Model estimate for 3:00 PM MST (no recent station report)

Ash Fork, AZ weather

Overcast and 59°15°, jacket by 5 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 59°15°

Cloudy

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the south. Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 38°3°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 5

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 39°4° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM

This afternoonDown to 55°13° by 5 PM · rain chance 20% · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 41°5° by 4 AM · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 56°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 59°15° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 64°18° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	45%	78%	4
Sat 4p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	56°13°	20%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	51%	82%	2
Sat 5p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	20%	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	53%	83%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	63%	89%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	49°9°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	71%	86%	0
Sat 8p	Cloudy	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	47°8°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	74%	67%	0
Sat 9p	Showers	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	74%	63%	0
Sat 10p	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	44°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	34%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	12%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	82%	1%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	82%	2%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	7%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	11%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	12%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	12%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	40°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	11%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	14%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	82%	14%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	68%	14%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	59%	12%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	55%	11%	4
Sun 12p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	51%	14%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	47%	19%	5
Sun 2p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	16%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	42%	15%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	42%	9%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 58°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	49%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	56%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	61%	1%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	71%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	73%	2%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	76%	4%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	82%	41%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	85%	44%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	37°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	82%	47%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 39°4°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	85%	46%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	48%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly sunny	39°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	59%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	67%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	65%	68%	2
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	51%	63%	3
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	41%	53%	4
Mon 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	36%	20%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	33%	24%	5
Mon 2p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	33%	18%	5

Days ahead

Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2pm. Mostly sunny. High near 61, with temperatures falling to around 55 in the afternoon. South wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy. Low around 38, with temperatures rising to around 41 overnight. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–61°16°
Low, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 62°17°, low 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 59 in the afternoon. South wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. East wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
59°15°–62°17°
Low, likely
37°3°–40°4°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–39°4°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 67°19°, low 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 67. South wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–46°8°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 2 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
39°4°–46°8°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  20% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Southeast wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers between 11pm and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–49°9°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 59°15°, low 44°7°. Storms 0.42 in11 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  50% chance · 0.21 in5.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. South wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–60°16°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 55°13°, low 44°7°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  40% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
54°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
36°2°–48°9°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 39°4°. Rain 0.42 in11 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 42°6°
  40% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  50% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–62°17°
Low, likely
30°−1°–45°7°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Rain. High 56°13°, low 39°4°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 44°6°
  30% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–62°17°
Low, likely
27°−3°–49°9°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 61°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 37°.
Monday
Dry, high 65°, low 37°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 54–67°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Verde River below Paulden

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.6 ft
Flow: 174 cfs

Forecast peak 4.7 ft Sat 3 PM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Big Chino Wash at Paulden

24 mi

Level: 4.2 ft
Flow: 42 cfs

Reading from Sat 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 0 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 13 min less
Golden hour: 5:08–5:59 PM; Morning 6:28–7:19 AM
Blue hour: 5:59–6:09 PM; Morning 6:18–6:28 AM; first light 6:18 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 11 PM–6:19 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:05 AM · rises 4:42 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Ash Fork. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,200 ft, 16 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.