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  • Winter Weather Advisory

    Starts in 14 h 43 min

    When
    From 4 AM Sunday to 4 PM AKDT Monday.
    Where
    Yukon Flats.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Fairbanks AK

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Wintry mix expected. Total snow accumulations up to 2 inches and a glaze of ice.

    Impacts

    Travel could be very difficult.

    Precautionary actions

    Slow down and use caution while traveling.

    Areas: Yukon Flats

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
  • Special Weather Statement

    Ends in 2 h 43 min

    When
    Until 4:00 PM
    Where
    Upper Koyukuk Valley; Dalton Highway Summits; Yukon Flats; White Mountains and High Terrain South of the Yukon River; Fortymile Country; Upper Chena River Valley; Tanana Flats; Eielson AFB and Salcha; Goldstream Valley and Nenana Hills; Chatanika River Valley; Two Rivers; Fairbanks Metro Area; Nenana; Central Interior; Northern Denali Borough; Southern Denali Borough

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Fairbanks AK

    Full alert text

    A series of fronts are expected to move across the Interior on Sunday and Monday. The initial front on Sunday will bring a band of snowfall across the area. With this first front, light snow accumulations are expected.

    The next front moving across the Interior on Monday will be accompanied by warmer temperatures, which could bring the potential for a light rain/snow mix in the valleys and moderate snow amounts across higher elevations. This could lead to slick travel conditions, especially during the overnight hours Monday night into Tuesday when the temperatures could drop below freezing once again.

    Accompanying the second front will be a period of gusty winds across the higher elevations. This could bring some blowing snow concerns Monday night/Tuesday morning, which could reduce visibility to one mile or less.

    Stay up to date with the latest forecast by visiting our website, weather.gov/afg.

    Areas: Upper Koyukuk Valley; Dalton Highway Summits; Yukon Flats; White Mountains and High Terrain South of the Yukon River; Fortymile Country; Upper Chena River Valley; Tanana Flats; Eielson AFB and Salcha; Goldstream Valley and Nenana Hills; Chatanika River Valley; Two Rivers; Fairbanks Metro Area; Nenana; Central Interior; Northern Denali Borough; Southern Denali Borough

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 1:00 PM AKDT at PFYU

Birch Creek, AK weather

Overcast and 18°−8°.

Today: low 10°−12° (likely 5°−15° to 10°−12°), high 18°−8° (likely 18°−8° to 22°−6°).

Mostly agree

Now 18°−8°

Cloudy

Wind
Calm
Light through 1 AM
Dew point
16°−9°
Dry, static shocks likely
Humidity
93%
Air 18°−8°, dew point 16°−9° · frost likely
UV tomorrow
1Low
Low all day (peak 1)
Pressure
30.23 inHg1024 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.6 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

5°3° warmer than this time yesterday (12°−11° then, 17°−8° now)

