Observed 2:15 PM AKDT at PAGS

Excursion Inlet, AK weather

Sunny and 45°7°, 8°4° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 25°−4°.

Forecasts agree

Now 45°7°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the west-southwest. 35–10 mph16 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable · down to 24°−4° by 3 PM (dry)
UV tomorrow: 1Low; Low all day (peak 1)
Pressure: 30.37 inHg1028 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−1.0 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (46°8° then, 44°7° now)

Good hours for

Hard freeze tonight 6 PM–tomorrow 1 PM (low 25°−4°)
Low 25°−4° tomorrow at 6 AM
Hard freeze tomorrow 5 PM–Monday noon (low 27°−3°)

This afternoonNear 35°2° · Clear
TonightDown to 26°−3° by 4 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 30°−1° by 11 AM · freezing, low 25°−4° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 32°0° · freezing, low 31°−1° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightNear 29°−2° · freezing, low 27°−3° · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 32°0° by 11 AM · freezing, low 27°−3° · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	5%	1
Sat 3p	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	29°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	61%	18%	0
Sat 4p	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	29°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	57%	15%	1
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	57%	28%	0
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)	24°−4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	57%	53%	0
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)	22°−6°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	66%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	20°−7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	73%	0
Sat 9p	Cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	19°−7°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	70%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	20°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	61%	0
Sat 11p	Mostly clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	20°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	55%	38%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	20°−7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	55%	33%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	55%	6%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	21°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	54%	8%	0
Sun 3a	Mostly clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	21°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	54%	14%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	57%	20%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 35°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	57%	43%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly clear	25°−4° (likely 25°−4° to 34°1°)	21°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	38%	0
Sun 7a	Partly cloudy	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	38%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	57%	45%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	23°−5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	57%	36%	0
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	57%	36%	1
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	62%	38%	1
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 38°3°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	61%	49%	1
Sun 1p	Mostly cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	64%	59%	1
Sun 2p	Mostly cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	67%	60%	1
Sun 3p	Mostly cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	65%	1
Sun 4p	Mostly cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	75%	65%	0
Sun 5p	Mostly cloudy	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	81%	61%	0
Sun 6p	Mostly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	80%	58%	0
Sun 7p	Mostly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 37°3°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	82%	59%	0
Sun 8p	Mostly cloudy	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	84%	66%	0
Sun 9p	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	27°−3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	82%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	85%	88%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	85%	88%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	87%	86%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 36°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	88%	89%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	87%	75%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	22°−6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	68%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	23°−5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	64%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	23°−5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	78%	64%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 35°2°)	23°−5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	77%	66%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly cloudy	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°)	23°−5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	75%	60%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	42%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly cloudy	29°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	25°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	70%	44%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	30°−1° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	67%	44%	0
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	27°−3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	64%	43%	0
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	62%	46%	1
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	62%	73%	1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 36°2°, low 25°−4°. Typical 44°7° / 31°−1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 29°−2°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 26°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 36. North wind around 10 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 25. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
36°2°–41°5°
Low, likely
25°−4°–35°2°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 31°−1°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
2
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 34°1°, low 26°−3°. Typical 44°7° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 26°−3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly cloudy, 34°1°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly cloudy, 28°−2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly cloudy, 27°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Low, likely
26°−3°–34°1°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 30°−1°
Wind
4 mph6 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
1
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 34°1°, low 27°−3°. Typical 44°7° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 28°−2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 33°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 34. North wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 27.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Low, likely
27°−3°–33°1°
Typical high / low
44°7° / 30°−1°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 38°3°, low 28°−2°. Typical 43°6° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 38.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 28.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
38°3°–42°6°
Low, likely
28°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 30°−1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 42 mph67 km/h
UV peak
2
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 36°2°, low 26°−3°. Typical 43°6° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 34°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 39°4°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 33°0°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 30°−1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 36.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 26.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
36°2°–40°4°
Low, likely
26°−3°–33°1°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 29°−2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
2
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 34°1°, low 27°−3°. Typical 43°6° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 31°−1°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 30°−1°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 34.
Night: A slight chance of snow after 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 27.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
33°1°–39°4°
Low, likely
27°−3°–32°0°
Typical high / low
43°6° / 29°−2°
Wind
4 mph7 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
1
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 34°1°, low 28°−2°. Typical 42°6° / 29°−2°. Snow 0–8 in0–20 cm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 31°0°
  60% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 34°1°
  70% chance · 1 in2.6 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 34°1°
  70% chance · 0.9 in2.3 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 35°2°
  70% chance · 0.6 in1.5 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 34.
Night: Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 28.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
34°1°–37°3°
Low, likely
26°−3°–33°1°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 29°−2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Snow showers. High 39°4°, low 36°2°. Typical 42°6° / 29°−2°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 80% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 36°2°
  80% chance · 1 in2.7 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 37°3°
  80% chance · 0.7 in1.8 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow showers, 37°3°
  80% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow showers, 37°3°
  80% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
36°2°–41°5°
Low, likely
34°1°–38°3°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 29°−2°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Snow showers. High 38°3°, low 34°1°. Typical 42°6° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 80% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow showers, 36°2°
  70% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow showers, 38°3°
  70% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow showers, 34°1°
  70% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow showers, 34°1°
  70% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
37°3°–39°4°
Low, likely
30°−1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
42°6° / 28°−2°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Snow showers. High 38°3°, low 34°1°. Typical 41°5° / 28°−2°. Snow 0–5 in0–13 cm, 80% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow showers, 36°2°
  70% chance · 0.6 in1.4 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 37°3°
  70% chance · 1 in2.6 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 37°3°
  60% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
35°2°–40°4°
Low, likely
34°1°
Typical high / low
41°5° / 28°−2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 36°, low 25°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 34°, low 26°.
Monday
Dry, high 34°, low 27°.
Rest of week
Highs 34–39°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AJK) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Salmon River at Gustavus

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 10.1 ft
Flow: 196 cfs

Forecast peak 10.1 ft Sat 3 PM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Herbert River near Auke Bay

21 mi

Level: 19.5 ft

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 25°−4°

Overnight low near 25°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 70Typical 200

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Gustavus · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1923–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 8°4° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+8°+4°SunOct 18
+6°+3°MonOct 19
+7°+4°TueOct 20
+6°+3°WedOct 21
+3°+2°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Excursion Inlet weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 9 h 32 min; Losing 5 min 0 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 3 h 12 min less
Golden hour: 4:31–5:56 PM; Morning 7:33–8:58 AM
Blue hour: 5:56–6:12 PM; Morning 7:17–7:33 AM; first light 7:17 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 1–5 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 6:08 AM · rises 4:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northwest from Excursion Inlet. The highest point on the skyline is about 3,900 ft, 2 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.