Observed 3:35 PM MST at KPAN

Payson, AZ weather

Sunny and 63°17°, 11°6° colder than a typical Oct 23, jacket by 6 PM.

Forecasts agree

Now 63°17°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the south-southwest. Up to 6 mph9 km/h through 4 AM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
UV tomorrow: 6High; High 12–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.01 inHg1016 hPa; Falling · −0.06 inHg−2.0 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Dry until tomorrow 11 AM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 8 AM
Rain tomorrow 11 AM–5 PM (40%, 0.06 in1.5 mm)
High 62°17° tomorrow at noon

This afternoonNear 60°16° · Clear
TonightDown to 44°7° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (40%)
Tomorrow afternoonDown to 57°14° by 5 PM · Rain noon–5 PM (40%)
Tomorrow nightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
Sunday morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Sunday afternoonNear 63°17° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 4p	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	53%	7%	2
Fri 5p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	62%	3%	1
Fri 6p	Clear	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	72%	0%	0
Fri 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	0%	0
Fri 8p	Clear	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	1%	0
Fri 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	2%	0
Fri 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	45°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	0%	0
Fri 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sat 12a	Clear	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	45°7°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sat 1a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	46°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	3%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	89%	16%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	93%	15%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	42°6°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	93%	16%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	42°6°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	18%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	44°7°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	17%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	49°9°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	16%	1
Sat 9a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	54°12°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	69%	21%	2
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	60%	30%	3
Sat 11a	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	53%	54%	5
Sat 12p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	52%	40%	6
Sat 1p	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	62°17°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	52%	44%	6
Sat 2p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	61°16°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	56%	71%	5
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	53%	70%	2
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	40%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	55%	43%	2
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	64%	20%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	71%	2%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	83%	3%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	48°9°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	5%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	47°8° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	47°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	93%	2%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	46°8°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	43°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	66%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	55%	0%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	46%	0%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	41%	12%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	40%	13%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 62°17° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	40%	12%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph10 km/h	43%	13%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 74°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 59 in the afternoon. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. North wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
62°17°–64°18°
Low, likely
44°7°–47°8°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 41°5°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 62°17°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Sunny. High near 62, with temperatures falling to around 57 in the afternoon. South wind 2 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Night: Patchy fog between 1am and 3am. Mostly clear, with a low around 41. North wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
58°14°–63°17°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Oct 25. Sunny. High 64°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 42. North wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
38°3°–42°6°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. East wind 3 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–45°7°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. East wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 48°9°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. East wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 48°9°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. East wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
65°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 61°16°, low 50°10°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.35 in8.9 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–66°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 56°13°, low 49°9°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.82 in21 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  40% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.31 in7.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.32 in8.2 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 49°9°
  50% chance · 0.58 in15 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
52°11°–59°15°
Low, likely
47°8°–50°10°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 57°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.85 in22 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  50% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  50% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
49°9°–60°16°
Low, likely
40°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 63°, low 44°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 62°, low 41°.
Sunday
Dry, high 64°, low 42°.
Rest of week
Highs 56–68°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tonto Creek near Roosevelt

18 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 379 cfs

Forecast peak 3.0 ft Fri 4 PM

Reading from Fri 2:15 PM · NWS gauge page

East Verde River near Childs

18 mi

Level: 13.5 ft
Flow: 487 cfs

Reading from Fri 3:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Fossil Creek near Strawberry

21 mi

Level: 4.3 ft
Flow: 88 cfs

Reading from Fri 2:30 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 62% less heating than a typical week.

This week 27Typical 71

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 23
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 3 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–3:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 11°6° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+2°+1°SatOct 17
−6°−3°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Payson weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 4 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 12 min less
Golden hour: 5:06–5:56 PM; Morning 6:21–7:11 AM
Blue hour: 5:56–6:06 PM; Morning 6:11–6:21 AM; first light 6:11 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 6:06 PM–6:12 AM; moon 95% lit, sets 4:59 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

94% lit · growing

Today: sets 3:55 AM · rises 4:09 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Payson. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,000 ft, 15 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.