Good hours for
  • Dry until tomorrow 1 PM
  • Hard freeze until Monday noon (low 10°−12°)
  • Low 10°−12° tonight at 8 PM
  • Snow tomorrow 1–4 PM (30%, < 1 in< 3 cm)
  1. This afternoonNear 16°−9° · freezing, low 14°−10° · Mostly cloudy
  2. TonightNear 12°−11° · rain chance 20% · freezing, low 10°−12° · Cloudy
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 18°−8° by 11 AM · Cloudy · rain chance 30% · freezing, low 11°−12°
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 26°−3° by 2 PM · Snow 1–4 PM (30%) · freezing, low 22°−6°
  5. Tomorrow nightNear 24°−4° · rain chance 30% · freezing, low 22°−6° · Mostly cloudy
  6. Monday morningUp to 32°0° by 11 AM · Cloudy · rain chance 30% · freezing, low 26°−3°
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 1pMostly cloudy17°−8° (likely 15°−9° to 20°−7°)17°−8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h87%80%1
Sat 2pMostly cloudy18°−8° (likely 16°−9° to 22°−6°)18°−8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h84%79%1
Sat 3pCloudy18°−8° (likely 17°−8° to 22°−6°)18°−8°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h83%83%1
Sat 4pCloudy14°−10° (likely 14°−10° to 22°−6°)14°−10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h87%80%0
Sat 5pMostly cloudy14°−10° (likely 14°−10° to 21°−6°)14°−10°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h89%79%0
Sat 6pMostly cloudy13°−11° (likely 13°−11° to 20°−7°)13°−11°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h87%75%0
Sat 7pMostly cloudy11°−12° (likely 10°−12° to 19°−7°)11°−12°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h89%73%0
Sat 8pMostly cloudy10°−12° (likely 8°−13° to 18°−8°)10°−12°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h92%78%0
Sat 9pMostly cloudy11°−12° (likely 8°−13° to 18°−8°)11°−12°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h92%80%0
Sat 10pCloudy11°−12° (likely 8°−13° to 19°−7°)11°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h94%91%0
Sat 11pCloudy10°−12° (likely 10°−12° to 21°−6°)10°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h93%96%0
Sun 12aCloudy10°−12° (likely 10°−12° to 21°−6°)10°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h93%98%0
Sun 1aCloudy10°−12° (likely 10°−12° to 21°−6°)10°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h93%99%0
Sun 2aSnow10°−12° (likely 10°−12° to 20°−7°)10°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h94%99%0
Sun 3aSnow11°−12° (likely 11°−12° to 19°−7°)11°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h94%98%0
Sun 4aSnow11°−12° (likely 11°−12° to 20°−7°)11°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h95%92%0
Sun 5aSnow11°−12° (likely 11°−12° to 20°−7°)11°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h95%99%0
Sun 6aSnow11°−12° (likely 11°−12° to 20°−7°)11°−12°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h96%99%0
Sun 7aSnow12°−11° (likely 12°−11° to 21°−6°)12°−11°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h95%99%0
Sun 8aSnow12°−11° (likely 12°−11° to 21°−6°)12°−11°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h95%100%0
Sun 9aCloudy13°−11° (likely 13°−11° to 22°−6°)13°−11°20%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph2 km/h96%100%0
Sun 10aSnow14°−10° (likely 14°−10° to 22°−6°)15°−9°30%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h97%100%0
Sun 11aSnow18°−8° (likely 18°−8° to 23°−5°)18°−8°30%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h97%97%0
Sun 12pSnow22°−6° (likely 19°−7° to 25°−4°)22°−6°30%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h91%95%0
Sun 1pCloudy24°−4° (likely 19°−7° to 26°−3°)24°−4°30%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h90%97%1
Sun 2pSnow26°−3° (likely 20°−7° to 27°−3°)26°−3°30%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h89%80%1
Sun 3pSnow26°−3° (likely 20°−7° to 27°−3°)27°−3°30%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h88%89%1
Sun 4pCloudy24°−4° (likely 20°−7° to 28°−2°)24°−4°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h91%92%0
Sun 5pCloudy23°−5° (likely 20°−7° to 26°−3°)23°−5°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h93%91%0
Sun 6pCloudy23°−5° (likely 20°−7° to 25°−4°)23°−5°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h93%90%0
Sun 7pCloudy22°−6° (likely 20°−7° to 24°−4°)22°−6°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h93%94%0
Sun 8pCloudy22°−6° (likely 20°−7° to 23°−5°)22°−6°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h93%91%0
Sun 9pCloudy22°−6° (likely 20°−7° to 24°−4°)22°−6°10%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h94%88%0
Sun 10pMostly cloudy22°−6° (likely 18°−8° to 25°−4°)22°−6°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h94%78%0
Sun 11pMostly cloudy23°−5° (likely 19°−7° to 27°−3°)23°−5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h93%83%0
Mon 12aMostly cloudy23°−5° (likely 17°−8° to 29°−2°)23°−5°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h92%59%0
Mon 1aMostly cloudy24°−4° (likely 16°−9° to 31°−1°)24°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h91%60%0
Mon 2aMostly cloudy24°−4° (likely 15°−9° to 31°−1°)24°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h91%67%0
Mon 3aCloudy25°−4° (likely 15°−9° to 30°−1°)25°−4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h92%78%0
Mon 4aCloudy25°−4° (likely 13°−11° to 29°−2°)25°−4°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h92%92%0
Mon 5aSnow25°−4° (likely 10°−12° to 29°−2°)25°−4°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h92%90%0
Mon 6aSnow26°−3° (likely 11°−12° to 29°−2°)26°−3°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h91%94%0
Mon 7aSnow26°−3° (likely 12°−11° to 30°−1°)27°−3°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h91%96%0
Mon 8aSnow27°−3° (likely 14°−10° to 31°−1°)27°−3°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h92%95%0
Mon 9aSnow29°−2° (likely 15°−9° to 32°0°)29°−2°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h92%98%0
Mon 10aSnow30°−1° (likely 16°−9° to 33°1°)30°−1°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h92%98%0
Mon 11aSnow32°0° (likely 18°−8° to 34°1°)32°0°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h89%96%0
Mon 12pSnow35°2° (likely 19°−7° to 36°2°)35°2°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h86%94%0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 18°−8°, low 10°−12°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 18°−8°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly cloudy, 10°−12°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 10°−12°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 18. Northeast wind around 0 mph.

