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Observed 1:15 AM MST at KFLG

Mountainaire, AZ weather

Clear and 30°−1°, rain ~2–4 PM (40%).

Today: low 30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 35°2°), high 54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°).

Mostly agree

Now 30°−1°

Clear

Wind
Calm
Up to 12 mph19 km/h through 1 PM
Dew point
28°−2°
Dry · up to 37°3° by 8 AM (comfortable)
Humidity
93%
Air 30°−1°, dew point 28°−2° · frost likely
UV index
0Low
Moderate 10 AM–4 PM · peak 5
Air quality
14Good
Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure
30.05 inHg1018 hPa
Steady over the next 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

14°8° cooler than this time yesterday (45°7° then, 31°−1° now)

Good hours for
  • Below freezing today 6–8 AM (low 30°−1°)
  • Above 40°4° today by 8 AM
  • Fog tonight 10 PM–midnight
  • Hard freeze tonight midnight–8 AM (low 28°−2°)
  • Below freezing tomorrow night from 11 PM (low 30°−1°)
  1. TonightNear 34°1° · Clear
  2. This morningUp to 54°12° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
  3. This afternoonDown to 49°9° by 5 PM · rain chance 40% · Partly cloudy
  4. TonightDown to 29°−2° by 4 AM · rain chance 30% · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear
  5. Tomorrow morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 28°−2° · Clear
  6. Tomorrow afternoonNear 52°11° · Partly cloudy
  7. Tomorrow nightDown to 30°−1° by midnight · freezing, low 30°−1° · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 1aClear35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h96%1%0
Sat 2aClear35°2° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h96%0%0
Sat 3aClear34°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)34°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%1%0
Sat 4aClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)33°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%0%0
Sat 5aClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 38°3°)33°1°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%0%0
Sat 6aClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)30°−1°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%0%0
Sat 7aSunny32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)32°0°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%0%0
Sat 8aSunny40°4° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)38°3°5%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h89%2%1
Sat 9aSunny47°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)44°7°5%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h68%3%2
Sat 10aSunny50°10° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)47°8°5%7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h58%15%3
Sat 11aSunny54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°20%9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h48%23%5
Sat 12pSunny54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°20%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h48%25%5
Sat 1pMostly sunny54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°20%12 mph19 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h48%34%5
Sat 2pCloudy54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)54°12°40%12 mph19 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h48%57%5
Sat 3pMostly sunny53°12° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)53°12°40%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h50%42%4
Sat 4pCloudy53°12° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)53°12°40%10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h52%63%2
Sat 5pDrizzle49°9° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)45°7°30%9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h63%62%1
Sat 6pClear44°7° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)41°5°30%6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h76%42%0
Sat 7pCloudy42°6° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)42°6°30%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h82%49%0
Sat 8pShowers39°4° (likely 37°3° to 39°4°)39°4°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h96%43%0
Sat 9pMostly clear36°2° (likely 36°2° to 38°3°)36°2°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%27%0
Sat 10pFog35°2° (likely 35°2° to 37°3°)35°2°30%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%22%0
Sat 11pFog33°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)33°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%35%0
Sun 12aClear32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)32°0°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%12%0
Sun 1aClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 35°2°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%10%0
Sun 2aClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h100%10%0
Sun 3aClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 34°1°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%11%0
Sun 4aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)29°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%10%0
Sun 5aClear29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 34°1°)29°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h100%10%0
Sun 6aClear28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 34°1°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h100%9%0
Sun 7aSunny28°−2° (likely 28°−2° to 36°2°)28°−2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%9%0
Sun 8aSunny36°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)36°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h100%9%1
Sun 9aSunny43°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)43°6°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h82%2%2
Sun 10aSunny49°9° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)49°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h63%18%3
Sun 11aSunny51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)51°11°5%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h59%27%4
Sun 12pMostly sunny52°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)52°11°5%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h54%37%5
Sun 1pMostly sunny54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°5%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h50%32%5
Sun 2pPartly sunny55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)55°13°5%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h47%31%5
Sun 3pSunny55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)55°13°5%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h47%24%3
Sun 4pSunny54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)54°12°5%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h48%15%2
Sun 5pSunny51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)51°11°0%1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h56%19%1
Sun 6pPartly cloudy45°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)45°7°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h70%14%0
Sun 7pClear40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)40°4°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h85%0%0
Sun 8pClear37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)37°3°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h100%5%0
Sun 9pClear35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°)35°2°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%8%0
Sun 10pClear33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)33°1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h100%8%0
Sun 11pClear31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 39°4°)31°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%9%0
Mon 12aClear30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 40°4°)30°−1°0%0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h100%12%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 54°12°, low 30°−1°. Typical 61°16° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 40°4°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 54°12°

