Observed 3:10 PM AKDT at PAHO

Ninilchik, AK weather

Overcast and 48°9°, rain ~5–12 PM (95%).

Mostly agree

Now 48°9°

Cloudy · Feels like 43°6°

Wind: 12 mph19 km/hgusts 20 mph32 km/h; From the south. Up to 12 mph19 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 36°2°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 1Low; Low all day (peak 1)
Pressure: 30.24 inHg1024 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.5 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Rain until tomorrow 1 PM (100%, 0.57 in14 mm)
Low 36°2° tonight at 10 PM
Gusts to 35 mph56 km/h tomorrow night midnight–2 PM

This afternoonNear 43°6° · Rain all afternoon (70%)
TonightDown to 36°2° by 10 PM · Rain all night (100%)
Tomorrow morningNear 38°3° · Rain all morning (100%)
Tomorrow afternoonNear 42°6° · Rain noon–1 PM (40%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 33°1° by 11 PM · rain chance 20% · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h · Mostly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 40°4° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · gusts to 35 mph56 km/h · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 44°7° · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Rain	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	43°6°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	89%	99%	0
Sat 5p	Rain	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	43°6°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	93%	99%	0
Sat 6p	Rain	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	41°5°	70%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	91%	99%	0
Sat 7p	Rain	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 40°4°)	39°4°	70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	91%	99%	0
Sat 8p	Rain	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	38°3°	70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	90%	99%	0
Sat 9p	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	37°3°	70%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	100%	0
Sat 10p	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	91%	100%	0
Sat 11p	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	91%	100%	0
Sun 12a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	80%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	90%	99%	0
Sun 1a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	90%	99%	0
Sun 2a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	90%	100%	0
Sun 3a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	32°0°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	90%	98%	0
Sun 4a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	32°0°	100%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	92%	99%	0
Sun 5a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	31°−1°	100%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	92%	99%	0
Sun 6a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	32°0°	100%, 0.04 in1 mm	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	92%	99%	0
Sun 7a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	30°−1°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	91%	99%	0
Sun 8a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	30°−1°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	92%	95%	0
Sun 9a	Rain	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	30°−1°	80%, 0.04 in1 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	94%	86%	0
Sun 10a	Showers	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	31°−1°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	95%	82%	0
Sun 11a	Showers	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	33°1°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	96%	66%	0
Sun 12p	Showers	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	35°2°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	96%	76%	0
Sun 1p	Showers	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	37°3°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	96%	55%	0
Sun 2p	Showers	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	38°3°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	95%	53%	0
Sun 3p	Showers	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	20%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	94%	51%	0
Sun 4p	Mostly cloudy	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	38°3°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	93%	52%	1
Sun 5p	Mostly cloudy	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)	37°3°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	94%	22%	1
Sun 6p	Mostly cloudy	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	34°1°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	96%	31%	0
Sun 7p	Partly cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	31°−1°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	98%	31%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	28°−2°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	98%	42%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	27°−3°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	98%	45%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	25°−4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	97%	53%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	25°−4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	96%	70%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)	25°−4°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	94%	77%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	27°−3°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	93%	74%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	27°−3°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 29 mph47 km/h	92%	82%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	26°−3°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	91%	94%	0
Mon 4a	Rain	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 43°6°)	26°−3°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 33 mph53 km/h	90%	96%	0
Mon 5a	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	26°−3°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 33 mph54 km/h	90%	81%	0
Mon 6a	Rain	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	27°−3°	20%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 32 mph52 km/h	90%	61%	0
Mon 7a	Partly cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	27°−3°	10%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 33 mph54 km/h	90%	73%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	28°−2°	10%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 34 mph55 km/h	91%	72%	0
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	28°−2°	10%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 34 mph54 km/h	91%	68%	0
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	29°−2°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 35 mph56 km/h	91%	67%	0
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	32°0°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 33 mph53 km/h	90%	65%	0
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	35°2°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 33 mph53 km/h	88%	62%	1
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	38°3°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	86%	62%	1
Mon 2p	Partly sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	38°3°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	85%	65%	1
Mon 3p	Partly sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	39°4°	5%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	84%	70%	1