    Tonight: A slight chance of snow after 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 10. Northeast wind around 0 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    18°−8°–22°−6°
    Low, likely
    5°−15°–10°−12°
    Wind
    5 mph7 km/h
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Snow. High 26°−3°, low 21°−6°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 12°−11°

      30% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 26°−3°

      30% chance · 0.4 in1 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 22°−6°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 23°−5°

      30% chance

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow before 4pm. Cloudy, with a high near 26. East wind around 0 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Night: A chance of snow after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21. Southeast wind around 0 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    21°−6°–28°−2°
    Low, likely
    14°−10°–21°−6°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 38°3°, low 31°−1°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 27°−3°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 35°2°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly clear, 28°−2°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 31°−1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow before 1pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. South wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Night: A slight chance of rain and snow before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    23°−5°–38°3°
    Low, likely
    10°−12°–31°−1°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 40°4°, low 26°−3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 33°1°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 26°−4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 23°−5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    29°−2°–40°4°
    Low, likely
    20°−7°–30°−1°
    Wind
    10 mph17 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 34°1°, low 24°−4°. Snow, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 21°−6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 24°−4°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 19°−7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 20°−6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow after 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 34.

    Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 24.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    21°−6°–34°1°
    Low, likely
    16°−9°–24°−4°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 34°1°, low 22°−6°. Snow, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 24°−4°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 28°−2°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 25°−4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Fog, 24°−5°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34.

    Night: A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    24°−4°–34°1°
    Low, likely
    17°−8°–23°−5°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 30°−1°, low 20°−7°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 24°−4°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 28°−2°

      20% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 27°−3°

      20% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Fog, 26°−3°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 30.

    Night: A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    24°−4°–33°1°
    Low, likely
    20°−7°–27°−3°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 29°−2°, low 23°−5°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Fog, 25°−4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Fog, 28°−2°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 25°−4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 23°−5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    27°−3°–33°1°
    Low, likely
    18°−8°–28°−2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Snow. High 25°−4°, low 12°−11°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 20°−7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 22°−5°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 17°−9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 12°−11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    22°−6°–27°−3°
    Low, likely
    6°−14°–17°−8°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Snow. High 19°−7°, low 10°−12°. Snow < 1 in< 2 cm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Fog, 15°−10°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Fog, 18°−8°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Fog, 17°−8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    16°−9°–22°−6°
    Low, likely
    5°−15°–13°−11°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 18°, low 10°.

  2. Tomorrow

    33% chance of snow, high 26°, low 21°, warming up.

  3. Monday

    33% chance of snow, high 38°, low 31°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Mostly dry, highs 19–40°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AFG) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 9:13 AM, sunset 5:40 PM.

Daylight
8 h 28 min
Losing 7 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 5 h 58 min less
Golden hour
4:13–6:15 PM
Morning 8:38–10:40 AM
Blue hour
6:15–6:36 PM
Morning 8:17–8:38 AM; first light 8:17 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 92% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 7:15 AM · rises 4:51 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking southwest from Birch Creek. The highest point on the skyline is about 5,000 ft, 50 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.