Observed 4:15 PM MST at KPAN

Freedom Acres, AZ weather

Rainy and 54°12°, 11°6° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 54°12°

Rain

Wind: 9 mph15 km/hgusts 18 mph29 km/h; From the southwest. Up to 9 mph15 km/h through 5 AM
Visibility: 3 mi5 km; Rain · under 5 mi8 km
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 6High; High 1–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.07 inHg1018 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.04 inHg+1.5 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

9°5° cooler than this time yesterday (63°17° then, 54°12° now)

Good hours for

Low 41°5° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM
High 64°18° tomorrow at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 8 PM

TonightDown to 42°6° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 61°16° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 44°7° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 68°20° · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	54°12°	10%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph22 km/h	71%	87%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	83%	27%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	49°9°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	10%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	47°8°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	1%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	47°8°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	46°8°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	59%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	51%	0%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	46%	1%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	43%	6%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	41%	8%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	40%	2%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	43%	10%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	43%	4%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	49%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	61%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	77%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	77%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	74%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	74%	7%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	47°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	74%	7%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	41°5°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	76%	45%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	73%	39%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	76%	41%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	79%	40%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	40%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	66%	42%	1
Mon 9a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	52%	39%	2
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	41%	40%	3
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	33%	56%	4
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	28%	49%	5
Mon 1p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	27%	29%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	28%	26%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	32%	25%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	36%	28%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 40°4°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 10% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 54 in the afternoon. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 40, with temperatures rising to around 42 overnight. North wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
40°4°–46°8°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 65, with temperatures falling to around 60 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. North wind 2 to 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–43°6°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 70°21°, low 44°7°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 1 to 7 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 44. East wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
66°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
41°5°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. East wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 2 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. East wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Southeast wind 3 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 60°16°, low 46°8°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Storms 0.64 in16 mm, 80% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 56°13°
  60% chance · 0.31 in8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  60% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  60% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. South wind 3 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
54°12°–60°16°
Low, likely
46°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 54°12°, low 47°8°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.59 in15 mm, 70% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  60% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  50% chance · 0.13 in3.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  50% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–58°14°
Low, likely
46°8°–49°9°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 44°7°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.69 in18 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  50% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  50% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 45°7°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–57°14°
Low, likely
37°3°–48°9°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
2
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 59°15°, low 41°5°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 60°16°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–65°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
8 mph14 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 62°, low 40°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 65°, low 42°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 70°, low 44°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 54–70°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tonto Creek near Roosevelt

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.9 ft
Flow: 198 cfs

Forecast peak 2.9 ft Sat 5 PM

Reading from Sat 3:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Fossil Creek near Strawberry

19 mi

Level: 4.0 ft
Flow: 39 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:30 PM · NWS gauge page

East Verde River near Childs

19 mi

Level: 13.0 ft
Flow: 261 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 25Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 19
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 2 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 11°6° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Freedom Acres weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour: 5:05–5:55 PM; Morning 6:22–7:12 AM
Blue hour: 5:55–6:05 PM; Morning 6:12–6:22 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 7 PM–6:13 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:59 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Freedom Acres. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,900 ft, 9 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.