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  • Winter Storm Warning

    Ends in 23 h 25 min

    When
    Until 4 PM AKDT Sunday.
    Where
    Upper Kobuk Valley.

    Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service Fairbanks AK

    What, impacts and precautions

    What

    Heavy snow. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph.

    Impacts

    Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.

    Precautionary actions

    If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

    Areas: Upper Kobuk Valleys

    See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 3:56 PM AKDT at PAFM

Kobuk, AK weather

Winter Storm Warning. 35°2° and overcast now.

Today: low 33°1° (likely 25°−4° to 33°1°), high 38°3° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°).

Mostly agree

Now 35°2°

Cloudy · Feels like 29°−1°

Feels like
29°−2°
Wind chill from 7 mph11 km/h wind · air 35°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/hgusts 18 mph29 km/h
From the east-southeast. 711–15 mph24 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point
32°0°
Dry, static shocks likely
UV tomorrow
0Low
Low all day (peak 0)
Pressure
29.87 inHg1012 hPa
Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.3 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

Moderate snow now, through the next 2 hours.

  1. 12:00 AM: heavy snow
  2. 12:15 AM: heavy snow
  3. 12:30 AM: heavy snow
  4. 12:45 AM: heavy snow
  5. 1:00 AM: heavy snow
  6. 1:15 AM: heavy snow
  7. 1:30 AM: heavy snow
  8. 1:45 AM: heavy snow

Next 48 hours

8°5° warmer than this time yesterday (27°−3° then, 35°2° now)

Good hours for
  • Rain until tomorrow 10 AM (90%, 1.1 in29 mm)
  • Low 33°1° tonight at 2 AM
  • Snow tomorrow 10 AM–Monday 10 AM (100%, 0–37 in0–94 cm)
  • Rain Monday from 10 AM (100%, 0.54 in14 mm)
  1. This afternoonNear 36°2° · Rain all afternoon (80%)
  2. TonightNear 34°1° · Rain all night (80%)
  3. Tomorrow morningNear 33°1° · Rain 6–10 AM (90%)
  4. Tomorrow afternoonNear 34°1° · Snow all afternoon (90%)
  5. Tomorrow nightNear 34°1° · Snow all night (100%)
  6. Monday morningNear 33°1° · Snow 6–10 AM (100%)
  7. Monday afternoonNear 35°2° · Rain all afternoon (100%)
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 4pSnow36°2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)27°−3°80%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 21 mph34 km/h88%98%0
Sat 5pSnow36°2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)27°−3°80%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 21 mph34 km/h89%98%0
Sat 6pSnow35°2° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)26°−3°80%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 19 mph30 km/h89%99%0
Sat 7pSnow34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)26°−3°70%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 18 mph29 km/h90%99%0
Sat 8pSnow34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)25°−4°70%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h92%93%0
Sat 9pSnow34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)25°−4°70%, 0.04 in1 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph27 km/h93%97%0
Sat 10pSnow34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)25°−4°30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph27 km/h93%93%0
Sat 11pSnow34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)25°−4°30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h93%95%0
Sun 12aSnow34°1° (likely 30°−1° to 36°2°)25°−4°30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h94%95%0
Sun 1aSnow34°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)24°−4°30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h94%96%0
Sun 2aSnow33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h96%97%0
Sun 3aSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph24 km/h97%97%0
Sun 4aSnow33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph25 km/h97%99%0
Sun 5aSnow33°1° (likely 30°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h96%99%0
Sun 6aSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph26 km/h97%99%0
Sun 7aSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)23°−5°90%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph25 km/h98%99%0
Sun 8aSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)23°−5°90%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 15 mph25 km/h99%99%0
Sun 9aSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)23°−5°90%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 16 mph25 km/h100%99%0
Sun 10aSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)24°−4°90%, snow 0.3 in0.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 17 mph27 km/h95%99%0
Sun 11aSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)24°−4°90%, snow 0.3 in0.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h95%99%0
Sun 12pSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)24°−4°90%, snow 0.3 in0.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h95%97%0
Sun 1pSnow34°1° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)26°−3°80%, snow 0.3 in0.8 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h94%88%0
Sun 2pSnow34°1° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)26°−3°80%, snow 0.3 in0.8 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h92%98%0
Sun 3pSnow35°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)26°−3°80%, snow 0.3 in0.8 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h91%99%0
Sun 4pSnow35°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)26°−3°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h90%99%0
Sun 5pSnow34°1° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)26°−3°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h90%98%0
Sun 6pSnow34°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)25°−4°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h90%96%0
Sun 7pSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)25°−4°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h90%93%0
Sun 8pSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)25°−4°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h90%95%0
Sun 9pSnow33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)25°−4°70%, snow 0.1 in0.3 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h91%91%0
Sun 10pSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)24°−4°90%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph20 km/h92%98%0
Sun 11pSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)24°−4°90%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h91%99%0
Mon 12aSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)24°−4°90%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from E, gusts 17 mph27 km/h94%99%0
Mon 1aSnow33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)23°−5°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h94%99%0
Mon 2aSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)23°−5°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h94%99%0
Mon 3aSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)23°−5°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h96%99%0
Mon 4aSnow33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)23°−5°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 24 mph39 km/h96%99%0
Mon 5aSnow33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)23°−5°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 23 mph37 km/h95%98%0
Mon 6aSnow33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)23°−5°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm15 mph24 km/h from SE, gusts 20 mph32 km/h96%97%0
Mon 7aSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)25°−4°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h96%91%0
Mon 8aSnow33°1° (likely 32°0° to 35°2°)25°−4°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h100%99%0
Mon 9aSnow33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)25°−4°100%, snow 0.7 in1.8 cm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h100%96%0
Mon 10aSnow33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)26°−3°100%, 0.09 in2.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h97%99%0
Mon 11aSnow33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)26°−3°100%, 0.09 in2.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h97%97%0
Mon 12pSnow34°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)27°−3°100%, 0.09 in2.3 mm10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h97%99%0
Mon 1pSnow35°2° (likely 34°1° to 36°2°)30°−1°90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h96%99%0
Mon 2pSnow36°2° (likely 34°1° to 36°2°)31°−1°90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h95%99%0
Mon 3pSnow36°2° (likely 34°1° to 36°2°)31°−1°90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h94%99%0