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 43°6°, low 36°2°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 43°6°
  70% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 38°3°
  80% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 37°3°
  100% chance · 0.23 in5.8 mm
Official NWS forecast
Today: Rain likely. Cloudy, with a high near 43. Southeast wind around 0 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight: Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 36. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
40°4°–44°7°
Low, likely
30°−1°–36°2°
Wind
5 mph8 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Rain. High 44°7°, low 33°1°. Rain 0.25 in6.4 mm, 100% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 37°3°
  100% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 44°7°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain before 10am, then scattered rain showers between 10am and 4pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Night: A slight chance of rain after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Low, likely
33°1°–40°4°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
Monday, Oct 26. Rain. High 46°8°, low 34°1°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 46. South wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind 0 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
45°7°–48°9°
Low, likely
34°1°–41°5°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 40 mph65 km/h
UV peak
1
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 46°8°, low 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 42°5°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 46.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
39°4°–46°8°
Low, likely
30°−1°–36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
1
Wednesday, Oct 28. Rain. High 45°7°, low 35°2°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 33°0°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 37°3°
  60% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 36°2°
  60% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 45.
Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
40°4°–45°7°
Low, likely
30°−1°–35°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
Thursday, Oct 29. Rain. High 44°7°, low 36°2°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 40°5°
  70% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 41°5°
  80% chance · 0.3 in0.8 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44.
Night: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
38°3°–46°8°
Low, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 44°7°, low 34°1°. Rain 0.54 in14 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  70% chance · 0.6 in1.5 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  60% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 40°4°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  30% chance · 0.2 in0.4 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44.
Night: Rain likely before 4am, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Low, likely
34°1°–43°6°
Wind
21 mph34 km/h, gusts 43 mph68 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 40°4°, low 34°1°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  30% chance · 0.3 in0.6 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 39°4°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 36°2°
  20% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 32°0°
  20% chance · 0.3 in0.7 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Low, likely
32°0°–36°2°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Snow showers. High 38°3°, low 29°−2°. Snow 0–3 in0–8 cm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 30°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 35°2°
  20% chance · 0.4 in1 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 35°2°
  20% chance · 0.7 in1.8 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Snow, 36°2°
  30% chance · 1 in2.4 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
36°2°–42°6°
Low, likely
24°−4°–31°−1°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Snow showers. High 39°4°, low 32°0°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Snow, 36°2°
  30% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 36°2°
  30% chance · 0.1 in0.3 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 35°2°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
31°−1°–43°6°
Low, likely
27°−3°–35°2°
Wind
23 mph36 km/h, gusts 46 mph74 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
74% chance of rain, high 43°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
95% chance of rain, high 44°, low 33°.
Monday
Dry, high 46°, low 34°.
Rest of week
Highs 38–46°; chance of precipitation on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday.

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Ninilchik River at Ninilchik

9.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.8 ft
Flow: 118 cfs

Forecast peak 5.1 ft Mon 4 AM

Reading from Sat 2:50 PM · NWS gauge page

Anchor River near Anchor Point

25 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.2 ft
Flow: 230 cfs

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Mon 10 AM

Reading from Sat 2:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Anchor River at Anchor Point

25 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 11.2 ft
Flow: 747 cfs

Forecast peak 12.1 ft Mon 4 PM

Reading from Sat 2:50 PM · NWS gauge page

Kasilof River near Kasilof

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 38.1 ft

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 9 h 21 min; Losing 5 min 14 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 3 h 30 min less
Golden hour: 5:26–6:56 PM; Morning 8:41–10:11 AM
Blue hour: 6:56–7:13 PM; Morning 8:24–8:41 AM; first light 8:24 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 99% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 7:20 AM · rises 5:36 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northwest from Ninilchik. The highest point on the skyline is about 10,500 ft, 91 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Ninilchik, AK weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Ninilchik River at Ninilchik

Anchor River near Anchor Point

Anchor River at Anchor Point

Kasilof River near Kasilof

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon