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Observed 3:50 AM AKDT at PAEN

Nikiski, AK weather

Mostly clear and 30°−1°, rain ~4–3 PM (97%).

Today: low 30°−1°, high 41°5°.

One forecast only

Now 30°−1°

Mostly clear · Feels like 27°−3°

Wind
3 mph5 km/h
From the north-northeast. Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 4 PM
Dew point
28°−2°
Dry · up to 37°3° by 4 PM (comfortable)
Humidity
93%
Air 30°−1°, dew point 28°−2° · frost likely

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Dry until 4 PM
  • Below freezing until 10 AM (low 30°−1°)
  • High 41°5° today at 3 PM
  • Rain today 4 PM–tomorrow 4 PM (100%, 1.3 in32 mm)
  1. TonightNear 30°−1° · freezing, low 30°−1°
  2. This morningUp to 36°2° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · freezing, low 30°−1°
  3. This afternoonNear 40°4° · Rain 4–6 PM (70%)
  4. TonightNear 38°3° · Rain all night (90%)
  5. Tomorrow morningNear 38°3° · Rain all morning (100%)
  6. Tomorrow afternoonNear 41°5° · Rain noon–4 PM (80%)
  7. Tomorrow nightDown to 34°1° by midnight · rain chance 10%
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 4aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 30°−1°)30°−1°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE86%——
Sat 5aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 30°−1°)30°−1°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE84%——
Sat 6aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 30°−1°)30°−1°10%5 mph8 km/h from SE86%——
Sat 7aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 30°−1°)30°−1°10%0 mph0 km/h89%—0
Sat 8aCloudy30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 30°−1°)30°−1°10%0 mph0 km/h90%—0
Sat 9aCloudy32°0° (likely 32°0° to 32°0°)32°0°10%0 mph0 km/h90%—0
Sat 10aRain33°1° (likely 33°1° to 33°1°)33°1°20%0 mph0 km/h90%—0
Sat 11aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°20%0 mph0 km/h88%—0
Sat 12pRain38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)38°3°20%0 mph0 km/h86%—0
Sat 1pRain39°4° (likely 39°4° to 39°4°)39°4°30%0 mph0 km/h84%—0
Sat 2pRain40°4° (likely 40°4° to 40°4°)40°4°30%0 mph0 km/h84%—0
Sat 3pRain41°5° (likely 41°5° to 41°5°)41°5°30%0 mph0 km/h84%—0
Sat 4pRain41°5° (likely 41°5° to 41°5°)41°5°70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm0 mph0 km/h86%——
Sat 5pRain41°5° (likely 41°5° to 41°5°)41°5°70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm0 mph0 km/h89%——
Sat 6pRain39°4° (likely 39°4° to 39°4°)39°4°70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm0 mph0 km/h92%——
Sat 7pRain38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)38°3°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h94%——
Sat 8pRain38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)38°3°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h95%——
Sat 9pRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 37°3°)37°3°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h94%——
Sat 10pRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)37°3°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h94%——
Sat 11pRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h94%——
Sun 12aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°60%, 0.04 in1 mm0 mph0 km/h94%——
Sun 1aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°70%, 0.06 in1.5 mm0 mph0 km/h94%——
Sun 2aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°70%, 0.06 in1.5 mm0 mph0 km/h94%——
Sun 3aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°70%, 0.06 in1.5 mm0 mph0 km/h93%——
Sun 4aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE99%——
Sun 5aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE100%——
Sun 6aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°90%, 0.09 in2.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE99%——
Sun 7aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)30°−1°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE97%——
Sun 8aRain36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)31°−1°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE97%——
Sun 9aRain37°3° (likely 37°3° to 37°3°)31°−1°100%, 0.11 in2.8 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE96%——
Sun 10aRain38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)38°3°80%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE96%——
Sun 11aRain39°4° (likely 39°4° to 39°4°)39°4°80%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE96%——
Sun 12pRain40°4° (likely 40°4° to 40°4°)40°4°80%, 0.05 in1.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from SE96%——
Sun 1pShowers40°4° (likely 40°4° to 40°4°)41°5°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S95%——
Sun 2pShowers41°5° (likely 41°5° to 41°5°)41°5°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S93%——
Sun 3pShowers42°6° (likely 42°6° to 42°6°)42°6°50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm5 mph8 km/h from S91%——
Sun 4pMostly cloudy42°6° (likely 42°6° to 42°6°)42°6°10%5 mph8 km/h from S91%——
Sun 5pMostly cloudy42°6° (likely 42°6° to 42°6°)42°6°10%5 mph8 km/h from S94%——
Sun 6pMostly cloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 40°4°)40°4°10%5 mph8 km/h from S97%——
Sun 7pMostly cloudy38°3° (likely 38°3° to 38°3°)38°3°10%5 mph8 km/h from S100%——
Sun 8pMostly cloudy37°3° (likely 37°3° to 37°3°)37°3°10%5 mph8 km/h from S100%——
Sun 9pMostly cloudy36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)36°2°10%5 mph8 km/h from S100%——
Sun 10pMostly cloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)28°−2°5%10 mph16 km/h from S99%——
Sun 11pMostly cloudy35°2° (likely 35°2° to 35°2°)28°−2°5%10 mph16 km/h from S99%——
Mon 12aMostly cloudy34°1° (likely 34°1° to 34°1°)27°−3°5%10 mph16 km/h from S98%——
Mon 1aMostly cloudy36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)29°−2°5%10 mph16 km/h from S98%——
Mon 2aMostly cloudy36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)28°−2°5%10 mph16 km/h from S98%——
Mon 3aMostly cloudy36°2° (likely 36°2° to 36°2°)28°−2°5%10 mph16 km/h from S97%——

