Observed 11:15 PM CDT at KFSM

Lavaca, AR weather

Clear and 61°16°, 10°6° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Mostly agree

Now 61°16°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 11 AM
Dew point: 50°10°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 47Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.29 inHg1026 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (63°17° then, 62°17° now)

Good hours for

Low 53°12° tomorrow at 8 AM
Above 70°21° tomorrow by noon
High 81°27° tomorrow at 5 PM
Below 70°21° tomorrow night after 9 PM

TonightDown to 55°13° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 81°27° by 5 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 55°13° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 79°26° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Monday nightDown to 63°17° by 10 PM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 11p	Partly cloudy	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	67%	65%	0
Sun 12a	Partly cloudy	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	70%	75%	0
Sun 1a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	75%	76%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	77%	70%	0
Sun 3a	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	80%	53%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	77%	41%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	80%	61%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	83%	51%	0
Sun 7a	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	58%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	83%	77%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	80%	73%	1
Sun 10a	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	65%	72%	2
Sun 11a	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	55%	73%	3
Sun 12p	Cloudy	73°23° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	48%	75%	4
Sun 1p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 77°25° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	39%	80%	5
Sun 2p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 79°26° to 81°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	38%	83%	5
Sun 3p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 79°26° to 81°27°)	80°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	36%	85%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 79°26° to 81°27°)	80°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	35%	87%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	81°27° (likely 77°25° to 81°27°)	80°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	35%	86%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 73°23° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	38%	87%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	43%	84%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	51%	88%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	58%	89%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	58%	90%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	62%	92%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	67%	94%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	72%	94%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	77%	94%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	89%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	77%	78%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	78%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	83%	70%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	86%	54%	0
Mon 8a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	83%	81%	0
Mon 9a	Cloudy	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	77%	70%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	65%	67%	2
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	55%	59%	3
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	39%	4
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	76°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)	76°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	42%	34%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	78°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)	78°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	39%	42%	5
Mon 3p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	36%	79%	4
Mon 4p	Partly sunny	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	36%	73%	3
Mon 5p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 75°24° to 79°26°)	78°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	38%	79%	2
Mon 6p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	41%	80%	1
Mon 7p	Cloudy	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	46%	80%	0
Mon 8p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	51%	77%	0
Mon 9p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	58%	78%	0
Mon 10p	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	65%	84%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 83°28°, low 53°12°. Typical 73°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. East wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 48°9°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 53°12°. Typical 72°22° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 81. East wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
79°26°–81°27°
Low, likely
51°11°–57°14°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 79°26°, low 55°13°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. East wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–80°27°
Low, likely
51°11°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 78°26°, low 54°12°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–80°27°
Low, likely
54°12°–58°14°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 82°28°, low 57°14°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 82°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–83°28°
Low, likely
51°11°–58°14°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly sunny. High 84°29°, low 57°14°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 84°29°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 71°22°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. East wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–85°29°
Low, likely
54°12°–61°16°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 80°27°, low 60°16°. Typical 70°21° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
75°24°–82°28°
Low, likely
54°12°–63°17°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 46°8°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 78°26°, low 63°17°. Typical 70°21° / 45°7°. Rain 0.44 in11 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 72°22°
  40% chance · 0.26 in6.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  30% chance · 0.29 in7.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 67°19°
  30% chance · 0.19 in4.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
66°19°–80°27°
Low, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 81°27°, low 67°19°. Typical 69°21° / 45°7°. Rain 0.49 in12 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 70°21°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 83°28°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 75°24°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 63°17°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
75°24°–91°33°
Low, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 45°7°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 79°26°, low 62°17°. Typical 69°21° / 45°7°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 68°20°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–93°34°
Low, likely
44°7°–70°21°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 45°7°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 83°, low 53°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 81°, low 53°.
Monday
Dry, high 79°, low 55°.
Rest of week
Highs 78–84°; chance of precipitation on Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TSA) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Arkansas River at Van Buren

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 19.2 ft
Flow: 9,670 cfs

Forecast peak 19.2 ft Mon 7 PM

Reading from Sat 10 PM · NWS gauge page

Mulberry River (AR) near Mulberry

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.9 ft
Flow: 10 cfs

Forecast peak 0.9 ft Sun 1 AM

Reading from Sat 10:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Arkansas River at Ozark L/D Tailwater

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 338 ft
Flow: 6,440 cfs

Forecast peak 338 ft Sun 1 AM

Reading from Sat 10 PM · NWS gauge page

Northwest Arkansas Lakes at Barling Lock and Dam

6.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 392 ft
Flow: 178,000 cfs

Reading from Sat 10 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

This week 9Typical 0

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 50°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 10:00 AM–1:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Fort Smith Regional Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1882–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 10°6° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−1°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+3°+1°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
+7°+4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Lavaca weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 59 min; Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 13 min less
Golden hour: 5:55–6:46 PM; Morning 7:15–8:05 AM
Blue hour: 6:46–6:56 PM; Morning 7:05–7:15 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 61% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:48 AM · rises 5:27 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Lavaca. The highest point on the skyline is about 2,700 ft, 27 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Lavaca, AR weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Arkansas River at Van Buren

Mulberry River (AR) near Mulberry

Arkansas River at Ozark L/D Tailwater

Northwest Arkansas Lakes at Barling Lock and Dam

For your home

Cooling this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon