Leslie Creek near McNeal
12 mi- Level
- 1.9 ft
Forecast peak 2.5 ft Sat 3 PM
Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page
Model estimate for 2:00 PM MST (no recent station report)
Elfrida, AZ weather
Sunny and 74°23°.
Today: low 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°), high 75°24° (likely 73°23° to 75°24°).
Now 74°23°
Sunny
- Wind
- 20 mph32 km/hgusts 30 mph49 km/h
- From the south-southwest. Easing to 8 mph13 km/h by 6 PM
- Dew point
- 40°4°
- Comfortable
- UV index
- 6High
- High until 3 PM
- Air quality
- 14Good
- Main pollutant: PM10 (dust)
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
This afternoonDown to 70°21° by 5 PM · gusts to 30 mph48 km/h · Clear
TonightDown to 46°8° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 67°19° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 74°23° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 48°9° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 71°22° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 74°23° (likely 73°23° to 74°23°) | 74°23° | 0% | 20 mph32 km/h from SSW, gusts 30 mph49 km/h | 29% | 1% | 6 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 73°23° (likely 72°22° to 73°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 17 mph27 km/h from SSW, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 29% | 1% | 5 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 72°22° (likely 71°22° to 72°22°) | 73°23° | 0% | 15 mph24 km/h from SSW, gusts 26 mph41 km/h | 30% | 1% | 3 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°) | 71°22° | 0% | 12 mph19 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph33 km/h | 31% | 3% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Clear | 65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 8 mph13 km/h from WSW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 37% | 5% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°) | 62°17° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from WSW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 43% | 4% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 48% | 2% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 52% | 1% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 56°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°) | 56°13° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 56% | 0% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°) | 54°12° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 61% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 53°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°) | 53°12° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 61% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Mostly clear | 51°11° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 65% | 8% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Mostly clear | 50°10° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°) | 50°10° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 66% | 19% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Mostly clear | 48°9° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°) | 48°9° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 71% | 25% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Mostly clear | 47°8° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 73% | 24% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Mostly clear | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°) | 46°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 75% | 21% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Mostly sunny | 46°8° (likely 41°5° to 52°11°) | 44°7° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 75% | 19% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Mostly sunny | 47°8° (likely 41°5° to 53°12°) | 47°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 73% | 18% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Mostly sunny | 52°11° (likely 46°8° to 56°13°) | 52°11° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 66% | 17% | 1 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°) | 59°15° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 52% | 13% | 2 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°) | 64°18° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 46% | 9% | 4 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 67°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°) | 67°19° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 43% | 10% | 5 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°) | 70°21° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph24 km/h | 38% | 9% | 6 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 72°22° (likely 71°22° to 73°23°) | 72°22° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h | 34% | 7% | 6 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 73°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 32% | 7% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 73°23° (likely 73°23° to 74°23°) | 73°23° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 31% | 4% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 74°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°) | 74°23° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 30% | 22% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 72°22° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°) | 72°22° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 32% | 11% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°) | 68°20° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 36% | 16% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 65°18° (likely 58°14° to 66°19°) | 65°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 40% | 20% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 47% | 20% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 58°14° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°) | 59°15° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 51% | 21% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Mostly clear | 57°14° (likely 50°10° to 59°15°) | 57°14° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 55% | 26% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Mostly clear | 55°13° (likely 48°9° to 58°14°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 60% | 72% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Cloudy | 54°12° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°) | 54°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h | 60% | 76% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Cloudy | 52°11° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°) | 52°11° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 62% | 81% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Cloudy | 51°11° (likely 45°7° to 54°12°) | 51°11° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 64% | 86% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Cloudy | 49°9° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°) | 48°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 67% | 85% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Mostly cloudy | 48°9° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 68% | 74% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Cloudy | 48°9° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 70% | 92% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Mostly cloudy | 47°8° (likely 41°5° to 52°11°) | 47°8° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 71% | 50% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Partly sunny | 49°9° (likely 41°5° to 54°12°) | 49°9° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph14 km/h | 69% | 44% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Partly sunny | 53°12° (likely 46°8° to 57°14°) | 53°12° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 63% | 71% | 1 |
