Model estimate for 8:00 AM MST (no recent station report)

Beaver Valley, AZ weather

Sunny and 48°9°, 15°8° colder than a typical Oct 24, rain ~2–4 PM (47%).

Mostly agree

Now 48°9°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the northeast. Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point: 42°6°; Comfortable
UV index: 1Low; High 12–1 PM · peak 6

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Dry until 11 AM
Rain today 11 AM–5 PM (50%, 0.12 in3 mm)
High 58°14° today at noon
Below 50°10° tonight after 6 PM
Low 38°3° tonight at 4 AM

This morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (30%)
This afternoonDown to 51°11° by 5 PM · Rain noon–5 PM (50%)
TonightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 59°15° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 59°15° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 39°4° by 5 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	80%	18%	1
Sat 9a	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	52°11°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	66%	22%	2
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	59%	34%	3
Sat 11a	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	53%	40%	5
Sat 12p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	51%	44%	6
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	57°14°	30%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	55%	53%	5
Sat 2p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	54°12°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	61%	59%	4
Sat 3p	Rain	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	64%	58%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	50%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	66%	32%	2
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	51°11°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	74%	22%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	46°8°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	45%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	45%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	43°6°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	30%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	100%	31%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	42°6°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	63%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	2%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	5%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	42%	10%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	42%	22%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	41%	18%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	42%	11%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	45%	3%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	53%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	39°4°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	38°3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	38°3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	93%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	38°3°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	89%	32%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	89%	40%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	37°3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	48%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	35°2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	93%	38%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	34°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	92%	29%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°)	33°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	96%	27%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)	34°1°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	92%	9%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	36°2°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	86%	24%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 58°14°, low 38°3°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 58°14°
  50% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 51 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 3 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. North wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 60°16°, low 39°4°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 60, with temperatures falling to around 57 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. North wind 2 to 10 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 1 to 9 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. East wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–67°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 1 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. East wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–68°20°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 1 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. East wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 56°13°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.26 in6.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  50% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  60% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  60% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 49°9°
  60% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. South wind 2 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 56°13°, low 46°8°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.51 in13 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  60% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  60% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  70% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–58°14°
Low, likely
45°7°–46°8°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.49 in12 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  70% chance · 0.2 in5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  60% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–68°20°
Low, likely
43°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 45°7°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°16°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–73°23°
Low, likely
41°5°–52°11°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
47% chance of rain, high 58°, low 38°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 60°, low 39°.
Monday
Dry, high 65°, low 42°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 56–65°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Fossil Creek near Strawberry

19 mi

Level: 4.0 ft
Flow: 44 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

East Verde River near Childs

20 mi

Level: 13.1 ft
Flow: 311 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 53% less heating than a typical week.

This week 34Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 28
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 16 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 42°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–3:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 15°8° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Beaver Valley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour: 5:05–5:55 PM; Morning 6:22–7:12 AM
Blue hour: 5:55–6:05 PM; Morning 6:12–6:22 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10 PM–6:13 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:59 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Beaver Valley. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,000 ft, 9 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.