Birch Creek near Circle
16 mi- Level
- 10.3 ft
- Flow
- 1,500 cfs
Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page
Appearance
Ends in 3 h 46 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
A band of moisture will move through the Interior Monday and Tuesday, bringing with it warmer air and periods of widespread rainfall which could approach upwards of an inch for some locations. Cooling conditions during the overnight hours, especially after the system departs, will lead to refreezing of snow-melt and rain on roadways, creating particularly slick and slippery conditions.
Areas: Upper Koyukuk Valley; Dalton Highway Summits; Yukon Flats; White Mountains and High Terrain South of the Yukon River; Fortymile Country; Upper Chena River Valley; Tanana Flats; Eielson AFB and Salcha; Goldstream Valley and Nenana Hills; Chatanika River Valley; Two Rivers; Fairbanks Metro Area; Nenana; Central Interior; Northern Denali Borough; Southern Denali Borough
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Ends in 4 h 1 min
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
A series of fronts are expected to move across the Interior on Sunday and Monday. The initial front on Sunday will bring a band of snowfall across the area. With this first front, light snow accumulations are expected.
The next front moving across the Interior on Monday will be accompanied by warmer temperatures, which could bring the potential for a light rain/snow mix in the valleys and moderate snow amounts across higher elevations. This could lead to slick travel conditions, especially during the overnight hours Monday night into Tuesday when the temperatures could drop below freezing once again.
Accompanying the second front will be a period of gusty winds across the higher elevations. This could bring some blowing snow concerns Monday night/Tuesday morning, which could reduce visibility to one mile or less.
Stay up to date with the latest forecast by visiting our website, weather.gov/afg.
Areas: Upper Koyukuk Valley; Dalton Highway Summits; Yukon Flats; White Mountains and High Terrain South of the Yukon River; Fortymile Country; Upper Chena River Valley; Tanana Flats; Eielson AFB and Salcha; Goldstream Valley and Nenana Hills; Chatanika River Valley; Two Rivers; Fairbanks Metro Area; Nenana; Central Interior; Northern Denali Borough; Southern Denali Borough
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)Observed 2:55 AM AKDT at PFYU
Clear and 9°−13°, 9°5° warmer than a typical Oct 24, drip faucets tonight, low 16°−9°.
Today: low 11°−12° (likely 3°−16° to 12°−11°), high 29°−2° (likely 16°−9° to 29°−2°).
Now 9°−13°
Clear · Feels like 2°−17°
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 3a | Mostly cloudy | 15°−9° (likely 5°−15° to 15°−9°) | 15°−9° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 76% | 69% | 0 |
| Sat 4a | Cloudy | 16°−9° (likely 5°−15° to 16°−9°) | 16°−9° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 79% | 85% | 0 |
| Sat 5a | Cloudy | 16°−9° (likely 4°−16° to 16°−9°) | 16°−9° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 79% | 86% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Cloudy | 16°−9° (likely 4°−16° to 16°−9°) | 16°−9° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 79% | 83% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Mostly cloudy | 17°−8° (likely 4°−16° to 17°−8°) | 17°−8° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 79% | 79% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Cloudy | 17°−8° (likely 3°−16° to 17°−8°) | 17°−8° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 79% | 84% | 0 |
| Sat 9a | Cloudy | 19°−7° (likely 3°−16° to 23°−5°) | 19°−7° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 79% | 88% | 0 |
| Sat 10a | Cloudy | 21°−6° (likely 6°−14° to 23°−5°) | 21°−6° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 80% | 91% | 0 |
| Sat 11a | Mostly cloudy | 23°−5° (likely 9°−13° to 24°−4°) | 23°−5° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 80% | 87% | 0 |
| Sat 12p | Mostly cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 11°−12° to 27°−3°) | 26°−3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 80% | 87% | 0 |
| Sat 1p | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 13°−11° to 28°−2°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 80% | 92% | 0 |
| Sat 2p | Mostly cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 15°−9° to 29°−2°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 79% | 84% | 0 |
| Sat 3p | Cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 16°−9° to 29°−2°) | 29°−2° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 80% | 86% | 0 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 16°−9° to 28°−2°) | 28°−2° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h | 80% | 76% | 1 |
| Sat 5p | Cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 14°−10° to 28°−2°) | 28°−2° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h | 80% | 75% | 0 |
| Sat 6p | Cloudy | 28°−2° (likely 10°−12° to 28°−2°) | 28°−2° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 80% | 82% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 9°−13° to 27°−3°) | 27°−3° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h | 79% | 89% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 10°−12° to 27°−3°) | 27°−3° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 79% | 88% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Mostly cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 11°−12° to 27°−3°) | 27°−3° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 79% | 87% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 10°−12° to 27°−3°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 79% | 89% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 11°−12° to 27°−3°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 80% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 11°−12° to 27°−3°) | 27°−3° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 82% | 92% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 12°−11° to 28°−2°) | 27°−3° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 82% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Cloudy | 27°−3° (likely 12°−11° to 28°−2°) | 27°−3° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 82% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 13°−11° to 26°−3°) | 26°−3° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 81% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 13°−11° to 27°−3°) | 26°−3° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 86% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 13°−11° to 28°−2°) | 26°−3° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 86% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Cloudy | 24°−4° (likely 12°−11° to 27°−3°) | 24°−4° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 86% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 12°−11° to 28°−2°) | 26°−3° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 86% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 11°−12° to 29°−2°) | 26°−3° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 87% | 90% | 0 |
| Sun 9a | Cloudy | 26°−3° (likely 10°−12° to 29°−2°) | 26°−3° | 10% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 87% | 89% | 0 |
| Sun 10a | Cloudy | 29°−2° (likely 10°−12° to 29°−2°) | 29°−2° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 87% | 85% | 0 |
| Sun 11a | Cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 12°−11° to 30°−1°) | 30°−1° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 86% | 91% | 0 |
| Sun 12p | Cloudy | 32°0° (likely 15°−9° to 32°0°) | 32°0° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 86% | 92% | 1 |
| Sun 1p | Snow | 34°1° (likely 16°−9° to 34°1°) | 34°1° | 30% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph2 km/h | 87% | 94% | 1 |
| Sun 2p | Snow | 34°1° (likely 18°−8° to 35°2°) | 34°1° | 30% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 87% | 96% | 1 |
| Sun 3p | Snow | 34°1° (likely 19°−7° to 35°2°) | 34°1° | 30% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 87% | 99% | 1 |
| Sun 4p | Snow | 34°1° (likely 20°−7° to 35°2°) | 34°1° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h | 87% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 5p | Snow | 34°1° (likely 21°−6° to 34°1°) | 34°1° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 87% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 6p | Snow | 34°1° (likely 21°−6° to 34°1°) | 34°1° | 20% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 86% | 100% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Mostly cloudy | 34°1° (likely 21°−6° to 34°1°) | 29°−2° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 86% | 99% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 23°−5° to 34°1°) | 29°−2° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 86% | 95% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Cloudy | 33°1° (likely 24°−4° to 34°1°) | 28°−2° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 87% | 96% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Cloudy | 32°0° (likely 24°−4° to 34°1°) | 26°−3° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 87% | 94% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Cloudy | 32°0° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°) | 26°−3° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h | 87% | 93% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 31°−1° (likely 25°−4° to 32°0°) | 25°−4° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h | 88% | 86% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 31°−1° (likely 24°−4° to 31°−1°) | 26°−3° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h | 88% | 84% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Mostly cloudy | 30°−1° (likely 23°−5° to 30°−1°) | 25°−4° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h | 88% | 61% | 0 |
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29. West wind around 0 mph.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Low around 11, with temperatures rising to around 16 overnight. West wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow between 10am and 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. South wind around 0 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A slight chance of rain and snow before 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. South wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow between 7am and 10am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.
Night: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain and snow before 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 40.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 37.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain and snow between 10am and 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36.
Night: A chance of snow after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow before 10am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 34.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Dry, high 29°, low 11°.
Dry, high 35°, low 27°, warming up.
49% chance of snow, high 39°, low 34°, warming up.
Mostly dry, highs 22–40°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AFG) (opens in a new tab)
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Tonight’s low: 16°−9°
Overnight low of 16°F for 6+ hours — cold enough that pipes in unheated spaces can freeze. Let faucets on exterior walls drip overnight.
About 81% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 21 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Cold-climate heat pump? Look up certified models on rebate.blue (opens in a new tab)
Dry air outside (dew point 7°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Today’s expected high is 9°5° warmer than typical.
On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
Central weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sunrise 9:03 AM, sunset 5:40 PM.
Clouds most of the night (about 81% cover).
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing