High Surf Advisory
Ends in 2 days 12 h
When
Until 4 AM AKDT Wednesday.
Where
Kivalina and Red Dog Dock.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Large breaking waves of 2 to 3 feet above the normal high tide line.
Impacts
Localized beach erosion may occur.
Additional details
South to southwest winds will continue to gust up to 40 mph through the weekend. Strong winds continue into early next week.
Precautionary actions
Precautions should be taken to protect property.
Areas: Kivalina and Red Dog Dock
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 2:53 PM AKDT at PAVL

Kivalina, AK weather

Rainy and 38°3°, 12°7° warmer than a typical Oct 25, snow ~4 PM–9 AM (95%).

One forecast only

Now 38°3°

Rain · Feels like 26°−3°

Feels like: 26°−3°; Wind chill from 26 mph42 km/h wind · air 38°3°
Wind: 26 mph42 km/h; From the south. 2540–26 mph42 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 35°2°; Comfortable
Humidity: 89%; Air 38°3°, dew point 35°2° · fog or dew likely

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (37°3° then, 38°3° now)

Good hours for

Rain until tomorrow 10 AM (100%, 0.78 in20 mm)
High 38°3° today at 4 PM
Low 34°1° tonight at 5 AM
Rain Tuesday from 4 AM (100%, 1.2 in30 mm)

This afternoonNear 38°3° · Rain all afternoon (90%)
TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · Rain all night (100%)
Tomorrow morningNear 34°1° · Rain 6–10 AM (100%)
Tomorrow afternoonNear 36°2° · rain chance 20%
Tomorrow nightNear 36°2° · Rain 4–6 AM (100%)
Tuesday morningNear 37°3° · Rain all morning (100%)
Tuesday afternoonNear 39°4° · Rain all afternoon (90%)

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sun 3p	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	90%, 0.06 in1.5 mm	25 mph40 km/h from S	98%	—	0
Sun 4p	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)	26°−3°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	25 mph40 km/h from S	95%	—	—
Sun 5p	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)	26°−3°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	25 mph40 km/h from S	94%	—	—
Sun 6p	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)	26°−3°	60%, 0.04 in1 mm	25 mph40 km/h from S	91%	—	—
Sun 7p	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	50%, 0.04 in1 mm	25 mph40 km/h from S	92%	—	—
Sun 8p	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 37°3°)	26°−3°	50%, 0.04 in1 mm	25 mph40 km/h from S	92%	—	—
Sun 9p	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	24°−4°	50%, 0.04 in1 mm	25 mph40 km/h from S	94%	—	—
Sun 10p	Snow	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	24°−4°	70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Sun 11p	Snow	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	23°−5°	70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	96%	—	—
Mon 12a	Snow	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	24°−4°	70%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Mon 1a	Snow	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	23°−5°	90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	93%	—	—
Mon 2a	Snow	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	23°−5°	90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	92%	—	—
Mon 3a	Snow	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	23°−5°	90%, 0.05 in1.3 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	92%	—	—
Mon 4a	Snow	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	24°−4°	100%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	20 mph32 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Mon 5a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	23°−5°	100%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	20 mph32 km/h from SE	96%	—	—
Mon 6a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	22°−6°	100%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	20 mph32 km/h from SE	96%	—	—
Mon 7a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	25°−4°	70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S	96%	—	—
Mon 8a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	25°−4°	70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S	98%	—	—
Mon 9a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	70%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S	97%	—	—
Mon 10a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S	98%	—	—
Mon 11a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S	99%	—	—
Mon 12p	Snow	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S	96%	—	—
Mon 1p	Mostly cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from W	98%	—	—
Mon 2p	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from W	97%	—	—
Mon 3p	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	27°−3°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from W	96%	—	—
Mon 4p	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW	92%	—	—
Mon 5p	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW	92%	—	—
Mon 6p	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	28°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW	90%	—	—
Mon 7p	Mostly cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	28°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SE	90%	—	—
Mon 8p	Mostly cloudy	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	27°−3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SE	91%	—	—
Mon 9p	Mostly cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SE	91%	—	—
Mon 10p	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SE	91%	—	—
Mon 11p	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SE	91%	—	—
Tue 12a	Cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SE	90%	—	—
Tue 1a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	22°−6°	20%	25 mph40 km/h from SE	89%	—	—
Tue 2a	Snow	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)	22°−6°	20%	25 mph40 km/h from SE	90%	—	—
Tue 3a	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)	21°−6°	20%	25 mph40 km/h from SE	89%	—	—
Tue 4a	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	23°−5°	100%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Tue 5a	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	23°−5°	100%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Tue 6a	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)	24°−4°	100%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	25 mph40 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Tue 7a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 37°3°)	25°−4°	90%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	30 mph48 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Tue 8a	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)	25°−4°	90%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	30 mph48 km/h from SE	94%	—	—
Tue 9a	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)	26°−3°	90%, 0.07 in1.8 mm	30 mph48 km/h from SE	95%	—	—
Tue 10a	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)	25°−4°	90%, 0.15 in3.8 mm	35 mph56 km/h from SE	95%	—	—
Tue 11a	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)	25°−4°	90%, 0.15 in3.8 mm	35 mph56 km/h from SE	95%	—	—
Tue 12p	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)	26°−3°	90%, 0.15 in3.8 mm	35 mph56 km/h from SE	96%	—	—
Tue 1p	Rain	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 39°4°)	26°−3°	80%, 0.15 in3.8 mm	35 mph56 km/h from S	96%	—	—
Tue 2p	Rain	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 39°4°)	27°−3°	80%, 0.15 in3.8 mm	35 mph56 km/h from S	96%	—	—

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 25. Rain. High 38°3°, low 33°1°. Typical 26°−3° / 16°−9°. Rain, 90% chance. One forecast only.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 38°3°
  90% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 37°3°
  70% chance · 0.26 in6.6 mm
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 34°1°
  100% chance · 0.26 in6.6 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 38. South wind around 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tonight: Rain likely before 10pm, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 33. Southeast wind 20 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 40 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
38°3°
Low, likely
33°1°
Typical high / low
26°−3° / 16°−9°
Wind
25 mph40 km/h
Tomorrow, Oct 26. Snow. High 37°3°, low 33°1°. Typical 25°−4° / 15°−9°. Snow, 100% chance. One forecast only.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 34°1°
  100% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 34°1°
  100% chance · 0.14 in3.6 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain and snow before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 37. South wind 10 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Night: Rain and snow after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 33. South wind 10 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
37°3°
Low, likely
33°1°
Typical high / low
25°−4° / 15°−9°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h
Tuesday, Oct 27. Rain. High 40°4°, low 35°2°. Typical 25°−4° / 15°−9°. Rain, 100% chance. One forecast only.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 38°3°
  100% chance · 0.58 in15 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 39°4°
  90% chance · 0.45 in11 mm
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 40. Southeast wind 25 to 35 mph, with gusts as high as 50 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Night: Rain before 4am, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
40°4°
Low, likely
35°2°
Typical high / low
25°−4° / 15°−9°
Wind
35 mph56 km/h
Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 38°3°, low 32°0°. Typical 24°−4° / 14°−10°. Snow, 90% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain and snow before 7am, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 38.
Night: Rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
38°3°
Low, likely
32°0°
Typical high / low
24°−4° / 14°−10°
Wind
30 mph48 km/h
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 37°3°, low 31°−1°. Typical 24°−4° / 14°−10°. Snow, 50% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 37.
Night: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
37°3°
Low, likely
31°−1°
Typical high / low
24°−4° / 14°−10°
Wind
25 mph40 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 37°3°, low 30°−1°. Typical 23°−5° / 13°−11°. Snow, 70% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 37.
Night: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 30.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
37°3°
Low, likely
30°−1°
Typical high / low
23°−5° / 13°−11°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 35°2°, low 26°−3°. Typical 23°−5° / 13°−11°. Snow, 30% chance. One forecast only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35.
Night: A slight chance of rain and snow before 3am. Cloudy, with a low around 26.
One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.
High, likely
35°2°
Low, likely
26°−3°
Typical high / low
23°−5° / 13°−11°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
85% chance of rain, high 38°, low 33°.
Tomorrow
95% chance of snow, high 37°, low 33°.
Tuesday
95% chance of rain, high 40°, low 35°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 35–38°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AFG) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Wulik River below Tutak Creek near Kivalina

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.4 ft
Flow: 700 cfs

Reading from Sun 1:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 82% less heating than a typical week.

This week 57Typical 320

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 47
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 47 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 35°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Kivalina Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1998–2026

Oct 25, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 12°7° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 8°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+3°+1°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+5°+3°WedOct 21
+12°+7°ThuOct 22
+10°+6°FriOct 23
+16°+9°SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Kivalina weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 8 h 2 min; Losing 8 min 3 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 8 h 2 min less
Golden hour: 5:02–7:20 PM; Morning 10:02 AM–12:20 PM
Blue hour: 7:20–7:42 PM; Morning 9:39–10:02 AM; first light 9:39 AM

Stars tonight? Unknown

Cloud forecast not available for tonight.

Moon

Full moon

100% lit · growing

Today: sets 10:50 AM · rises 5:32 PM
Full moon: Today, 8:12 PM
New moon: Nov 8

Looking north from Kivalina. The highest point on the skyline is about 20,900 ft, 49 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

High Surf Advisory