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Observed 4:04 PM AKDT at PAWD

Bear Creek, AK weather

Overcast and 44°7°, rain ~5–3 PM (100%).

Today: low 37°3° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°), high 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°).

Forecasts agree

Now 44°7°

Cloudy

Wind
Calm
Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point
40°4°
Comfortable
UV tomorrow
0Low
Low all day (peak 0)
Pressure
30.3 inHg1026 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.5 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

2°1° warmer than this time yesterday (42°6° then, 44°7° now)

Good hours for
  • Rain until tomorrow night 7 PM (100%, 1.4 in37 mm)
  • Low 37°3° tonight at 10 PM
  1. This afternoonNear 42°6° · Rain all afternoon (80%)
  2. TonightNear 39°4° · Rain all night (100%)
  3. Tomorrow morningNear 38°3° · Rain all morning (100%)
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 44°7° by 3 PM · Rain all afternoon (100%)
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 32°0° by midnight · Rain 6–7 PM (40%) · freezing, low 32°0°
  6. Monday morningNear 36°2° · rain chance 10% · Mostly cloudy
  7. Monday afternoonUp to 43°6° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 4pRain42°6° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)42°6°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h81%100%1
Sat 5pRain41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)42°6°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h83%100%0
Sat 6pRain40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)40°4°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h86%100%0
Sat 7pRain39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)39°4°80%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h88%100%0
Sat 8pRain38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)38°3°80%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h88%100%0
Sat 9pRain38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)37°3°80%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h90%100%0
Sat 10pRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)37°3°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h93%100%0
Sat 11pRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)37°3°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h93%99%0
Sun 12aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)37°3°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h93%100%0
Sun 1aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)32°0°90%, 0.08 in2 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h92%100%0
Sun 2aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)32°0°90%, 0.08 in2 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h92%100%0
Sun 3aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)32°0°90%, 0.08 in2 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h92%100%0
Sun 4aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)37°3°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h92%99%0
Sun 5aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)37°3°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h91%98%0
Sun 6aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)37°3°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h91%99%0
Sun 7aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)31°−1°100%, 0.07 in1.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h90%98%0
Sun 8aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)31°−1°100%, 0.07 in1.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h90%100%0
Sun 9aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)30°−1°100%, 0.07 in1.8 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h91%100%0
Sun 10aRain38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)38°3°100%, 0.08 in2 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h91%100%0
Sun 11aRain39°4° (likely 39°4° to 40°4°)39°4°100%, 0.08 in2 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h91%100%0
Sun 12pRain40°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)40°4°100%, 0.08 in2 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h90%100%0
Sun 1pShowers42°6° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)42°6°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h88%99%0
Sun 2pShowers43°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)43°6°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h85%99%0
Sun 3pShowers44°7° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)44°7°80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h82%94%0
Sun 4pShowers43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)39°4°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h81%89%0
Sun 5pCloudy42°6° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)38°3°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h82%91%0
Sun 6pShowers40°4° (likely 39°4° to 40°4°)35°2°40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h85%87%0
Sun 7pMostly cloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)38°3°10%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h88%83%0
Sun 8pMostly cloudy36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)36°2°10%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h90%74%0
Sun 9pMostly cloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)35°2°10%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h92%66%0
Sun 10pMostly cloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)34°1°5%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h93%53%0
Sun 11pMostly cloudy33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)33°1°5%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h93%63%0
Mon 12aMostly cloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)32°0°5%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h92%76%0
Mon 1aCloudy35°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)35°2°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h91%88%0
Mon 2aCloudy34°1° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)34°1°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h90%79%0
Mon 3aCloudy34°1° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)34°1°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h90%93%0
Mon 4aCloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)34°1°10%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h92%97%0
Mon 5aMostly cloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)34°1°10%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h92%96%0
Mon 6aMostly cloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)34°1°10%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h90%93%0
Mon 7aMostly cloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)35°2°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h88%59%0
Mon 8aMostly cloudy34°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)35°2°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h88%81%0
Mon 9aMostly cloudy35°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)35°2°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h88%81%0
Mon 10aPartly sunny35°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)35°2°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h88%75%0
Mon 11aPartly sunny37°3° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)37°3°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h87%65%0
Mon 12pPartly sunny39°4° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)39°4°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h85%56%1
Mon 1pMostly sunny42°6° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)42°6°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h83%58%1
Mon 2pMostly sunny42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)42°6°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h80%48%1
Mon 3pMostly sunny43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)43°6°5%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h78%40%1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 42°6°, low 37°3°. Typical 43°6° / 32°0°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 42°6°

