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Observed 7:55 AM MST at KSEZ

Oak Creek Canyon, AZ weather

Sunny and 52°11°, jacket by 5 PM.

Today: low 40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°), high 62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°).

Forecasts agree

Now 52°11°

Sunny

Wind
9 mph15 km/h
From the north-northeast. Up to 9 mph15 km/h through 9 PM
Dew point
37°3°
Comfortable
UV index
1Low
Moderate 10 AM–3 PM · peak 5
Air quality
19Good
Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure
30.02 inHg1017 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.5 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Dry until 5 PM
  • Rain today 5–11 PM (20%, 0.12 in3 mm)
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 6 PM
  • Fog tonight 7–9 PM
  • Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM
  1. This morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Clear
  2. This afternoonDown to 52°11° by 5 PM · Rain 5–6 PM (20%)
  3. TonightDown to 40°4° by 2 AM · Rain 6–11 PM (20%)
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonDown to 56°13° by 5 PM · Clear
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 42°6° by 2 AM · Clear
  7. Monday morningNear 43°6° · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 9aSunny53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h61%2%1
Sat 10aSunny59°15° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)59°15°0%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h49%13%3
Sat 11aSunny61°16° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)61°16°20%6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h44%14%4
Sat 12pSunny61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)61°16°20%7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h44%7%5
Sat 1pSunny62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)62°17°20%8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h43%15%5
Sat 2pSunny62°17° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)62°17°40%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h41%29%4
Sat 3pSunny58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)58°14°40%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h49%34%2
Sat 4pPartly sunny58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)58°14°40%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h51%61%1
Sat 5pDrizzle52°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°)52°11°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h69%79%1
Sat 6pCloudy49°9° (likely 48°9° to 50°10°)48°9°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h80%71%0
Sat 7pFog45°7° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)45°7°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h96%66%0
Sat 8pFog45°7° (likely 43°6° to 46°8°)45°7°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h96%55%0
Sat 9pShowers44°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)44°7°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm1 mph2 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h93%37%0
Sat 10pShowers45°7° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)45°7°20%, 0.02 in0.5 mm2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h86%29%0
Sat 11pClear44°7° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°)44°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h89%6%0
Sun 12aClear42°6° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)42°6°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h93%4%0
Sun 1aClear41°5° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)41°5°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h93%4%0
Sun 2aClear40°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h96%2%0
Sun 3aClear40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h96%0%0
Sun 4aClear40°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h96%0%0
Sun 5aClear40°4° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h96%0%0
Sun 6aClear40°4° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h92%0%0
Sun 7aSunny40°4° (likely 40°4° to 42°6°)40°4°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h92%0%0
Sun 8aSunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 45°7°)44°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h82%0%1
Sun 9aSunny51°11° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)51°11°0%1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h68%1%2
Sun 10aSunny57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)57°14°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h55%3%3
Sun 11aSunny61°16° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°)61°16°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h46%12%5
Sun 12pSunny61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)61°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h46%10%5
Sun 1pSunny62°17° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°)62°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h44%7%5
Sun 2pSunny63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)63°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h41%5%5
Sun 3pSunny62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)62°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h41%2%4
Sun 4pSunny62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)62°17°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h43%1%2
Sun 5pSunny56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)56°13°0%1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h57%0%1
Sun 6pClear51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)51°11°0%1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h68%0%0
Sun 7pClear47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h83%0%0
Sun 8pClear45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h89%0%0
Sun 9pClear44°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)41°5°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h93%0%0
Sun 10pClear44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)41°5°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h89%0%0
Sun 11pMostly clear45°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h82%16%0
Mon 12aClear44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)41°5°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h82%40%0
Mon 1aClear43°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)39°4°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h86%40%0
Mon 2aMostly clear42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)38°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h86%45%0
Mon 3aMostly clear42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)38°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h86%40%0
Mon 4aMostly clear42°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)38°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h86%32%0
Mon 5aMostly clear42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)38°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph17 km/h86%36%0
Mon 6aClear42°6° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)38°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h86%6%0
Mon 7aMostly sunny42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)38°3°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h82%20%0
Mon 8aMostly sunny44°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)41°5°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h76%13%1

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 40°4°. Typical 61°16° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 61°16°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 62°17°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Showers, 45°7°

      20% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 40°4°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 7pm, then patchy fog and a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 7pm and 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Northeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    58°14°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–42°6°
    Typical high / low
    61°16° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 42°6°. Typical 60°16° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 45°7°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 42°6°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. South wind around 2 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. North wind 1 to 6 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    57°14°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–42°6°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 29°−2°
    Wind
    10 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 69°21°, low 43°6°. Typical 60°16° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 44°7°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 1 to 6 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East wind around 2 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–45°7°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 44°7°. Typical 60°16° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 49°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind around 3 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. East wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    60°16° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Southeast wind 1 to 8 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 3 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–71°22°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    10 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 68°20°, low 48°9°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 63°17°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      30% chance · 0.12 in3 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southeast wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    62°17°–68°20°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–48°9°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.46 in12 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 56°13°

      70% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 49°10°

      70% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      60% chance · 0.17 in4.4 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. South wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–62°17°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    59°15° / 28°−2°
    Wind
    15 mph24 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 53°12°, low 45°7°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.5 in13 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      60% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      70% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 48°9°

      60% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 45°7°

      60% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–55°13°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 42°6°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.45 in11 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 47°8°

      60% chance · 0.08 in1.9 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      60% chance · 0.17 in4.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      50% chance · 0.2 in5.2 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 44°7°

      50% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    47°8°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–43°6°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 57°14°, low 43°6°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.29 in7.4 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      40% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 48°9°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    46°8°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    58°14° / 27°−3°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 33 mph54 km/h
    UV peak
    4

The outlook

  1. Today

    37% chance of rain, high 62°, low 40°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 63°, low 42°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 69°, low 43°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 53–71°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Oak Creek (AZ) at Sedona

6.1 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.2 ft
Flow
218 cfs

Forecast peak 3.0 ft Sat 10 AM

Reading from Sat 8:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Oak Creek (AZ) at Page Springs near Cornville

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.0 ft
Flow
233 cfs

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 10 AM

Reading from Sat 8 AM · NWS gauge page

Dry Beaver Creek near Rimrock

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.1 ft
Flow
103 cfs

Forecast peak 3.2 ft Sat 9 AM

Reading from Sat 7:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Verde River above Clarkdale

19 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.1 ft
Flow
532 cfs

Forecast peak 4.3 ft Sat 10 AM

Reading from Sat 8 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 79% less heating than a typical week.

This week 31Typical 147

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
28
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 14 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–4:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Flagstaff Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1898–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Normal high / low
61°16° / 29°−2°
Forecast high / low
62°17° / 40°4°
Record high
79°26° in 1959
Record low
9°−13° in 1975

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +2°+1°SunOct 18
  2. +3°+1°MonOct 19
  3. +3°+2°TueOct 20
  4. +8°+4°WedOct 21
  5. +6°+3°ThuOct 22
  6. −1°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Oak Creek Canyon weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 6:40 AM, sunset 5:41 PM.

Daylight
11 h 0 min
Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 12 min less
Golden hour
5:06–5:56 PM
Morning 6:24–7:15 AM
Blue hour
5:56–6:06 PM
Morning 6:15–6:24 AM; first light 6:15 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 11 PM–6:15 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 5:01 AM · rises 4:39 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking north from Oak Creek Canyon. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,100 ft, 2 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.