Model estimate for 8:00 AM MST (no recent station report)

Blue Ridge, AZ weather

Sunny and 41°5°, 11°6° colder than a typical Oct 24, rain ~2–4 PM (54%).

Forecasts agree

Now 41°5°

Sunny

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the southwest. Gusts to 25 mph41 km/h around 2 PM
Dew point: 40°4°; Comfortable
Humidity: 96%; Air 41°5°, dew point 40°4° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 5

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Dry until 11 AM
Rain today 11 AM–5 PM (50%, 0.18 in4.6 mm)
Gusts to 25 mph40 km/h today 2–3 PM
Below freezing tonight 4–8 AM (low 30°−1°)
Below freezing tomorrow night 3–7 AM (low 31°−1°)

This morningUp to 53°12° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (30%)
This afternoonDown to 47°8° by 5 PM · Rain noon–5 PM (50%) · gusts to 25 mph40 km/h
TonightDown to 30°−1° by 5 AM · rain chance 10% · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 53°12° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 31°−1° by 4 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	96%	18%	0
Sat 9a	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 48°9°)	46°8°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	24%	0
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	61%	37%	1
Sat 11a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	53°12°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	54%	75%	3
Sat 12p	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	57%	76%	4
Sat 1p	Drizzle	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	53°12°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	57%	84%	5
Sat 2p	Rain	52°11° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)	52°11°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph41 km/h	59%	81%	4
Sat 3p	Drizzle	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	63%	70%	3
Sat 4p	Rain	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	66%	58%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	43°6°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	74%	23%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	39°4°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	16%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)	40°4°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	38°3°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	100%	39%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 38°3°)	38°3°	10%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 37°3°)	36°2°	10%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	8%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 36°2°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 36°2°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 35°2°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 35°2°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°)	30°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	2%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	61%	9%	3
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	54%	24%	5
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	48%	52%	6
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	47%	46%	6
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	45%	48%	5
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	48%	38%	4
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	48%	17%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	59%	1%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	37°3° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	31%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	38%	0
Mon 2a	Fog	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	47%	0
Mon 3a	Fog	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	38%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	32%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	26%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	16%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Rain. High 53°12°, low 30°−1°. Typical 64°18° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 41°5°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Rain, 53°12°
  50% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 30°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 53, with temperatures falling to around 47 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 3 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then areas of fog. Mostly clear, with a low around 30. Southwest wind 0 to 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
52°11°–54°12°
Low, likely
30°−1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 31°−1°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 55°13°, low 31°−1°. Typical 64°18° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Fog, 31°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of fog before 9am. Sunny. High near 55, with temperatures falling to around 51 in the afternoon. Northwest wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Areas of fog after 9pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 31. North wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–55°13°
Low, likely
31°−1°–34°1°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 31°−1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Fog. High 58°14°, low 33°1°. Typical 63°17° / 30°−1°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 58. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33. South wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
57°14°–63°17°
Low, likely
33°1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 30°−1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 35°2°. Typical 63°17° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 2 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 35. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 30°−1°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 62°17°, low 38°3°. Typical 63°17° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Southwest wind 1 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. South wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 30°−1°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 59°15°, low 39°4°. Typical 62°17° / 30°−1°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. South wind 2 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. South wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
36°2°–45°7°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 30°−1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 54°12°, low 37°3°. Typical 62°17° / 29°−2°. Storms 0.08 in2 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  50% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 54. South wind 3 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Southwest wind around 6 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Low, likely
37°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 29°−2°
Wind
20 mph32 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 52°11°, low 41°5°. Typical 61°16° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  50% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Low, likely
40°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 29°−2°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 37°3°. Typical 61°16° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–57°14°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 29°−2°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 37°3°. Typical 61°16° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
47°8°–67°19°
Low, likely
33°1°–44°7°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 28°−2°
Wind
24 mph39 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
54% chance of rain, high 53°, low 30°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 55°, low 31°.
Monday
Dry, high 58°, low 33°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 50–62°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chevelon Creek near Winslow

22 mi

Level: 4.4 ft
Flow: 223 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 64% less heating than a typical week.

This week 46Typical 129

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 32
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 27 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 40°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Blue Ridge Ranger Station · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1965–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 11°6° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−8°−5°SunOct 18
−1°MonOct 19
±0°TueOct 20
+3°+1°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
+4°+2°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Blue Ridge weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 1 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 11 min less
Golden hour: 5:04–5:54 PM; Morning 6:22–7:12 AM
Blue hour: 5:54–6:04 PM; Morning 6:12–6:22 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 9 PM–6:13 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:59 AM · rises 4:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Blue Ridge. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,500 ft, 59 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.