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Observed 7:55 AM MST at KAVQ

Picture Rocks, AZ weather

Sunny and 61°16°.

Today: low 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°), high 77°25° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°).

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Sunny

Wind
5 mph8 km/h
35–7 mph11 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point
48°9°
Comfortable
UV index
0Low
High 12–2 PM · peak 6
Air quality
30Good
Main pollutant: PM10 (dust)
Pressure
29.94 inHg1014 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.1 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

4°2° cooler than this time yesterday (64°18° then, 61°16° now)

Good hours for
  • Above 70°21° today by 11 AM
  • High 77°25° today at 2 PM
  • Below 70°21° tonight after 7 PM
  1. This morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Clear
  2. This afternoonNear 75°24° · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 54°12° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 73°23° by 11 AM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 79°26° by 2 PM · Clear
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 53°12° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 8aSunny58°14° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)58°14°0%5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h71%16%0
Sat 9aSunny65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)65°18°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h54%12%2
Sat 10aSunny68°20° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)68°20°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h48%13%3
Sat 11aSunny72°22° (likely 72°22° to 73°23°)72°22°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h42%5%5
Sat 12pSunny74°23° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)74°23°0%5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h38%17%6
Sat 1pMostly sunny76°24° (likely 76°24° to 77°25°)76°24°0%6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h35%17%6
Sat 2pMostly sunny77°25° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)77°25°0%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h32%47%4
Sat 3pMostly sunny77°25° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)77°25°0%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h31%29%3
Sat 4pPartly sunny76°24° (likely 75°24° to 77°25°)77°25°0%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h31%29%1
Sat 5pSunny75°24° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)75°24°0%6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h33%34%1
Sat 6pMostly clear71°22° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)71°22°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h41%51%0
Sat 7pClear67°19° (likely 65°18° to 72°22°)67°19°0%3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h50%34%0
Sat 8pClear64°18° (likely 62°17° to 69°21°)64°18°0%3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h56%34%0
Sat 9pClear62°17° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°)62°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h62%24%0
Sat 10pMostly clear60°16° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)60°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h66%13%0
Sat 11pClear59°15° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)59°15°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h68%8%0
Sun 12aClear59°15° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°)59°15°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h68%13%0
Sun 1aClear58°14° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)58°14°0%1 mph2 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h69%11%0
Sun 2aClear57°14° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°)57°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h72%20%0
Sun 3aMostly clear56°13° (likely 53°12° to 60°16°)56°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h71%59%0
Sun 4aMostly clear55°13° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h73%31%0
Sun 5aClear54°12° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)54°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h74%15%0
Sun 6aClear54°12° (likely 50°10° to 58°14°)54°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h72%10%0
Sun 7aSunny53°12° (likely 49°9° to 58°14°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h75%10%0
Sun 8aSunny58°14° (likely 54°12° to 62°17°)58°14°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h64%10%1
Sun 9aSunny65°18° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)65°18°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h48%8%2
Sun 10aSunny69°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)69°21°0%1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h41%0%4
Sun 11aSunny73°23° (likely 72°22° to 74°23°)73°23°0%2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h36%0%5
Sun 12pSunny75°24° (likely 75°24° to 76°24°)75°24°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h33%0%6
Sun 1pSunny77°25° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)77°25°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h31%0%6
Sun 2pSunny79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)79°26°0%5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h29%0%5
Sun 3pSunny79°26° (likely 77°25° to 79°26°)79°26°0%6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h28%0%4
Sun 4pSunny78°26° (likely 76°24° to 78°26°)78°26°0%7 mph11 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h28%1%3
Sun 5pSunny77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)77°25°0%7 mph11 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h30%6%1
Sun 6pClear73°23° (likely 68°20° to 74°23°)73°23°0%6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h37%40%0
Sun 7pClear69°21° (likely 64°18° to 72°22°)69°21°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h45%40%0
Sun 8pClear65°18° (likely 61°16° to 70°21°)65°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h53%40%0
Sun 9pClear62°17° (likely 59°15° to 68°20°)62°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph6 km/h59%40%0
Sun 10pMostly clear61°16° (likely 57°14° to 66°19°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h62%39%0
Sun 11pMostly clear60°16° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°)60°16°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h64%37%0
Mon 12aMostly clear58°14° (likely 52°11° to 63°17°)58°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h67%53%0
Mon 1aMostly clear57°14° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°)57°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h70%59%0
Mon 2aMostly clear56°13° (likely 50°10° to 60°16°)56°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h71%53%0
Mon 3aMostly clear54°12° (likely 49°9° to 59°15°)55°13°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h73%50%0
Mon 4aClear54°12° (likely 48°9° to 58°14°)54°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h73%35%0
Mon 5aClear53°12° (likely 48°9° to 58°14°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h72%27%0
Mon 6aClear54°12° (likely 45°7° to 60°16°)54°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h71%3%0
Mon 7aSunny55°13° (likely 45°7° to 60°16°)55°13°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h67%6%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Partly sunny. High 77°25°, low 52°11°. Typical 84°29° / 54°12°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 58°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 77°25°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 64°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny, with a high near 77. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. South wind 1 to 5 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    76°24°–78°26°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–59°15°
    Typical high / low
    84°29° / 54°12°
    Wind
    11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 79°26°, low 53°12°. Typical 84°29° / 54°12°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 58°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 79°26°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 65°18°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 53°12°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 79. East wind 1 to 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Northeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    77°25°–79°26°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–57°14°
    Typical high / low
    84°29° / 54°12°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 83°28°, low 56°13°. Typical 84°29° / 54°12°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 58°15°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 82°28°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 68°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 83. East northeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 56.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    81°27°–83°28°
    Low, likely
    47°8°–57°14°
    Typical high / low
    84°29° / 54°12°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 85°29°, low 59°15°. Typical 83°28° / 53°12°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 60°16°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 84°29°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 69°20°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 57°14°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 85.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    82°28°–85°29°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–61°16°
    Typical high / low
    83°28° / 53°12°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 86°30°, low 60°16°. Typical 83°28° / 53°12°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 61°16°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 85°29°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 70°21°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    83°28°–87°31°
    Low, likely
    50°10°–63°17°
    Typical high / low
    83°28° / 53°12°
    Wind
    9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 83°28°, low 60°16°. Typical 83°28° / 53°12°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 62°16°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 85°30°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 72°22°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 60°15°