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 41°5°, low 30°−1°. Typical 39°4° / 24°−4°. Rain, 70% chance. One forecast only.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 30°−1°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 41°5°

      70% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Rain, 38°3°

      70% chance · 0.22 in5.6 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Rain, 36°2°

      90% chance · 0.4 in10 mm

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Rain likely after 10am. Cloudy, with a high near 41. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    Tonight: Cloudy, with a low around 30. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

    One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.

    High, likely
    41°5°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°
    Typical high / low
    39°4° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 42°6°, low 34°1°. Typical 38°3° / 24°−4°. Rain, 100% chance. One forecast only.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Rain, 36°2°

      100% chance · 0.52 in13 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Rain, 42°6°

      80% chance · 0.08 in2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Mostly cloudy, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly cloudy, 34°1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain before 1pm, then scattered rain showers between 1pm and 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.

    High, likely
    42°6°
    Low, likely
    34°1°
    Typical high / low
    38°3° / 24°−4°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 45°7°, low 35°2°. Typical 38°3° / 23°−5°. Dry. One forecast only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 45. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.

    One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.

    High, likely
    45°7°
    Low, likely
    35°2°
    Typical high / low
    38°3° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly cloudy. High 43°6°, low 34°1°. Typical 37°3° / 23°−5°. Dry. One forecast only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 43.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.

    One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.

    High, likely
    43°6°
    Low, likely
    34°1°
    Typical high / low
    37°3° / 23°−5°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Snow. High 42°6°, low 34°1°. Typical 37°3° / 22°−6°. Snow, 50% chance. One forecast only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow after 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42.

    Night: A chance of rain before 4am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.

    One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.

    High, likely
    42°6°
    Low, likely
    34°1°
    Typical high / low
    37°3° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 42°6°, low 35°2°. Typical 36°2° / 22°−6°. Snow, 50% chance. One forecast only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42.

    Night: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 35.

    One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.

    High, likely
    42°6°
    Low, likely
    35°2°
    Typical high / low
    36°2° / 22°−6°
    Wind
    5 mph8 km/h
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 43°6°, low 0°−18°. Typical 36°2° / 21°−6°. Rain, 60% chance. One forecast only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 43.

    One forecast onlyOnly one forecast covers this day, so there is nothing to compare against.

    High, likely
    43°6°
    Low, likely
    0°−18°
    Typical high / low
    36°2° / 21°−6°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h

The outlook

  1. Today

    66% chance of rain, high 41°, low 30°.

  2. Tomorrow

    97% chance of rain, high 42°, low 34°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 45°, low 35°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 42–43°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Kenai River at Soldotna

18 mi
Below flood stage
Level
6.8 ft
Flow
4,030 cfs

Forecast peak 6.7 ft Sat 4 AM

Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page

Swanson River at Oil Field Service Road Bridge near Kenai

12 mi
Level
22.9 ft

Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page

Funny River 1.3 miles above Kenai River near Sterling

21 mi
Level
27.1 ft

Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page

Moose River 5 mi above Kenai River near Sterling

21 mi
Level
25.9 ft

Reading from Sat 2 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 78% less heating than a typical week.

This week 55Typical 245

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
47
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 47 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Kenai Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1899–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 2°1° warmer than typical.

Normal high / low
39°4° / 24°−4°
Forecast high / low
41°5° / 30°−1°
Record high
51°11° in 2009
Record low
−6°−21° in 2001

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +2°+1°SunOct 18
  2. +2°+1°MonOct 19
  3. +6°+3°TueOct 20
  4. ±0°WedOct 21
  5. −3°−2°ThuOct 22
  6. −7°−4°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Nikiski weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 9:10 AM, sunset 6:26 PM.

Daylight
9 h 17 min
Losing 5 min 23 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 3 h 39 min less
Golden hour
5:21–6:54 PM
Morning 8:42–10:15 AM
Blue hour
6:54–7:11 PM
Morning 8:25–8:42 AM; first light 8:25 AM

Stars tonight? Unknown

Cloud forecast not available for tonight.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 7:21 AM · rises 5:34 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 8
Looking northwest from Nikiski. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,000 ft, 72 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.