Observed 4:20 PM MST at KOLS

Patagonia, AZ weather

Partly cloudy and 70°21°, 8°4° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Mostly agree

Now 70°21°

Partly sunny

Wind: 12 mph19 km/h; From the southwest. Up to 12 mph19 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
UV index: 3Moderate; Was high 12–3 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 15Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.01 inHg1016 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° cooler than this time yesterday (75°24° then, 70°21° now)

Good hours for

Below 60°16° tonight after 8 PM
Low 47°8° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 9 AM
High 75°24° tomorrow at 2 PM

This afternoonNear 70°21° · Clear
TonightDown to 48°9° by 3 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 70°21° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 72°22° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 50°10° by 3 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 74°23° by 11 AM · Clear
Monday afternoonNear 79°26° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 4p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	36%	10%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from WSW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	33%	7%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	42%	5%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	47%	20%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	52%	25%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	57%	9%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	59%	11%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	63%	11%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	67%	4%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	69%	5%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	70%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	72%	3%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	72%	10%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	10%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	46°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	74%	7%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	68%	3%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	57%	3%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	45%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	38%	0%	4
Sun 11a	Sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	32%	0%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	29%	0%	6
Sun 1p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	26%	7%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	24%	30%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	24%	1%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	25%	22%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	26%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	33%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	37%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	60°16° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	42%	5%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	48%	13%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	50%	21%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly cloudy	55°13° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	54%	50%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	56%	34%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly cloudy	52°11° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	57%	29%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	57%	22%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly cloudy	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	59%	59%	0
Mon 4a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	58%	51%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	57%	58%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	49°9° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	60%	50%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	57%	42%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	49%	15%	1
Mon 9a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	41%	2%	2
Mon 10a	Sunny	69°21° (likely 68°20° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	33%	6%	4
Mon 11a	Sunny	74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	28%	1%	5
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	78°26° (likely 72°22° to 78°26°)	78°26°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	24%	7%	6
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	79°26° (likely 74°23° to 79°26°)	78°26°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	21%	9%	6
Mon 2p	Mostly sunny	80°27° (likely 74°23° to 80°27°)	78°26°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	20%	6%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	80°27° (likely 74°23° to 80°27°)	78°26°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	19%	11%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 73°23°, low 46°8°. Typical 81°27° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 73, with temperatures falling to around 69 in the afternoon. Southwest wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 41°5°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 48°9°. Typical 81°27° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 76, with temperatures falling to around 72 in the afternoon. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. East northeast wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 41°5°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 80°27°, low 52°11°. Typical 81°27° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 80. South wind around 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–80°27°
Low, likely
42°6°–52°11°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 41°5°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 81°27°, low 54°12°. Typical 80°27° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 81.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
75°24°–81°27°
Low, likely
43°6°–54°12°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 40°4°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 81°27°, low 55°13°. Typical 80°27° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
74°23°–81°27°
Low, likely
47°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 79°26°, low 56°13°. Typical 80°27° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
74°23°–79°26°
Low, likely
47°8°–56°13°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 40°4°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 72°22°, low 54°12°. Typical 80°27° / 39°4°. Storms 0.23 in5.8 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 68°20°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 58°15°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–73°23°
Low, likely
54°12°–57°14°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 39°4°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 54°12°. Typical 79°26° / 39°4°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–69°21°
Low, likely
52°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 39°4°
Wind
13 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 79°26° / 39°4°. Rain 0.35 in8.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 51°11°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–70°21°
Low, likely
43°6°–57°14°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 39°4°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
3
Monday, Nov 2. Partly sunny. High 69°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 79°26° / 38°3°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 57°14°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–74°23°
Low, likely
41°5°–56°13°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 38°3°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 73°, low 46°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 76°, low 48°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 80°, low 52°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 64–81°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TWC) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Santa Cruz River near Nogales

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.7 ft
Flow: 12 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 3 AM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Santa Cruz River near Tubac

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 20.8 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Forecast peak 21.5 ft Sat 5 AM

Reading from Sat 2:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Babocomari River near Huachuca City

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 4.5 ft

Forecast peak 6.0 ft Sat 4 AM

Reading from Sat 3 PM · NWS gauge page

Cienega Creek near Sonoita

24 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.3 ft
Flow: 1 cfs

Forecast peak 0.1 ft Sat 4 PM

Reading from Sat 2 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 57% less heating than a typical week.

This week 14Typical 33

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 1
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 5:00 PM–7:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Nogales 6 N · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1952–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 8°4° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 8°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°SunOct 18
+5°+3°MonOct 19
+10°+5°TueOct 20
+13°+7°WedOct 21
+11°+6°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Patagonia weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 8 min; Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 3 min less
Golden hour: 5:07–5:56 PM; Morning 6:17–7:06 AM
Blue hour: 5:56–6:05 PM; Morning 6:08–6:17 AM; first light 6:08 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 9 PM–6:08 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:55 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from Patagonia. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,200 ft, 12 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Patagonia, AZ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Santa Cruz River near Nogales

Santa Cruz River near Tubac

Babocomari River near Huachuca City

Cienega Creek near Sonoita

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon