Observed 12:55 AM MST at KPAN

East Verde Estates, AZ weather

Clear and 46°8°, 11°6° colder than a typical Oct 24, rain ~2–4 PM (43%).

Mostly agree

Now 46°8°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 1 PM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; High 12–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.01 inHg1016 hPa; Steady over the next 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° cooler than this time yesterday (52°11° then, 46°8° now)

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 8 AM
High 62°17° today at noon
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Low 45°7° tonight at 11 PM

TonightNear 46°8° · Clear
This morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
This afternoonDown to 55°13° by 5 PM · rain chance 40% · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 43°6° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 62°17° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 46°8° by 11 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1a	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	10%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	15%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	83%	15%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	17%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	51°11°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	16%	1
Sat 9a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	55°13°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	64%	23%	2
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	57%	54%	3
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	51%	58%	5
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	62°17°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	52%	35%	6
Sat 1p	Drizzle	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	52%	62%	6
Sat 2p	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	40%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	58%	70%	4
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	58°14°	40%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	62%	35%	2
Sat 4p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	40%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	64%	47%	2
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	55°13°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	69%	41%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	74%	23%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	50°10°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	23%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	48°9°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	17%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	47°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	2%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	47°8°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	1%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	3%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	6%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	7%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	7%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	7%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 53°12° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	64%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	55%	1%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	48%	2%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	43%	16%	5
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	41%	27%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	43%	15%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	43%	18%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 62°17° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	44%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	49%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	43°6°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	83%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	83%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm. Sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 55 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 2 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
43°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. North wind 2 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
40°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. East wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. East wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 70°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 2 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. East wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–51°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 60°16°, low 50°10°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.36 in9.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  50% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 51°11°
  50% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–64°18°
Low, likely
49°9°–51°11°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 48°9°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.73 in19 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  40% chance · 0.2 in5.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  40% chance · 0.21 in5.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  50% chance · 0.26 in6.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 51°10°
  50% chance · 0.41 in11 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–67°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 58°14°, low 47°8°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.66 in17 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  60% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  60% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  60% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–61°16°
Low, likely
42°6°–52°11°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 61°16°, low 44°7°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 53°12°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–68°20°
Low, likely
40°4°–50°10°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
43% chance of rain, high 62°, low 46°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 64°, low 44°.
Monday
Dry, high 69°, low 47°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 58–70°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tonto Creek near Roosevelt

22 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.1 ft
Flow: 287 cfs

Forecast peak 2.8 ft Sat 1 AM

Reading from Fri 11:15 PM · NWS gauge page

East Verde River near Childs

16 mi

Level: 13.3 ft
Flow: 379 cfs

Reading from Fri 11:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Fossil Creek near Strawberry

17 mi

Level: 4.1 ft
Flow: 55 cfs

Reading from Fri 11:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 26Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 21
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 11°6° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

East Verde Estates weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour: 5:05–5:56 PM; Morning 6:22–7:13 AM
Blue hour: 5:56–6:05 PM; Morning 6:12–6:22 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 1:39–6:12 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 4:59 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:59 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from East Verde Estates. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,000 ft, 11 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.