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Observed 5:35 AM MDT at KRQE

Chinle, AZ weather

Mostly clear and 41°5°, rain ~3–11 PM (45%).

Today: low 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°), high 63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°).

Forecasts agree

Now 41°5°

Mostly clear

Wind
Calm
Up to 7 mph11 km/h through 6 PM
Dew point
39°4°
Comfortable
Humidity
93%
Air 41°5°, dew point 39°4° · fog or dew likely
UV index
0Low
Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 5

Next 2 hours

None rain starting around 6:15 AM.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Dry until noon
  • Low 43°6° today at 7 AM
  • Above 50°10° today by 10 AM
  • Drizzle today noon–midnight (50%, 0.48 in12 mm)
  • High 63°17° today at 1 PM
  1. This morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
  2. This afternoonUp to 63°17° by 1 PM · Rain all afternoon (40%)
  3. TonightDown to 43°6° by 4 AM · Rain 6 PM–midnight (50%)
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 61°16° by 1 PM · Partly cloudy
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 6aShowers44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)44°7°20%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h96%37%0
Sat 7aClear43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)41°5°20%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h100%38%0
Sat 8aSunny43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)41°5°20%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h100%40%0
Sat 9aSunny47°8° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)46°8°20%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 12 mph19 km/h89%33%0
Sat 10aSunny51°11° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)51°11°20%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph15 km/h80%36%1
Sat 11aSunny55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)55°13°20%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h69%29%3
Sat 12pSunny58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)58°14°20%, 0.05 in1.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h62%27%4
Sat 1pSunny63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)63°17°20%, 0.05 in1.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h52%15%5
Sat 2pMostly sunny63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)63°17°20%, 0.05 in1.3 mm6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h50%18%5
Sat 3pSunny63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)63°17°40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h50%17%3
Sat 4pSunny63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)63°17°40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h48%26%2
Sat 5pSunny60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)60°16°40%, 0.05 in1.3 mm7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h53%35%1
Sat 6pCloudy60°16° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)60°16°50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h51%81%1
Sat 7pCloudy57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)57°14°50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 15 mph24 km/h59%74%0
Sat 8pCloudy54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)54°12°50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h66%81%0
Sat 9pCloudy52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)52°11°50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h69%79%0
Sat 10pDrizzle50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)49°9°50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h74%64%0
Sat 11pCloudy49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)48°9°50%, 0.03 in0.8 mm3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h77%67%0
Sun 12aPartly cloudy48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)47°8°5%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h77%75%0
Sun 1aPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)44°7°5%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h86%32%0
Sun 2aPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)44°7°5%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h82%32%0
Sun 3aPartly cloudy44°7° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)42°6°5%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h86%27%0
Sun 4aMostly clear43°6° (likely 42°6° to 44°7°)41°5°5%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h89%36%0
Sun 5aPartly cloudy43°6° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)41°5°5%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h89%33%0
Sun 6aPartly cloudy41°5° (likely 41°5° to 43°6°)39°4°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h96%29%0
Sun 7aPartly cloudy40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)38°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%31%0
Sun 8aPartly sunny40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)38°3°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h100%31%0
Sun 9aPartly sunny43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)40°4°0%5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h93%24%1
Sun 10aSunny48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)47°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h83%12%2
Sun 11aSunny52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h71%8%3
Sun 12pSunny56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)56°13°5%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h62%15%5
Sun 1pSunny61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)61°16°5%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h48%17%5
Sun 2pSunny61°16° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)61°16°5%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h42%21%5
Sun 3pSunny61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)61°16°5%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h41%18%5
Sun 4pMostly sunny61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)61°16°5%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h39%59%4
Sun 5pMostly sunny61°16° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)61°16°5%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h39%26%2
Sun 6pMostly sunny61°16° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h41%12%1
Sun 7pClear56°13° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)56°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h49%5%0
Sun 8pClear52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)52°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h56%2%0
Sun 9pClear50°10° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 3 mph5 km/h61%0%0
Sun 10pClear48°9° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)48°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h65%0%0
Sun 11pClear46°8° (likely 38°3° to 47°8°)46°8°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h68%0%0
Mon 12aClear44°7° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°)44°7°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h73%7%0
Mon 1aClear42°6° (likely 31°−1° to 52°11°)42°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h76%15%0
Mon 2aClear41°5° (likely 29°−2° to 51°11°)41°5°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h76%16%0
Mon 3aClear40°4° (likely 28°−2° to 50°10°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h79%16%0
Mon 4aClear39°4° (likely 27°−3° to 50°10°)39°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h82%15%0
Mon 5aClear38°3° (likely 27°−3° to 49°9°)38°3°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h89%14%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 40°4°. Typical 66°19° / 34°1°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 43°6°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      40% chance · 0.3 in7.6 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 54°12°

      50% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: A slight chance of rain showers before 9am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9am and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. West wind 2 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy. Low around 40, with temperatures rising to around 43 overnight. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    58°14°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    66°19° / 34°1°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 61°16°, low 37°3°. Typical 66°19° / 34°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 40°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 52°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 38°3°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. North wind around 3 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    56°13°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–42°6°
    Typical high / low
    66°19° / 34°1°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 62°17°, low 39°4°. Typical 66°19° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 37°3°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 61°16°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 51°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 39°4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 62. Southwest wind around 3 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. East wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    59°15°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    29°−2°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    66°19° / 34°1°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 39°4°. Typical 65°18° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 38°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 64°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 40°4°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. South wind around 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    63°17°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    28°−2°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    65°18° / 33°1°
    Wind
    15 mph23 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 41°5°. Typical 65°18° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 40°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 53°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. South wind 2 to 7 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    64°18°–66°19°
    Low, likely
    31°−1°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    65°18° / 33°1°
    Wind
    17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 64°18° / 32°0°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 42°6°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 67. South wind around 7 mph.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    66°19°–68°20°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 32°0°
    Wind
    16 mph25 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 62°17°, low 42°6°. Typical 64°18° / 32°0°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 62°16°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 54°12°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      30% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers before noon, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. South wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    57°14°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    64°18° / 32°0°
    Wind
    21 mph34 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 63°17° / 32°0°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 57°14°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 44°6°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 32°0°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 42°6°. Typical 63°17° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 45°7°

      40% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 55°13°

      40% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      40% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 38°3°

      40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    51°11°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    36°2°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    63°17° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 53°12°, low 41°5°. Typical 62°17° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 40°4°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 53°12°

      20% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    49°9°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    62°17° / 31°−1°
    Wind
    18 mph29 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
    UV peak
    4

The outlook

  1. Today

    40% chance of rain, high 63°, low 40°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 61°, low 37°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 62°, low 39°.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 53–67°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chinle Creek at Chinle

2.3 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 4 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 75% less heating than a typical week.

This week 28Typical 111

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
19
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 5 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 1:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Canyon De Chelly · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1908–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
66°19° / 34°1°
Forecast high / low
63°17° / 40°4°
Record high
80°27° in 1952
Record low
15°−9° in 1980

Last 7 days vs normal

  1. —SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Chinle weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 7:33 AM, sunset 6:30 PM.

Daylight
10 h 57 min
Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 15 min less
Golden hour
5:55–6:46 PM
Morning 7:17–8:09 AM
Blue hour
6:46–6:57 PM
Morning 7:07–7:17 AM; first light 7:07 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 37% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:53 AM · rises 5:29 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking east from Chinle. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,800 ft, 34 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.