1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)22°−6°70%, snow 0.6 in1.5 cm20 mph32 km/h from E, gusts 30 mph49 km/h97%99%0
Sat 10aSnow34°1° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)24°−4°70%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 29 mph46 km/h95%99%0
Sat 11aSnow34°1° (likely 29°−2° to 35°2°)24°−4°70%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 28 mph45 km/h95%99%0
Sat 12pSnow35°2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)25°−4°70%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 28 mph45 km/h94%98%0
Sat 1pSnow35°2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)26°−3°80%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h94%98%0
Sat 2pSnow36°2° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)27°−3°80%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 27 mph44 km/h92%98%0
Sat 3pSnow37°3° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)28°−2°80%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 27 mph43 km/h89%98%0
Sat 4pSnow37°3° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)28°−2°70%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h89%99%0
Sat 5pSnow37°3° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)28°−2°70%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h87%99%0
Sat 6pSnow37°3° (likely 29°−2° to 37°3°)28°−2°70%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h87%99%0
Sat 7pSnow35°2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)26°−3°50%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h89%99%0
Sat 8pSnow34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)24°−4°50%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h92%97%0
Sat 9pSnow33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°50%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h93%98%0
Sat 10pSnow33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)24°−4°50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h93%99%0
Sat 11pSnow32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph38 km/h94%96%0
Sun 12aSnow32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h94%97%0
Sun 1aSnow32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)22°−6°60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h94%98%0
Sun 2aSnow32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)22°−6°60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h94%98%0
Sun 3aSnow32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)22°−6°60%, 0.02 in0.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph41 km/h96%99%0
Sun 4aSnow32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)22°−6°80%, snow 0.2 in0.5 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h96%99%0
Sun 5aSnow32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)22°−6°80%, snow 0.2 in0.5 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 26 mph42 km/h96%99%0
Sun 6aSnow32°0° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)22°−6°80%, snow 0.2 in0.5 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h97%99%0
Sun 7aSnow32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)22°−6°80%, snow 0.2 in0.5 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph36 km/h97%99%0
Sun 8aSnow32°0° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)22°−6°80%, snow 0.2 in0.5 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h99%99%0
Sun 9aSnow31°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)20°−7°80%, snow 0.2 in0.5 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 22 mph35 km/h99%100%0
Sun 10aSnow31°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)22°−6°90%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h99%100%0
Sun 11aSnow32°0° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)23°−5°90%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h99%99%0
Sun 12pSnow33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)24°−4°90%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h99%100%0
Sun 1pSnow35°2° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)26°−3°80%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph28 km/h96%96%0
Sun 2pSnow36°2° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)28°−2°80%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph30 km/h94%98%0
Sun 3pSnow38°3° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)30°−1°80%, 0.06 in1.5 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph33 km/h92%99%1
Sun 4pSnow37°3° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)30°−1°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h89%98%0
Sun 5pSnow37°3° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)30°−1°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h87%98%0
Sun 6pSnow37°3° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)30°−1°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph33 km/h86%94%0
Sun 7pSnow37°3° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)29°−2°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h87%92%0
Sun 8pSnow36°2° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)29°−2°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h88%90%0
Sun 9pSnow36°2° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)29°−2°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph33 km/h89%95%0
Sun 10pSnow36°2° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)28°−2°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 19 mph31 km/h90%98%0
Sun 11pSnow35°2° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)27°−3°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 21 mph34 km/h91%99%0
Mon 12aSnow35°2° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)27°−3°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h92%97%0
Mon 1aSnow35°2° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)25°−4°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h93%97%0
Mon 2aSnow35°2° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)25°−4°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph40 km/h94%99%0
Mon 3aSnow35°2° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)25°−4°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 25 mph41 km/h94%99%0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Snow. High 37°3°, low 28°−2°. Snow 2–4 in5–10 cm, 80% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 33°1°

      80% chance · 2.4 in6.1 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 37°3°

      80% chance · 0.32 in8.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 34°1°

      70% chance · 0.2 in5.1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 32°0°

      80% chance · 0.4 in1 cm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 37. Southeast wind 15 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    Tonight: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Southeast wind around 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    31°−1°–38°3°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–29°−2°
    Wind
    28 mph45 km/h, gusts 49 mph79 km/h
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Snow. High 39°4°, low 35°2°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 32°0°

      90% chance · 0.8 in2 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 38°3°

      90% chance · 0.26 in6.6 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 36°2°

      100% chance · 0.26 in6.6 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 33°1°

      100% chance · 0.4 in1.1 cm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain and snow before 7am, then rain and snow between 7am and 10am, then rain and snow between 10am and 1pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Night: A chance of rain and snow before 7pm, then a chance of rain and snow between 7pm and 10pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    32°0°–39°4°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–35°2°
    Wind
    16 mph25 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 39°4°, low 36°2°. Snow 1–5 in3–13 cm, 90% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Heavy snow, 33°1°

      100% chance · 1.3 in3.3 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 34°1°

      70% chance · 0.4 in1.1 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Fog, 34°1°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 34°1°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Night: A chance of rain before 7pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 36.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    34°1°–39°4°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–36°2°
    Wind
    15 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 40°4°, low 35°2°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 35°2°

      60% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 36°2°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 35°2°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 40.

    Night: Rain likely before 10pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 35.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    35°2°–40°4°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–35°2°
    Wind
    19 mph30 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 39°4°, low 30°−1°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 80% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 33°1°

      60% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 35°2°

      70% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 34°1°

      80% chance · 0.6 in1.4 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 32°0°

      70% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain and snow before 10am, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 39.

    Night: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 30. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    34°1°–39°4°
    Low, likely
    24°−4°–34°1°
    Wind
    21 mph33 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 36°2°, low 27°−3°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 31°−1°

      40% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 30°−1°

      40% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 26°−4°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 23°−5°

      60% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 36. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Night: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 27. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    32°0°–36°2°
    Low, likely
    18°−8°–30°−1°
    Wind
    19 mph31 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 35°2°, low 21°−6°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 23°−5°

      60% chance · 0.5 in1.4 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 27°−3°

      60% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 25°−4°

      60% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 22°−6°

      50% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Snow likely before 10am, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 35. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    21°−6°–37°3°
    Low, likely
    6°−14°–32°0°
    Wind
    19 mph31 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 25°−4°, low 16°−9°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 21°−6°

      40% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 22°−6°

      40% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 18°−8°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 15°−9°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    18°−8°–36°2°
    Low, likely
    12°−11°–23°−5°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 17°−8°, low 8°−13°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 12°−11°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 16°−9°

      20% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 10°−12°

      20% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 8°−13°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    14°−10°–24°−4°
    Low, likely
    −1°−18° to 21°−6°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Snow. High 15°−9°, low 4°−16°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 9°−13°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 13°−11°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 9°−13°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    10°−12°–20°−7°
    Low, likely
    −2°−19° to 9°−13°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    81% chance of snow, high 37°, low 28°.

  2. Tomorrow

    85% chance of snow, high 39°, low 35°.

  3. Monday

    94% chance of snow, high 39°, low 36°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 15–40°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AFG) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 10:05 AM, sunset 6:24 PM.

Daylight
8 h 18 min
Losing 7 min 44 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 6 h 58 min less
Golden hour
4:51–7:00 PM
Morning 9:29–11:39 AM
Blue hour
7:00–7:22 PM
Morning 9:07–9:29 AM; first light 9:07 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 99% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 8:10 AM · rises 5:35 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking southeast from Ambler. The highest point on the skyline is about 20,900 ft, 83 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.