      30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    83°28°–87°31°
    Low, likely
    52°11°–65°18°
    Typical high / low
    83°28° / 53°12°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 77°25°, low 58°14°. Typical 82°28° / 52°11°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 64°18°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 77°25°

      50% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 65°18°

      50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 60°16°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    73°23°–80°27°
    Low, likely
    54°12°–64°18°
    Typical high / low
    82°28° / 52°11°
    Wind
    12 mph20 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 74°23°, low 59°15°. Typical 82°28° / 52°11°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 74°23°

      40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 66°19°

      40% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 60°15°

      40% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    70°21°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    54°12°–62°17°
    Typical high / low
    82°28° / 52°11°
    Wind
    13 mph20 km/h, gusts 28 mph44 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 59°15°. Typical 82°28° / 52°11°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 61°16°

      50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 72°22°

      40% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 65°18°

      40% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Partly cloudy, 58°14°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    62°17°–80°27°
    Low, likely
    53°12°–65°18°
    Typical high / low
    82°28° / 52°11°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 60°16°. Typical 81°27° / 51°11°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 60°15°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 69°20°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    64°18°–89°32°
    Low, likely
    54°12°–68°20°
    Typical high / low
    81°27° / 51°11°
    Wind
    20 mph32 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
    UV peak
    5

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 77°, low 52°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 79°, low 53°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 83°, low 56°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 70–86°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TWC) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Santa Cruz River at Cortaro

9.8 mi
Below flood stage
Level
7.8 ft
Flow
16 cfs

Forecast peak 8.4 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 6:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Santa Cruz River at Trico Road

11 mi
Below flood stage
Level
2.7 ft
Flow
35 cfs

Forecast peak 2.4 ft Tue 6 PM

Reading from Sat 7:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Canada del Oro Wash at Ina Road

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.1 ft

Forecast peak 4.5 ft Sat 8 AM

Reading from Sat 6:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Rillito Creek at La Cholla

15 mi
Below flood stage
Level
1.8 ft

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Sat 9 AM

Reading from Sat 7 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

This week 8Typical 0

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 48°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 9:00 AM–10:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Tucson 17 NW · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1982–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
84°29° / 54°12°
Forecast high / low
77°25° / 52°11°
Record high
98°37° in 2024
Record low
43°6° in 1996

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +1°±0°SunOct 18
  2. +3°+2°MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Picture Rocks weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 6:35 AM, sunset 5:42 PM.

Daylight
11 h 6 min
Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 5 min less
Golden hour
5:08–5:57 PM
Morning 6:20–7:09 AM
Blue hour
5:57–6:07 PM
Morning 6:10–6:20 AM; first light 6:10 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 9 PM–3 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today
sets 4:58 AM · rises 4:39 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking east from Picture Rocks. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,100 ft, 29 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.