Observed 12:55 AM MST at KPAN

Mead Ranch, AZ weather

Clear and 46°8°, 15°8° colder than a typical Oct 24, rain ~2–4 PM (51%).

Forecasts agree

Now 46°8°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 1 PM
Dew point: 43°6°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; High 12–1 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.01 inHg1016 hPa; Steady over the next 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° cooler than this time yesterday (52°11° then, 46°8° now)

Good hours for

Dry until 11 AM
Above 50°10° today by 9 AM
Drizzle today 11 AM–5 PM (50%, 0.06 in1.5 mm)
Below 50°10° tonight after 6 PM
Fog tonight 7–8 PM

TonightNear 42°6° · Clear
This morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (40%)
This afternoonDown to 53°12° by 5 PM · Rain noon–5 PM (50%)
TonightDown to 37°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 58°14° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 59°15° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by 10 PM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	93%	2%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	41°5° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	100%	11%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	100%	18%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	17%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	21%	0
Sat 8a	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	46°8°	10%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	86%	41%	1
Sat 9a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	52°11°	10%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	69%	66%	2
Sat 10a	Partly sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	10%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	59%	68%	4
Sat 11a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	55%	52%	5
Sat 12p	Drizzle	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	57%	84%	6
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	57%	61%	5
Sat 2p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	62%	47%	4
Sat 3p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	66%	69%	4
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	50%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph30 km/h	66%	49%	2
Sat 5p	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	74%	38%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 48°9°)	47°8°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	89%	58%	0
Sat 7p	Fog	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	100%	21%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	44°7°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	96%	18%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	42°6°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	41°5°	5%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	100%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	41°5°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	100%	6%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	5%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	7%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	40°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	2%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	68%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	1%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	47%	14%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	46%	20%	6
Sun 1p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	44%	11%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	42%	11%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	44%	12%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	46%	3%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	55%	3%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	69%	2%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	41°5°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	96%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	93%	0%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 40°4°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.07 in1.8 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Mostly sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. South wind 2 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Tonight: Patchy fog between 4am and 5am. Mostly clear, with a low around 40. East wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
54°12°–58°14°
Low, likely
39°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 38°3°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 42°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 61. North wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Northeast wind 0 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
56°13°–61°16°
Low, likely
37°3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 65°18°, low 41°5°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 0 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. East wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
39°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. South wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 0 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
41°5°–46°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
44°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 46°8°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 47°8°
  50% chance · 0.2 in5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. South wind 2 to 7 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Low, likely
45°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 35 mph57 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.75 in19 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  50% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  50% chance · 0.21 in5.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  50% chance · 0.25 in6.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  50% chance · 0.29 in7.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–60°16°
Low, likely
42°6°–46°8°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 43°6°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.58 in15 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  60% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  60% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 44°6°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
48°9°–55°13°
Low, likely
39°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 55°13°, low 40°4°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–61°16°
Low, likely
37°3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
51% chance of rain, high 58°, low 40°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 61°, low 38°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 65°, low 41°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 53–66°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 54% less heating than a typical week.

This week 34Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 43°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 12:00 PM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 15°8° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Mead Ranch weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour: 5:04–5:55 PM; Morning 6:21–7:12 AM
Blue hour: 5:55–6:04 PM; Morning 6:12–6:21 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 1:35–6:12 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 4:58 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:58 AM · rises 4:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Mead Ranch. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,000 ft, 2 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.