Model estimate for 5:00 AM MST (no recent station report)

Heber-Overgaard, AZ weather

Clear and 37°3°, 8°4° colder than a typical Oct 24, rain ~2–4 PM (41%).

Forecasts agree

Now 37°3°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Gusts to 25 mph40 km/h around 2 PM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
Humidity: 100%; Air 37°3°, dew point 37°3° · fog or dew likely
UV index: 0Low; High 12–2 PM · peak 6

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 50°10° today by 10 AM
High 56°13° today at noon
Below 40°4° tonight after 9 PM

This morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · rain chance 30% · Partly cloudy
This afternoonDown to 50°10° by 5 PM · rain chance 40% · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 33°1° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 57°14° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 34°1° by 4 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	16%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	10%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	21%	0
Sat 8a	Mostly sunny	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	42°6°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	96%	34%	0
Sat 9a	Showers	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	47°8°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	35%	1
Sat 10a	Showers	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	20%	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	66%	42%	3
Sat 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	30%	12 mph19 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph35 km/h	57%	37%	5
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	30%	13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	53%	40%	6
Sat 1p	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	30%	13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	53%	33%	6
Sat 2p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	40%	14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	55%	57%	4
Sat 3p	Drizzle	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	40%	13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	55%	41%	3
Sat 4p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	40%	13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	59%	52%	1
Sat 5p	Drizzle	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	5%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	66%	54%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	44°7°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	79%	35%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)	41°5°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	93%	3%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	3%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	39°4°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	9%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	38°3°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	5%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	100%	5%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	4%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	93%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	68%	1%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	54%	7%	4
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	48%	17%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	42%	29%	6
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	39%	29%	6
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	40%	33%	5
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	42%	25%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	25%	2
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	49%	11%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	66%	26%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	9%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	86%	4%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	36°2° (likely 35°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	3%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	4%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	34°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	6%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 56°13°, low 37°3°. Typical 64°18° / 33°1°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Showers, 44°7°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 33°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of rain showers between 8am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny. High near 56, with temperatures falling to around 50 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 2 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. North wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
55°13°–57°14°
Low, likely
35°2°–38°3°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 33°1°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 36 mph57 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 58°14°, low 34°1°. Typical 64°18° / 33°1°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 41°5°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 58. West wind around 3 mph.
Night: Areas of fog after 10pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 34. North wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
56°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
33°1°–36°2°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 33°1°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Fog. High 61°16°, low 36°2°. Typical 64°18° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Areas of fog before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
33°1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 33°1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 64°18°, low 38°3°. Typical 63°17° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 3 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
35°2°–42°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 32°0°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 28 mph46 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 41°5°. Typical 63°17° / 32°0°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 44°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 2 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–43°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 32°0°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 62°17°, low 42°6°. Typical 63°17° / 32°0°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. South wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. South wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 32°0°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 62°17° / 32°0°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 57. South wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–60°16°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 32°0°
Wind
17 mph27 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 52°11°, low 43°6°. Typical 62°17° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.23 in5.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°7°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  50% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Low, likely
41°5°–44°7°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 31°−1°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 39°4°. Typical 62°17° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.31 in7.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 44°6°
  50% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–59°15°
Low, likely
37°3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 31°−1°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 53°12°, low 39°4°. Typical 61°16° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.14 in3.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 42°5°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 55°13°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–65°18°
Low, likely
34°1°–44°7°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 31°−1°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 48 mph77 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
41% chance of rain, high 56°, low 37°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 58°, low 34°.
Monday
Dry, high 61°, low 36°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 51–65°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Chevelon Creek near Winslow

17 mi

Level: 4.6 ft
Flow: 253 cfs

Reading from Sat 3:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 66% less heating than a typical week.

This week 41Typical 120

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 29
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 23 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Heber (black Mesa) Ranger Station · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1950–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 8°4° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Heber-Overgaard weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour: 5:02–5:52 PM; Morning 6:19–7:09 AM
Blue hour: 5:52–6:02 PM; Morning 6:09–6:19 AM; first light 6:09 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 5:07–6:09 AM; moon 96% lit but below the horizon.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:56 AM · rises 4:35 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking south from Heber-Overgaard. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,200 ft, 65 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.