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
  1. Today, Oct 24. Snow. High 38°3°, low 33°1°. Snow 1–5 in3–13 cm, 80% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 36°2°

      80% chance · 0.08 in2 mm

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 34°1°

      80% chance · 0.22 in5.6 mm

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 33°1°

      70% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 38. East wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Tonight: Rain and snow before 4am, then rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 33. East wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    30°−1°–38°3°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–33°1°
    Wind
    23 mph37 km/h, gusts 48 mph77 km/h
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Snow. High 36°2°, low 33°1°. Snow 0–9 in0–23 cm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 33°1°

      90% chance · 1 in2.5 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 35°2°

      90% chance · 1.4 in3.6 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 33°1°

      90% chance · 1.8 in4.6 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 33°1°

      100% chance · 4 in11 cm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain and snow likely before 7am, then rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    Night: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 33. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    32°0°–37°3°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–35°2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Snow. High 36°2°, low 33°1°. Snow 0–6 in0–15 cm, 100% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 33°1°

      100% chance · 2.8 in7.1 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 36°2°

      100% chance · 0.1 in0.4 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 35°2°

      70% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 35°1°

      40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 36. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

    Night: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    34°1°–36°2°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–35°2°
    Wind
    16 mph25 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Snow. High 37°3°, low 32°0°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 90% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 35°2°

      60% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 36°2°

      50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 36°2°

      30% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 37.

    Night: A chance of rain before 10pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 32.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    35°2°–38°3°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–35°2°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 39°4°, low 31°−1°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 90% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 35°2°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 35°2°

      70% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 34°1°

      90% chance · 0.7 in1.7 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Heavy snow, 31°0°

      90% chance · 0.6 in1.6 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 39.

    Night: Rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 31. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    35°2°–39°4°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–35°2°
    Wind
    18 mph30 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 36°2°, low 28°−2°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 31°0°

      60% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 32°0°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 32°0°

      50% chance · 0.1 in0.4 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 32°0°

      60% chance · 0.5 in1.1 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 36. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Night: Rain and snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 28. Little or no snow accumulation expected.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    32°0°–36°2°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–33°1°
    Wind
    21 mph34 km/h, gusts 40 mph64 km/h
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 35°2°, low 27°−3°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 32°0°

      60% chance · 0.5 in1.3 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 34°1°

      50% chance · 0.4 in1 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 33°0°

      50% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 30°−1°

      50% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Snow likely before 10am, then a chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. New snow accumulation of less than half an inch possible.

    Night: A chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a low around 27.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    32°0°–36°2°
    Low, likely
    27°−3°–36°2°
    Wind
    21 mph34 km/h, gusts 42 mph68 km/h
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 30°−1°, low 24°−4°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 29°−2°

      40% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 31°0°

      40% chance · 0.3 in0.9 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 28°−2°

      40% chance · 0.3 in0.9 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Snow, 20°−7°

      40% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    27°−3°–36°2°
    Low, likely
    21°−6°–29°−2°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Snow. High 25°−4°, low 16°−9°. Snow 0–2 in0–5 cm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 19°−7°

      30% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 22°−6°

      30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 18°−8°

      20% chance · 0.1 in0.4 cm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 14°−10°

      20% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    23°−5°–27°−3°
    Low, likely
    13°−11°–19°−7°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Snow. High 18°−8°, low 9°−13°. Snow 0–1 in0–3 cm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Snow, 13°−11°

      20% chance · 0.1 in0.4 cm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Snow, 16°−9°

      20% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Snow, 14°−10°

      20% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    16°−9°–20°−7°
    Low, likely
    6°−14°–12°−11°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    84% chance of snow, high 38°, low 33°.

  2. Tomorrow

    94% chance of snow, high 36°, low 33°.

  3. Monday

    100% chance of snow, high 36°, low 33°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 18–39°; chance of precipitation on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (AFG) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Dahl Creek near Kobuk

2.0 mi
Level
4.7 ft
Flow
22 cfs

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 10:00 AM, sunset 6:21 PM.

Daylight
8 h 20 min
Losing 7 min 35 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 6 h 41 min less
Golden hour
4:49–6:57 PM
Morning 9:25–11:33 AM
Blue hour
6:57–7:18 PM
Morning 9:03–9:25 AM; first light 9:03 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 97% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 8:05 AM · rises 5:32 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking northeast from Kobuk. The highest point on the skyline is about 20,900 ft, 89 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.