Observed 9:55 PM MST at KPAN

Geronimo Estates, AZ weather

Clear and 46°8°, 15°8° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 46°8°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 10 AM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 6High; High 1–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.14 inHg1021 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 41°5° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM
High 62°17° tomorrow at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 7 PM

TonightNear 44°7° · rain chance 20% · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 60°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 60°16° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 44°7° by 4 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonNear 64°18° · Partly cloudy
Monday nightDown to 49°9° by 9 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	45°7°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	44°7° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	45°7° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	44°7° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	42°6°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	82%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	88%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	88%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	42°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	88%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	85%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	66%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	57%	0%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	50%	0%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	48%	2%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	47%	3%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	46%	6%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	48%	10%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	9%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	53%	1%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	83%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	79%	4%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	79%	4%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	76%	1%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	42°6°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	76%	1%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	78%	1%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	81%	2%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	80%	41%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	75%	41%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	45°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	70%	43%	1
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	49%	45%	2
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	41%	47%	3
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	37%	54%	5
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	33%	66%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	32%	37%	6
Mon 2p	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	32%	49%	5
Mon 3p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	33%	54%	4
Mon 4p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	37%	52%	2
Mon 5p	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	45%	15%	1
Mon 6p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	50%	18%	0
Mon 7p	Mostly clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	60%	8%	0
Mon 8p	Clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	68%	7%	0
Mon 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	71%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 40°4°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: A slight chance of rain showers before 11pm. Mostly clear. Low around 40, with temperatures rising to around 42 overnight. Northwest wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
57°14°–59°15°
Low, likely
40°4°–45°7°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 42°6°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 58 in the afternoon. West wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear. Low around 42, with temperatures rising to around 44 overnight. North wind 3 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–63°17°
Low, likely
38°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 3 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. East wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
40°4°–45°7°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 68°20°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. East wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 47°8°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 2 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 48°9°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 2 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
46°8°–49°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 58°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Storms 0.48 in12 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  60% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 56°13°
  70% chance · 0.29 in7.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  70% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 47°8°
  60% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. South wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
53°12°–62°17°
Low, likely
45°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 46°8°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  60% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  60% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  60% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 46°8°
  50% chance · 0.3 in7.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. South wind 2 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–60°16°
Low, likely
45°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 51°11°, low 42°6°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 1.3 in34 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Rain, 46°8°
  50% chance · 0.56 in14 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.24 in6.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  50% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Low, likely
36°2°–48°9°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 40°4°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 60°15°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 49°9°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–63°17°
Low, likely
37°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
52% chance of rain, high 58°, low 40°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 63°, low 42°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 45°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 51–68°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Fossil Creek near Strawberry

15 mi

Level: 4.3 ft
Flow: 105 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:30 PM · NWS gauge page

East Verde River near Childs

17 mi

Level: 12.9 ft
Flow: 237 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:30 PM · NWS gauge page

West Clear Creek near Camp Verde

22 mi

Level: 1.2 ft
Flow: 293 cfs

Reading from Sat 9:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Verde River below Camp Verde

25 mi

Level: 8.0 ft
Flow: 2,590 cfs

Reading from Sat 9 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 26Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 22
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 4 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 15°8° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Geronimo Estates weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour: 5:05–5:55 PM; Morning 6:22–7:13 AM
Blue hour: 5:55–6:05 PM; Morning 6:12–6:22 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 10:43 PM–6:13 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:59 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Geronimo Estates. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,000 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 3.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.