Model estimate for 12:00 PM MST (no recent station report)

Fort Valley, AZ weather

Snowy and 47°8°, 13°7° colder than a typical Oct 24, freeze watch tonight, low 26°−3°.

Mostly agree

Now 47°8°

Snow · Feels like 44°7°

Wind: 7 mph11 km/h; From the south. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 33°1°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 43Good; Main pollutant: Ozone

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 48°9° today at 1 PM
Below 40°4° tonight after 6 PM
Hard freeze tonight 10 PM–8 AM (low 26°−3°)
Above 40°4° tomorrow by 10 AM
Hard freeze tomorrow night 11 PM–7 AM (low 26°−3°)

This afternoonDown to 40°4° by 5 PM · rain chance 30% · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 26°−3° by 4 AM · rain chance 30% · freezing, low 26°−3° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 45°7° by 11 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 46°8° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 26°−3° by 4 AM · freezing, low 26°−3° · Clear
Monday morningUp to 50°10° by 11 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Snow	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	58%	34%	4
Sat 1p	Showers	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	60%	39%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	30%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	63%	40%	4
Sat 3p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	42°6°	30%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	68%	91%	3
Sat 4p	Drizzle	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	39°4°	30%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	76%	91%	2
Sat 5p	Cloudy	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 41°5°)	36°2°	30%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	85%	78%	1
Sat 6p	Snow	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	34°1°	30%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	89%	87%	0
Sat 7p	Snow	36°2° (likely 34°1° to 36°2°)	33°1°	30%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	80%	0
Sat 8p	Snow	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 35°2°)	34°1°	30%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	46%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 34°1°)	33°1°	30%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	28%	0
Sat 10p	Snow	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 34°1°)	32°0°	30%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	54%	0
Sat 11p	Partly cloudy	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	45%	0
Sun 12a	Mostly clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 33°1°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	26%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	27°−3° (likely 27°−3° to 34°1°)	27°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 34°1°)	26°−3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	6%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 33°1°)	28°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	8%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 33°1°)	29°−2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly sunny	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 34°1°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	48%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	52%	1
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	89%	32%	2
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	76%	29%	3
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	44°7°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	65%	36%	4
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	65%	40%	5
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	46°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	63%	43%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly cloudy	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	60%	50%	5
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	47°8°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	61%	49%	3
Sun 4p	Partly sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	65%	50%	2
Sun 5p	Partly sunny	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	68%	35%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	73%	26%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	1%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)	31°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	92%	36%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 36°2°)	25°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	96%	40%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	40%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	26°−3° (likely 26°−3° to 36°2°)	22°−6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	33%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 35°2°)	24°−4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	28%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)	24°−4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	8%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly sunny	33°1° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	29°−2°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	85%	33%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	38°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	76%	41%	1
Mon 9a	Partly sunny	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	62%	47%	2
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	53%	55%	3
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	48%	55%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Snow. High 48°9°, low 25°−4°. Typical 61°16° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.07 in1.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  30% chance
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Snow, 34°1°
  30% chance
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 26°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 4pm, then a slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers. Partly sunny. High near 48, with temperatures falling to around 40 in the afternoon. South wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight: A slight chance of thunderstorms and a chance of rain and snow showers before 11pm. Partly cloudy. Low around 25, with temperatures rising to around 28 overnight. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Low, likely
25°−4°–33°1°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 29°−2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 49°9°, low 25°−4°. Typical 60°16° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 26°−3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 49, with temperatures falling to around 45 in the afternoon. West wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 25. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Low, likely
25°−4°–33°1°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 29°−2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 55°13°, low 30°−1°. Typical 60°16° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 55. Southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 30. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
30°−1°–34°1°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 28°−2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 56°13°, low 32°0°. Typical 60°16° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 38°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–56°13°
Low, likely
32°0°–37°3°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 28°−2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 55°13°, low 33°1°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55. South wind 5 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. South wind 5 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–56°13°
Low, likely
33°1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 28°−2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 52°11°, low 34°1°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 40°5°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 38°4°
  20% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 52. South wind 8 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34. South wind 8 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–53°12°
Low, likely
34°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 28°−2°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 46°8°, low 32°0°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Storms 0.38 in9.7 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  60% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 36°2°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 46. South wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32. South wind around 12 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Low, likely
32°0°–37°3°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 28°−2°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 43 mph70 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 41°5°, low 34°1°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 50% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 37°3°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 40°5°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 36°2°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 31°0°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Low, likely
31°−1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 27°−3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 44°7°, low 30°−1°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.3 in7.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 45°7°
  50% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 33°1°
  50% chance · 0.2 in0.5 cm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 32°0°
  40% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–53°12°
Low, likely
22°−6°–33°1°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 27°−3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 44°7°, low 31°−1°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 35°2°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 39°4°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
35°2°–52°11°
Low, likely
25°−4°–39°4°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 27°−3°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
31% chance of snow, high 48°, low 25°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 49°, low 25°.
Monday
Dry, high 55°, low 30°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 41–56°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

West Fork Oak Creek above Sedona

23 mi

Level: 2.2 ft
Flow: 177 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Pipes: watch the cold

Tonight’s low: 26°−3°

Overnight low near 26°F — not yet at drip-the-faucets cold, but worth watching if it's forecast to drop further.

Heating this week

About 62% less heating than a typical week.

This week 56Typical 147

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 42
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 27 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 33°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Flagstaff Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1898–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 13°7° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+2°+1°SunOct 18
+3°+1°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+8°+4°WedOct 21
+6°+3°ThuOct 22
−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Fort Valley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 59 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 13 min less
Golden hour: 5:05–5:56 PM; Morning 6:25–7:16 AM
Blue hour: 5:56–6:06 PM; Morning 6:15–6:25 AM; first light 6:15 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 1–6:16 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:02 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking east from Fort Valley. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,500 ft, 4 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.