Model estimate for 5:00 AM MST (no recent station report)

Forest Lakes, AZ weather

Clear and 36°2°, 14°8° colder than a typical Oct 24, rain ~2–4 PM (54%).

Mostly agree

Now 36°2°

Clear · Feels like 33°1°

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the south. Gusts to 23 mph37 km/h around 3 PM
Dew point: 36°2°; Comfortable
Humidity: 100%; Air 36°2°, dew point 36°2° · frost likely
UV index: 0Low; High 1–3 PM · peak 6

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

4°2° cooler than this time yesterday (50°10° then, 46°8° now)

Good hours for

Dry until 11 AM
Drizzle today 11 AM–5 PM (50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm)
High 50°10° today at noon
Below 40°4° tonight after 6 PM
Below freezing tonight 1–8 AM (low 31°−1°)

This morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (40%)
This afternoonDown to 44°7° by 5 PM · Rain noon–5 PM (50%)
TonightDown to 31°−1° by 4 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 50°10° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 32°0° by 4 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	33°1°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sat 6a	Mostly clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	33°1°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	30%	0
Sat 7a	Partly sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	33°1°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	23%	0
Sat 8a	Partly sunny	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	38°3°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	24%	0
Sat 9a	Partly sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	41°5°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	82%	40%	0
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	42°6°	10%	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	76%	35%	2
Sat 11a	Mostly sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	71%	43%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	68%	28%	5
Sat 1p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	42°6°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	76%	39%	6
Sat 2p	Mostly sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	42°6°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	79%	49%	6
Sat 3p	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	42°6°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	79%	68%	4
Sat 4p	Drizzle	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	40°4°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	86%	47%	3
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	39°4°	10%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	89%	25%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	35°2°	10%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	100%	13%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	37°3°	10%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°)	36°2°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	35°2°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	35°2°	10%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	32°0°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)	31°−1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	79%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	65%	5%	4
Sun 11a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	56%	19%	5
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	54%	21%	6
Sun 1p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	52%	19%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	52%	22%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	54%	11%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	15%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	68%	11%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	86%	8%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	10%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	6%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 38°3°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	34°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	1%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	2%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	6%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	9%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 36°2°. Typical 64°18° / 33°1°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 41°5°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny. High near 50, with temperatures falling to around 44 in the afternoon. South wind 3 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
35°2°–38°3°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 33°1°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 52°11°, low 32°0°. Typical 64°18° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 52. West wind around 2 mph.
Night: Areas of fog between 7pm and 1am. Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
49°9°–53°12°
Low, likely
32°0°–37°3°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 33°1°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 56°13°, low 36°2°. Typical 64°18° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56. Southeast wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. South wind 0 to 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
56°13°–59°15°
Low, likely
33°1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 33°1°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 58°14°, low 37°3°. Typical 63°17° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 58°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 42°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 1 to 6 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
37°3°–41°5°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 32°0°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 57°14°, low 40°4°. Typical 63°17° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind 2 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 32°0°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 55°13°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 32°0°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 55. South wind 2 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–60°16°
Low, likely
40°4°–45°7°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 32°0°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 49°9°, low 42°6°. Typical 62°17° / 32°0°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  60% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  50% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  50% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. South wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Low, likely
41°5°–43°6°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 32°0°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 37 mph59 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 46°8°, low 39°4°. Typical 62°17° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.47 in12 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 40°5°
  50% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 39°4°
  60% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
41°5°–49°9°
Low, likely
38°3°–40°4°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 31°−1°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 47°8°, low 36°2°. Typical 62°17° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.53 in13 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  60% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  60% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  50% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
40°4°–57°14°
Low, likely
35°2°–39°4°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 31°−1°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 36°2°. Typical 61°16° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 38°4°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 50°10°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–61°16°
Low, likely
32°0°–41°5°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 31°−1°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 41 mph66 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
54% chance of rain, high 50°, low 36°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 52°, low 32°.
Monday
Dry, high 56°, low 36°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 46–58°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chevelon Creek near Winslow

22 mi

Level: 4.6 ft
Flow: 253 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 59% less heating than a typical week.

This week 49Typical 120

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 38
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 28 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Heber (black Mesa) Ranger Station · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1950–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 14°8° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Forest Lakes weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour: 5:03–5:53 PM; Morning 6:20–7:10 AM
Blue hour: 5:53–6:03 PM; Morning 6:10–6:20 AM; first light 6:10 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 23% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:57 AM · rises 4:36 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Forest Lakes. A level horizon.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.