Observed 4:45 AM MST at KDVT

Carefree, AZ weather

Mostly clear and 59°15°, 10°6° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Mostly agree

Now 59°15°

Mostly clear

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the north-northeast. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 5 PM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 10 AM–4 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 25Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 29.86 inHg1011 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 58°14° today at 7 AM
High 71°22° today at 3 PM

This morningUp to 70°21° by 11 AM · rain chance 10% · Clear
This afternoonNear 70°21° · rain chance 10% · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 58°14° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 73°23° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 58°14° by 4 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5a	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	62%	10%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	60%	10%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	64%	10%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	60%	13%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	56%	11%	1
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	67°19° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	54%	51%	3
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	49%	34%	4
Sat 12p	Partly sunny	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	70°21°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	51%	30%	5
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	70°21° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	70°21°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	53%	54%	5
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	70°21°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	53%	64%	4
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	49%	16%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	70°21°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	49%	25%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	53%	6%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	61%	4%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	67%	2%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	62%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	54%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	51%	0%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	44%	0%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	73°23°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	43%	12%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	43%	11%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	74°23°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	41%	5%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	43%	5%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	41%	2%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	46%	2%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	56%	1%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	60%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	60%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 66°19°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	60%	1%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 65°18°)	60°16°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	60%	3%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	60%	12%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	57%	9%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°)	58°14°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NNE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	60%	9%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 57°14°. Typical 82°28° / 57°14°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 72, with temperatures falling to around 69 in the afternoon. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Tonight: Clear. Low around 57, with temperatures rising to around 59 overnight. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
56°13°–59°15°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 57°14°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 75°24°, low 57°14°. Typical 82°28° / 57°14°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 58°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. North wind 0 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
53°12°–57°14°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 57°14°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 78°26°, low 59°15°. Typical 82°28° / 57°14°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 78°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 60°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 78. East southeast wind 0 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
76°24°–78°26°
Low, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 57°14°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 79°26°, low 60°16°. Typical 81°27° / 56°13°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 78°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 65°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 79. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 60. East northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–79°26°
Low, likely
55°13°–62°17°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 56°13°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 80°27°, low 62°17°. Typical 81°27° / 56°13°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. East northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
77°25°–82°28°
Low, likely
51°11°–62°17°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 56°13°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 77°25°, low 62°17°. Typical 81°27° / 56°13°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. East southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. East northeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–81°27°
Low, likely
54°12°–65°18°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 56°13°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 71°22°, low 59°15°. Typical 80°27° / 55°13°. Rain 0.46 in12 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  50% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 64°18°
  40% chance · 0.25 in6.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  50% chance · 0.24 in6.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 71. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
66°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
53°12°–63°17°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 55°13°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 56°13°. Typical 80°27° / 55°13°. Rain 0.52 in13 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  50% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  60% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
54°12°–61°16°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 55°13°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 80°27° / 55°13°. Rain 0.4 in10 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  60% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–76°24°
Low, likely
48°9°–62°17°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 55°13°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 55°13°. Typical 79°26° / 54°12°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 71°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–82°28°
Low, likely
50°10°–65°18°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 54°12°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 72°, low 57°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 75°, low 57°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 78°, low 59°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 65–80°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (PSR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Cave Creek near Cave Creek

5.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.1 ft
Flow: under 1 cfs

Forecast peak 3.0 ft Sat 5 AM

Reading from Sat 3:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Agua Fria River near Rock Springs

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.4 ft
Flow: 13 cfs

Forecast peak 2.6 ft Sat 5 AM

Reading from Sat 3:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Sycamore Creek near Ft McDowell

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.5 ft
Flow: 4 cfs

Forecast peak 0.5 ft Sat 5 AM

Reading from Sat 3:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Reata Pass Wash above Scottsdale

9.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.3 ft

Reading from Fri 11:59 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

This week 5Typical 0

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 8:00 AM–12:00 AM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

CAREFREE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1961–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 10°6° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−3°−2°SunOct 18
+1°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+4°+2°WedOct 21
+3°+2°ThuOct 22
±0°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Carefree weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 3 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 9 min less
Golden hour: 5:08–5:58 PM; Morning 6:24–7:14 AM
Blue hour: 5:58–6:08 PM; Morning 6:14–6:24 AM; first light 6:14 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 5:10–6:14 AM; moon 96% lit but below the horizon.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:01 AM · rises 4:41 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Carefree. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,100 ft, 33 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Carefree, AZ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Cave Creek near Cave Creek

Agua Fria River near Rock Springs

Sycamore Creek near Ft McDowell

Reata Pass Wash above Scottsdale

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon