Observed 2:35 AM MST at KPAN
Bear Flat, AZ weather
Clear and 45°7°, 8°4° colder than a typical Oct 24, rain ~11 AM–4 PM (52%).
Today: low 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°), high 62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°).
Now 45°7°
Clear
- Wind
- Calm
- Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 3 PM
- Dew point
- 43°6°
- Comfortable
- Humidity
- 93%
- Air 45°7°, dew point 43°6° · fog or dew likely
- UV index
- 0Low
- High 12–2 PM · peak 6
- Pressure
- 30 inHg1016 hPa
- Steady over the last 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
TonightNear 42°6° · Clear
This morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (40%)
This afternoonDown to 58°14° by 5 PM · Rain noon–5 PM (50%)
TonightDown to 36°2° by 3 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 64°18° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 10 PM · Clear
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 3a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 7% | 0 |
| Sat 4a | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°) | 42°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 17% | 0 |
| Sat 5a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°) | 41°5° | 5% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 22% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°) | 41°5° | 5% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 24% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Fog | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°) | 41°5° | 5% | 1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 33% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Mostly sunny | 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 10% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 93% | 61% | 1 |
| Sat 9a | Cloudy | 55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°) | 55°13° | 10% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 74% | 72% | 2 |
| Sat 10a | Partly sunny | 59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 10% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 62% | 73% | 4 |
| Sat 11a | Partly sunny | 62°17° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 56% | 59% | 5 |
| Sat 12p | Rain | 62°17° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 56% | 65% | 6 |
| Sat 1p | Mostly sunny | 62°17° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 40%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 58% | 55% | 6 |
| Sat 2p | Mostly sunny | 61°16° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 60% | 61% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°) | 61°16° | 50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 62% | 49% | 3 |
| Sat 4p | Cloudy | 59°15° (likely 51°11° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph25 km/h | 67% | 70% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Mostly sunny | 58°14° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 5% | 6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 69% | 30% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Mostly clear | 53°12° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 5% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph15 km/h | 83% | 42% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 46°8° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 7% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°) | 43°6° | 5% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 1% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 5% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°) | 40°4° | 5% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 1% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°) | 37°3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°) | 37°3° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°) | 36°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°) | 36°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°) | 36°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 100% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°) | 36°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 4% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Sunny | 36°2° (likely 36°2° to 45°7°) | 36°2° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°) | 43°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 0% | 1 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 77% | 1% | 2 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 55% | 2% | 3 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 62°17° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 48% | 4% | 5 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 45% | 7% | 5 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 43% | 5% | 6 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 43% | 0% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 43% | 0% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 43% | 0% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 48% | 0% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 62% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°) | 50°10° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 80% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°) | 44°7° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 96% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°) | 39°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°) | 37°3° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 49°9°) | 37°3° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°) | 37°3° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 100% | 1% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 100% | 2% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Mostly clear | 41°5° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 100% | 7% | 0 |
Days ahead
Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 62°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 70°21° / 37°3°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 48°9°40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Rain, 62°17°50% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 43°6°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 36°2°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Patchy fog before 8am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 58 in the afternoon. South wind 1 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tonight: Patchy fog. Mostly clear, with a low around 41. East wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 58°14°–62°17°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–47°8°
- Typical high / low
- 70°21° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 70°21° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 43°6°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 65°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 45°7°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 41°5°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 65. Southwest wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Northeast wind 0 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 60°16°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 37°3°–45°7°
- Typical high / low
- 70°21° / 37°3°
- Wind
- 10 mph17 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 41°5°. Typical 69°21° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 51°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 51°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 45°7°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 0 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. East wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–47°8°
- Typical high / low
- 69°21° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 42°6°. Typical 69°21° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 51°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 67°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 51°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 44°7°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. South wind 0 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. East wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–70°21°
- Low, likely
- 40°4°–47°8°
- Typical high / low
- 69°21° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 45°7°. Typical 69°21° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 49°9°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 0 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 64°18°–71°22°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–47°8°
- Typical high / low
- 69°21° / 36°2°
- Wind
- 9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 68°20° / 35°2°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 55°13°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 50°10°30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Southeast wind 1 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 64°18°–70°21°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–50°10°
- Typical high / low
- 68°20° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 61°16°, low 48°9°. Typical 68°20° / 35°2°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 53°11°40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 60°15°60% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 52°11°50% chance · 0.15 in3.7 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Rain, 49°10°50% chance · 0.24 in6.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. South wind 1 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 54°12°–63°17°
- Low, likely
- 46°8°–49°9°
- Typical high / low
- 68°20° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
Saturday, Oct 31. Rain. High 56°13°, low 46°8°. Typical 68°20° / 35°2°. Rain 0.66 in17 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 51°10°50% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 57°14°50% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 50°10°50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 49°9°50% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 50°10°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–49°9°
- Typical high / low
- 68°20° / 35°2°
- Wind
- 9 mph15 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 53°12°, low 45°7°. Typical 67°19° / 34°1°. Rain 0.66 in17 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 49°9°60% chance · 0.23 in5.9 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 55°13°50% chance · 0.15 in3.9 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 48°9°50% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 45°7°50% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 48°9°–60°16°
- Low, likely
- 39°4°–51°11°
- Typical high / low
- 67°19° / 34°1°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 56°13°, low 43°6°. Typical 67°19° / 34°1°. Rain 0.26 in6.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 48°9°40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 58°14°30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 51°10°20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 51°11°–66°19°
- Low, likely
- 37°3°–50°10°
- Typical high / low
- 67°19° / 34°1°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
The outlook
Today
52% chance of rain, high 62°, low 41°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 38°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 69°, low 41°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 53–70°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 64% less heating than a typical week.
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 25
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 21 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).
Open the windows?
Sun, 11:00 AM–5:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Is this typical?
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 8°4° colder than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 70°21° / 37°3°
- Forecast high / low
- 62°17° / 41°5°
- Record high
- 85°29° in 1905
- Record low
- 10°−12° in 1980
Last 7 days vs normal
- —SunOct 18
- —MonOct 19
- —TueOct 20
- —WedOct 21
- —ThuOct 22
- —FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Bear Flat weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 6:37 AM, sunset 5:39 PM.
- Daylight
- 11 h 2 min
- Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:04–5:54 PM
- Morning 6:21–7:11 AM
- Blue hour
- 5:54–6:04 PM
- Morning 6:11–6:21 AM; first light 6:11 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Mostly clear 3:25–6:11 AM, but the moon is 96% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 4:58 AM · rises 4:37 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
