Observed 9:55 AM MST at KPAN

Deer Creek, AZ weather

Mostly cloudy and 59°15°, jacket by 8 PM.

Forecasts differ

Now 59°15°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; 35–8 mph13 km/h through 10 PM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable · up to 48°9° by 1 PM
UV index: 3Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 5
Pressure: 30.05 inHg1018 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (57°14° then, 59°15° now)

Good hours for

High 68°20° today at 3 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 7 PM
Low 49°9° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 10 AM

This morningNear 64°18° · rain chance 20% · Clear
This afternoonNear 65°18° · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 51°11° by 1 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 71°22° by 3 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 51°11° by 3 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 58°14° by 9 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	63°17°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	54%	23%	3
Sat 11a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	65°18°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	52%	21%	4
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	66°19°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	50%	37%	5
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 71°22°)	67°19°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	50%	54%	5
Sat 2p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 69°21°)	66°19°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	52%	71%	5
Sat 3p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 61°16° to 70°21°)	68°20°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	47%	55%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 59°15° to 70°21°)	66°19°	20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	50%	15%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 58°14° to 68°20°)	64°18°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	52%	18%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly clear	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 66°19°)	61°16°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	60%	49%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 62°17°)	57°14°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	69%	14%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)	55°13°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	2%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	55°13° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	55°13°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	72%	1%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	54°12° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	54°12°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	54°12° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	53°12° (likely 45°7° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	52°11° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	52°11° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	51°11° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	77%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	60%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	52%	0%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	46%	0%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	43%	0%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	40%	8%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	37%	1%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	35%	0%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	37%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	42%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	64°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	46%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	53%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	66%	22%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	54°12° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	64%	40%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	52°11° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	40%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 45°7° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	66%	50%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	66%	45%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	66%	43%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	63%	35%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	68%	17%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	69%	8%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	64%	11%	1
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	53%	15%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny. High near 69, with temperatures falling to around 64 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 48, with temperatures rising to around 51 overnight. North wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–71°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 71, with temperatures falling to around 68 in the afternoon. West wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North wind 3 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 53°12°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 76. East wind 0 to 7 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 53. Northeast wind 1 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–76°24°
Low, likely
43°6°–53°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 76°24°, low 54°12°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 76. South wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. East wind 2 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
41°5°–54°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 76°24°, low 56°13°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Southeast wind 0 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind 1 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 57°14°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. East wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
48°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.4 in10 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  50% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 65°18°
  60% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  60% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  60% chance · 0.15 in3.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. Southeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. East wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–70°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
1
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 61°16°, low 52°11°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.59 in15 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  60% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  60% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–66°19°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.5 in13 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 55°13°
  70% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  60% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  50% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–72°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–54°12°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 49°9°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 68°20°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–77°25°
Low, likely
42°6°–59°15°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 69°, low 48°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 71°, low 49°.
Monday
Dry, high 76°, low 53°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 61–76°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tonto Creek near Roosevelt

6.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.9 ft
Flow: 225 cfs

Forecast peak 2.7 ft Sat 10 AM

Reading from Sat 8:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Verde River above Horseshoe Dam

21 mi

Level: 12.1 ft
Flow: 4,980 cfs

Reading from Sat 9 AM · NWS gauge page

East Verde River near Childs

22 mi

Level: 13.1 ft
Flow: 303 cfs

Reading from Sat 8:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Verde River at Bartlett Lake

24 mi

Level: 1786 ft
Flow: 146,000 cfs

Reading from Sat 8 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 80% less heating than a typical week.

This week 15Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 5:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Deer Creek weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 9 min less
Golden hour: 5:06–5:56 PM; Morning 6:22–7:12 AM
Blue hour: 5:56–6:06 PM; Morning 6:12–6:22 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 7 PM–6:13 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:59 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Deer Creek. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,800 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.