Santa Cruz River at Green Valley
7.3 mi- Level
- 1.1 ft
Forecast peak 1.6 ft Fri 12 PM
Reading from Fri 11 AM · NWS gauge page
Model estimate for 12:00 PM MST (no recent station report)
Elephant Head, AZ weather
Sunny and 79°26°.
Today: low 48°9° (likely 48°9° to 60°16°), high 80°27° (likely 78°26° to 80°27°).
Now 79°26°
Sunny
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/hgusts 19 mph30 km/h
- From the southwest. 35–15 mph24 km/h through 12 AM
- Dew point
- 53°12°
- Comfortable · down to 45°7° by 3 PM
- UV index
- 6High
- High until 2 PM
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
This afternoonNear 78°26° · Clear
TonightDown to 50°10° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 75°24° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 49°9° by 5 AM · Clear
Sunday morningUp to 74°23° by 11 AM · Clear
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 12p | Sunny | 79°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°) | 79°26° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 41% | 12% | 6 |
| Fri 1p | Sunny | 79°26° (likely 78°26° to 80°27°) | 79°26° | 0% | 13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 22 mph35 km/h | 36% | 8% | 6 |
| Fri 2p | Sunny | 79°26° (likely 78°26° to 80°27°) | 79°26° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 32% | 3% | 5 |
| Fri 3p | Sunny | 79°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°) | 79°26° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 30% | 1% | 3 |
| Fri 4p | Sunny | 79°26° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°) | 79°26° | 0% | 14 mph23 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h | 30% | 1% | 1 |
| Fri 5p | Sunny | 77°25° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°) | 77°25° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 31% | 2% | 1 |
| Fri 6p | Clear | 72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°) | 72°22° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from WSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 36% | 1% | 0 |
| Fri 7p | Clear | 68°20° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°) | 68°20° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 41% | 0% | 0 |
| Fri 8p | Clear | 65°18° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph10 km/h | 46% | 4% | 0 |
| Fri 9p | Clear | 62°17° (likely 58°14° to 65°18°) | 63°17° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 51% | 10% | 0 |
| Fri 10p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 57% | 14% | 0 |
| Fri 11p | Clear | 59°15° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 60% | 11% | 0 |
| Sat 12a | Clear | 57°14° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°) | 57°14° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 64% | 11% | 0 |
| Sat 1a | Clear | 55°13° (likely 51°11° to 59°15°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 68% | 9% | 0 |
| Sat 2a | Clear | 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°) | 54°12° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 70% | 11% | 0 |
| Sat 3a | Clear | 52°11° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°) | 52°11° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 77% | 10% | 0 |
| Sat 4a | Clear | 51°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 81% | 12% | 0 |
| Sat 5a | Clear | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°) | 47°8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 84% | 13% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Clear | 49°9° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°) | 46°8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 84% | 14% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Sunny | 50°10° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°) | 47°8° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 81% | 14% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Sunny | 56°13° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°) | 56°13° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SSW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 69% | 11% | 1 |
| Sat 9a | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 53% | 8% | 2 |
| Sat 10a | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°) | 68°20° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SSW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 45% | 1% | 4 |
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 72°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°) | 72°22° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SSW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h | 38% | 2% | 5 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°) | 75°24° | 0% | 9 mph14 km/h from SSW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 36% | 8% | 6 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 76°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°) | 76°24° | 0% | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph31 km/h | 33% | 11% | 6 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 76°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°) | 76°24° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h | 32% | 13% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 76°24° (likely 73°23° to 76°24°) | 76°24° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from WSW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 31% | 18% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Mostly sunny | 76°24° (likely 72°22° to 76°24°) | 76°24° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from WSW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 32% | 17% | 3 |
| Sat 5p | Mostly sunny | 74°23° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°) | 74°23° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from WSW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 34% | 14% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°) | 69°21° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 39% | 12% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 66°19° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 44% | 11% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 64°18° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 47% | 14% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 61°16° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 53% | 13% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Mostly clear | 59°15° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 58% | 21% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Mostly clear | 58°14° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°) | 58°14° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 62% | 18% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 56°13° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 66% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 55°13° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 70% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 53°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 53°12° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 72% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 51°11° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°) | 51°11° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 79% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 50°10° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°) | 50°10° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 81% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°) | 49°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 82% | 10% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Mostly clear | 48°9° (likely 42°6° to 56°13°) | 47°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 83% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Mostly sunny | 50°10° (likely 42°6° to 57°14°) | 48°9° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 76% | 6% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 46°8° to 61°16°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 65% | 4% | 1 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 61°16° (likely 54°12° to 65°18°) | 61°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 53% | 0% | 2 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 68°20° (likely 62°17° to 69°21°) | 68°20° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 43% | 0% | 4 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 74°23° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°) | 74°23° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 35% | 0% | 5 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 23. Sunny. High 80°27°, low 48°9°. Typical 79°26° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 79°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 65°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 80. Southwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 48. South southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 78°26°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 48°9°–60°16°
- Typical high / low
- 79°26° / 45°7°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 47°8°. Typical 79°26° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 56°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 76°24°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 64°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 49°9°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. South wind 1 to 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–76°24°
- Low, likely
- 47°8°–54°12°
- Typical high / low
- 79°26° / 45°7°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Sunday, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 78°26°, low 48°9°. Typical 79°26° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 55°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 75°24°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 62°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 78. North wind 3 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 74°23°–78°26°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–55°13°
- Typical high / low
- 79°26° / 45°7°
- Wind
- 12 mph20 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 83°28°, low 52°11°. Typical 78°26° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 55°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 81°27°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 65°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 56°13°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 83.
Night: Clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 79°26°–83°28°
- Low, likely
- 42°6°–56°13°
- Typical high / low
- 78°26° / 44°7°
- Wind
- 8 mph13 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 84°29°, low 54°12°. Typical 78°26° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 61°16°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 82°28°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 65°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 56°13°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 84.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 80°27°–84°29°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–59°15°
- Typical high / low
- 78°26° / 44°7°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 84°29°, low 55°13°. Typical 78°26° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly sunny, 62°16°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 83°28°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 67°19°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 58°14°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 80°27°–86°30°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–59°15°
- Typical high / low
- 78°26° / 44°7°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 81°27°, low 55°13°. Typical 78°26° / 44°7°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 65°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 79°26°20% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 69°21°20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 60°15°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 74°23°–84°29°
- Low, likely
- 54°12°–62°17°
- Typical high / low
- 78°26° / 44°7°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Friday, Oct 30. Partly sunny. High 76°24°, low 61°16°. Typical 77°25° / 43°6°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 64°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 77°25°20% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 69°21°20% chance
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 59°15°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 69°21°–85°29°
- Low, likely
- 58°14°–63°17°
- Typical high / low
- 77°25° / 43°6°
- Wind
- 14 mph23 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 75°24°, low 59°15°. Typical 77°25° / 43°6°. Rain 0.11 in2.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 68°20°20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 60°16°20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 68°20°–84°29°
- Low, likely
- 57°14°–61°16°
- Typical high / low
- 77°25° / 43°6°
- Wind
- 17 mph28 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 57°14°. Typical 77°25° / 43°6°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Showers, 64°18°30% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Drizzle, 71°22°30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 63°17°30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 62°17°–86°30°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–66°19°
- Typical high / low
- 77°25° / 43°6°
- Wind
- 19 mph31 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
- UV peak
- 3
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 80°, low 48°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 76°, low 47°, cooling off.
Sunday
Dry, high 78°, low 48°.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 72–84°.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TWC) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Santa Cruz River near Tubac
11 mi- Level
- 21.3 ft
- Flow
- 33 cfs
Forecast peak 20.9 ft Fri 12 PM
Reading from Fri 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page
Altar Wash near Three Points
25 mi- Level
- 1.7 ft
Forecast peak 1.8 ft Fri 12 PM
Reading from Fri 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 56% less heating than a typical week.
This week 11Typical 25
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 53°F).
Open the windows?
Today, 5:00 PM–10:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).
Is this typical?
Tumacacori Nm · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1946–2026
Oct 23, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.
- Normal high / low
- 79°26° / 45°7°
- Forecast high / low
- 80°27° / 48°9°
- Record high
- 96°36° in 1968
- Record low
- 34°1° in 1969
Last 7 days vs normal
- —SatOct 17
- —SunOct 18
- —MonOct 19
- —TueOct 20
- —WedOct 21
- —ThuOct 22
- —FriOct 23
Elephant Head weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 6:33 AM, sunset 5:42 PM.
- Daylight
- 11 h 10 min
- Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 5 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:09–5:58 PM
- Morning 6:18–7:06 AM
- Blue hour
- 5:58–6:07 PM
- Morning 6:08–6:18 AM; first light 6:08 AM
Stars tonight? Good
Clear 6:07 PM–6:09 AM; moon 95% lit, sets 4:56 AM.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
93% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 3:54 AM · rises 4:09 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