      40% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 39°4°

      30% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 29°−2°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 54, with temperatures falling to around 49 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 2 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Tonight: Areas of fog before 5am. Mostly clear. Low around 30, with temperatures rising to around 33 overnight. North wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    50°10°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–35°2°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 55°13°, low 25°−4°. Typical 60°16° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 36°2°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 55°13°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 37°3°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 30°−1°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Areas of fog before 9am. Sunny, with a high near 55. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.

    Night: Areas of fog between 8pm and 4am. Mostly clear, with a low around 25. Northeast wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    50°10°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    25°−4°–34°1°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 59°15°, low 31°−1°. Typical 60°16° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 40°4°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 59°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 40°4°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 35°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 59. Southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Wind around 0 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    58°14°–60°16°
    Low, likely
    30°−1°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 60°16°, low 32°0°. Typical 60°16° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 41°5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 58°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 36°2°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 60. Southwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. West wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 60°16°).

    High, likely
    57°14°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–37°3°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 35°2°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 41°5°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 43°6°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 40°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. West wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    56°13°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    32°0°–39°4°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 58°14°, low 36°2°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. South wind 0 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southwest wind around 2 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    58°14°–59°15°
    Low, likely
    36°2°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 52°11°, low 43°6°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.29 in7.4 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      30% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 51°11°

      50% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      50% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 43°6°

      50% chance · 0.11 in2.8 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Southwest wind 2 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    48°9°–54°12°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    15 mph23 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 49°9°, low 42°6°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.55 in14 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      50% chance · 0.27 in6.9 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 51°10°

      50% chance · 0.14 in3.7 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      50% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 42°6°

      50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 38°3°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 45°7°

      50% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      60% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      50% chance

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 39°4°

      50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    43°6°–53°12°
    Low, likely
    34°1°–42°6°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 51°11°, low 37°3°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 42°5°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 53°11°

      30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 45°7°

      20% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    45°7°–58°14°
    Low, likely
    33°1°–41°5°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    4

The outlook

  1. Today

    40% chance of rain, high 54°, low 30°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 55°, low 25°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 59°, low 31°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 49–61°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Oak Creek (AZ) at Sedona

17 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.1 ft
Flow
531 cfs

Forecast peak 3.5 ft Sat 1 AM

Reading from Fri 11:45 PM · NWS gauge page

West Fork Oak Creek above Sedona

9.3 mi
Level
2.3 ft
Flow
185 cfs

Reading from Fri 11:45 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 68% less heating than a typical week.

This week 47Typical 147

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
31
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 27 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F). Indoor air will run dry too — a humidifier keeping indoor relative humidity in the 30–50% range is more comfortable and cuts static shocks, without going so high it fogs cold windows.

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Flagstaff Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1898–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
61°16° / 29°−2°
Forecast high / low
54°12° / 30°−1°
Record high
79°26° in 1959
Record low
9°−13° in 1975

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +2°+1°SunOct 18
  2. +3°+1°MonOct 19
  3. +3°+2°TueOct 20
  4. +8°+4°WedOct 21
  5. +6°+3°ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Mountainaire weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 6:40 AM, sunset 5:40 PM.

Daylight
11 h 0 min
Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 12 min less
Golden hour
5:05–5:56 PM
Morning 6:24–7:15 AM
Blue hour
5:56–6:06 PM
Morning 6:14–6:24 AM; first light 6:14 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 1:34–6:14 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 5:01 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:01 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking north from Mountainaire. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,200 ft, 16 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.