Observed 1:53 PM CDT at KMWT

Pencil Bluff, AR weather

Sunny and 82°28°, 12°7° warmer than a typical Oct 24.

Mostly agree

Now 82°28°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Up to 5 mph8 km/h through 2 AM
Dew point: 45°7°; Comfortable
UV index: 5Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Pressure: 30.23 inHg1024 hPa; Falling · −0.06 inHg−2.2 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

3°2° warmer than this time yesterday (79°26° then, 82°28° now)

Good hours for

High 84°29° today at 4 PM
Drops 15°8° tonight 6–9 PM (78°26° → 63°17°)
Low 46°8° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 10 AM
Drops 14°8° tomorrow night 6–9 PM (75°24° → 61°16°)

This afternoonNear 82°28° · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 48°9° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 70°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 80°27° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 48°9° by 5 AM · Cloudy
Monday morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Sunny	82°28° (likely 80°27° to 83°28°)	80°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	26%	2%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	83°28° (likely 81°27° to 83°28°)	81°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	25%	23%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	84°29° (likely 80°27° to 84°29°)	82°28°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	25%	43%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	82°28° (likely 77°25° to 82°28°)	80°27°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	26%	41%	1
Sat 6p	Sunny	78°26° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	32%	40%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	16%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	60%	15%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	67%	2%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	77%	5%	0
Sat 11p	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	77%	25%	0
Sun 12a	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	39%	0
Sun 1a	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	57%	0
Sun 2a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	75%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	70%	0
Sun 4a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	89%	48%	0
Sun 5a	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	89%	56%	0
Sun 6a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	93%	63%	0
Sun 7a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	96%	59%	0
Sun 8a	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	93%	72%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 60°16°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	79%	1
Sun 10a	Cloudy	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	58%	84%	2
Sun 11a	Cloudy	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	42%	81%	3
Sun 12p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	34%	73%	4
Sun 1p	Cloudy	78°26° (likely 75°24° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	29%	74%	5
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	28%	78%	5
Sun 3p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	27%	81%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	80°27° (likely 76°24° to 80°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	26%	80%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	79°26° (likely 74°23° to 79°26°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	28%	72%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	75°24° (likely 69°21° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	33%	87%	1
Sun 7p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	87%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	88%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	67%	89%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	91%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	93%	0
Mon 12a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	80%	94%	0
Mon 1a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	80%	91%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	83%	90%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	86%	95%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	86%	92%	0
Mon 5a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	89%	91%	0
Mon 6a	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	89%	86%	0
Mon 7a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	93%	86%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 57°14°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	93%	75%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	77%	77%	1
Mon 10a	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	60%	49%	2
Mon 11a	Partly sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	47%	53%	3
Mon 12p	Partly sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	38%	31%	5
Mon 1p	Partly sunny	76°24° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	33%	49%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 84°29°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 84°29°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 84. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. East northeast wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
81°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 81°27°, low 47°8°. Typical 72°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–81°27°
Low, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 46°8°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 80°27°, low 47°8°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 80, with temperatures falling to around 76 in the afternoon. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
75°24°–80°27°
Low, likely
47°8°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Cloudy. High 79°26°, low 48°9°. Typical 71°22° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 79. East wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. East southeast wind around 0 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–79°26°
Low, likely
48°9°–55°13°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 46°8°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 83°28°, low 50°10°. Typical 70°21° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 65°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 83. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 83°28°).
High, likely
78°26°–83°28°
Low, likely
48°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 45°7°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 84°29°, low 50°10°. Typical 70°21° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 82°28°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 67°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
80°27°–84°29°
Low, likely
50°10°–58°14°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 45°7°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Mostly cloudy. High 81°27°, low 55°13°. Typical 70°21° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 81.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
73°23°–81°27°
Low, likely
54°12°–58°14°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 74°23°, low 62°17°. Typical 69°21° / 44°7°. Rain 0.28 in7.1 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 72°22°
  30% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 69°20°
  30% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 67°20°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–78°26°
Low, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 44°7°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 78°26°, low 65°18°. Typical 69°21° / 44°7°. Rain 0.61 in15 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 69°21°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 80°27°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 73°23°
  30% chance · 0.54 in14 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
73°23°–85°29°
Low, likely
63°17°–67°19°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 44°7°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 56°13°. Typical 69°21° / 44°7°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 60°16°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°15°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–82°28°
Low, likely
47°8°–69°21°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 44°7°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 84°, low 46°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 81°, low 47°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 80°, low 47°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 70–84°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (LZK) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Fourche LaFave River near Gravelly

17 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.9 ft
Flow: 9 cfs

Reading from Sat 11:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 15Typical 48

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 5
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 6:00 PM–9:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Mount Ida · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1883–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 12°7° warmer than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° colder than normal (daily mean temperature).

−8°−5°SunOct 18
−4°−2°MonOct 19
−3°−2°TueOct 20
+1°WedOct 21
+2°+1°ThuOct 22
+3°+1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Pencil Bluff weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 1 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 11 min less
Golden hour: 5:54–6:45 PM; Morning 7:12–8:03 AM
Blue hour: 6:45–6:55 PM; Morning 7:02–7:12 AM; first light 7:02 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 7 PM–12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:46 AM · rises 5:26 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Pencil Bluff. The highest point on the skyline is about 5,400 ft, 27 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.