| Mon 9a | Partly sunny | 59°15° (likely 53°12° to 64°18°) | 59°15° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 54% | 57% | 2 |
| Mon 10a | Mostly sunny | 66°19° (likely 61°16° to 69°21°) | 66°19° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 44% | 46% | 4 |
| Mon 11a | Sunny | 71°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°) | 71°22° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h | 36% | 10% | 5 |
| Mon 12p | Mostly sunny | 75°24° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°) | 75°24° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 31% | 37% | 6 |
| Mon 1p | Mostly sunny | 77°25° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°) | 77°25° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 27% | 10% | 6 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 75°24°, low 45°7°. Typical 81°27° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 74°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 60°16°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 46°8°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 75, with temperatures falling to around 70 in the afternoon. South southwest wind 12 to 20 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Southeast wind 1 to 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–53°12°
- Typical high / low
- 81°27° / 44°7°
- Wind
- 21 mph34 km/h, gusts 38 mph62 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 46°8°. Typical 81°27° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 52°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 74°23°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 60°16°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 48°9°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74. South wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 73°23°–75°24°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–51°11°
- Typical high / low
- 81°27° / 44°7°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 79°26°, low 49°9°. Typical 80°27° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Partly sunny, 53°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 64°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 51°10°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 75°24°–79°26°
- Low, likely
- 41°5°–52°11°
- Typical high / low
- 80°27° / 44°7°
- Wind
- 11 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 80°27°, low 50°10°. Typical 80°27° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 55°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 52°11°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 80.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–54°12°
- Typical high / low
- 80°27° / 43°6°
- Wind
- 10 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 80°27°, low 52°11°. Typical 80°27° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 56°13°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 77°25°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 53°11°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–57°14°
- Typical high / low
- 80°27° / 43°6°
- Wind
- 10 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 79°26°, low 53°12°. Typical 80°27° / 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 57°14°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 78°26°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 63°17°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 56°13°20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 76°24°–80°27°
- Low, likely
- 46°8°–58°14°
- Typical high / low
- 80°27° / 42°6°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 73°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 79°26° / 42°6°. Storms 0.24 in6.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 59°15°40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Showers, 66°19°50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 59°15°30% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 55°13°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 73. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–73°23°
- Low, likely
- 51°11°–57°14°
- Typical high / low
- 79°26° / 42°6°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 1
Saturday, Oct 31. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 54°12°. Typical 79°26° / 42°6°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Mostly sunny, 58°14°20% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 68°20°30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 62°16°30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 56°13°30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–69°21°
- Low, likely
- 52°11°–57°14°
- Typical high / low
- 79°26° / 42°6°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 78°26° / 41°5°. Rain 0.29 in7.4 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 58°14°40% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 67°19°40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 58°14°30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 50°10°20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 62°17°–71°22°
- Low, likely
- 43°6°–58°14°
- Typical high / low
- 78°26° / 41°5°
- Wind
- 13 mph20 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 78°26° / 41°5°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 54°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 71°22°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 61°16°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 65°18°–78°26°
- Low, likely
- 35°2°–59°15°
- Typical high / low
- 78°26° / 41°5°
- Wind
- 8 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 75°, low 45°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 74°, low 46°.
Monday
Dry, high 79°, low 49°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 67–80°; chance of precipitation on Friday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TWC) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
Whitewater Draw near Douglas
23 mi- Level
- 4.1 ft
- Flow
- under 1 cfs
Forecast peak 4.1 ft Sat 3 PM
Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 37% less heating than a typical week.
This week 15Typical 24
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 5
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 40°F).
Open the windows?
Today, 3:00 PM–8:00 PM
Good stretch to open the windows.
Is this typical?
Mc Neal · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2011–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 81°27° / 44°7°
- Forecast high / low
- 75°24° / 45°7°
- Record high
- 95°35° in 2024
- Record low
- 38°3° in 2019
Last 7 days vs normal
On average 5°3° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).
- ±0°SunOct 18
- ±0°MonOct 19
- +6°+3°TueOct 20
- +8°+4°WedOct 21
- +10°+6°ThuOct 22
- +5°+3°FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Elfrida weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 6:28 AM, sunset 5:36 PM.
- Daylight
- 11 h 8 min
- Losing 1 min 43 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 3 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:03–5:51 PM
- Morning 6:13–7:02 AM
- Blue hour
- 5:51–6:01 PM
- Morning 6:03–6:13 AM; first light 6:03 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Clear 6:01 PM–6:04 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
98% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 4:51 AM · rises 4:34 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