      80% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 38°3°

      80% chance · 0.21 in5.3 mm

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 37°3°

      100% chance · 0.49 in12 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 42. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Tonight: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 37. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    41°5°–43°6°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    43°6° / 32°0°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 44°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 42°6° / 32°0°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 100% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 37°3°

      100% chance · 0.48 in12 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 44°7°

      100% chance · 0.19 in4.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 36°2°

      40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain before 1pm, then widespread rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 44. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Night: Scattered rain showers before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    40°4°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    42°6° / 32°0°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 44°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 42°6° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 43°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 44. East wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    40°4°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    42°6° / 32°0°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 47°8°, low 32°0°. Typical 42°6° / 31°−1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 35°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 42°6°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 34°1°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 47.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 32.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    41°5°–47°8°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    42°6° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 45°7°, low 35°2°. Typical 41°5° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 33°1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 40°5°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 38°3°

      50% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 36°2°

      60% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 45.

    Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    40°4°–45°7°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    41°5° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    7 mph10 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 44°7°, low 36°2°. Typical 41°5° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.3 in7.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 36°2°

      50% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 41°5°

      60% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 41°5°

      80% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 39°4°

      90% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44.

    Night: A chance of rain before 10pm, then rain and snow likely between 10pm and 4am, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 36.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    40°4°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    41°5° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    10 mph15 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 44°7°, low 33°1°. Typical 40°4° / 30°−1°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 80% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 40°4°

      90% chance · 0.4 in0.9 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 41°5°

      80% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 40°4°

      60% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 38°3°

      50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 44.

    Night: Rain and snow likely before 10pm, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 33.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    38°3°–45°7°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    40°4° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 41 mph65 km/h
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 40°4°, low 34°1°. Typical 40°4° / 30°−1°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 37°3°

      60% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 39°4°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 36°2°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      50% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    37°3°–42°6°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    40°4° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    6 mph9 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    1
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Snow. High 36°2°, low 30°−1°. Typical 40°4° / 30°−1°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 30°−1°

      40% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 34°1°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 32°0°

      40% chance · 1 in2.5 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 35°2°

      50% chance · 2.6 in6.5 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    34°1°–38°3°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–32°0°
    Typical high / low
    40°4° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Snow showers. High 39°4°, low 33°1°. Typical 39°4° / 30°−1°. Snow 2–15 in5–38 cm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 38°3°

      50% chance · 1.9 in4.9 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 39°4°

      50% chance · 0.7 in1.7 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Heavy snow, 37°3°

      50% chance · 0.9 in2.2 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    33°1°–44°7°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–38°3°
    Typical high / low
    39°4° / 30°−1°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 47 mph76 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    78% chance of rain, high 42°, low 37°.

  2. Tomorrow

    100% chance of rain, high 44°, low 31°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 44°, low 31°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 36–47°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Snow River near Seward

6.0 mi
Below flood stage
Level
6.2 ft
Flow
511 cfs

Forecast peak 6.3 ft Sun 10 PM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Resurrection River at Exit Glacier Road near Seward

7.6 mi
Below flood stage
Level
11.2 ft
Flow
719 cfs

Forecast peak 11.5 ft Mon 4 AM

Reading from Sat 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Kenai River at Cooper Landing

25 mi
Below flood stage
Level
7.7 ft
Flow
1,840 cfs

Forecast peak 7.7 ft Sat 4 PM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Grouse Creek at Grouse Lake Outlet near Seward

0.7 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.8 ft
Flow
16 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 73% less heating than a typical week.

This week 54Typical 200

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 43 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 40°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Seward · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1908–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
43°6° / 32°0°
Forecast high / low
42°6° / 37°3°
Record high
56°13° in 1941
Record low
14°−10° in 1935

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —MonOct 19
  2. —TueOct 20
  3. —WedOct 21
  4. —ThuOct 22
  5. —FriOct 23
  6. —SatOct 24
  7. —SunOct 25

Bear Creek weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 9:00 AM, sunset 6:21 PM.

Daylight
9 h 20 min
Losing 5 min 19 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 3 h 32 min less
Golden hour
5:17–6:48 PM
Morning 8:33–10:04 AM
Blue hour
6:48–7:05 PM
Morning 8:16–8:33 AM; first light 8:16 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 99% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 7:12 AM · rises 5:28 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking east from Bear Creek. The highest point on the skyline is about 6,000 ft, 9 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.