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Observed 4:55 AM MST at KPAN

Round Valley, AZ weather

Clear and 46°8°, 10°6° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Today: low 45°7° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°), high 63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°).

Mostly agree

Now 46°8°

Clear

Wind
Calm
Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 5 PM
Dew point
41°5°
Comfortable
UV index
0Low
High 12–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure
30.01 inHg1016 hPa
Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.7 hPa in 3 h

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

4°2° cooler than this time yesterday (50°10° then, 46°8° now)

Good hours for
  • Above 50°10° today by 8 AM
  • High 63°17° today at noon
  • Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
  • Low 42°6° tonight at 3 AM
  1. This morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · rain chance 30% · Partly cloudy
  2. This afternoonDown to 57°14° by 5 PM · rain chance 40% · Partly cloudy
  3. TonightDown to 41°5° by 5 AM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow afternoonNear 64°18° · Clear
  6. Tomorrow nightDown to 43°6° by 3 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 5aClear45°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)43°6°5%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h86%17%0
Sat 6aClear45°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)43°6°5%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h86%17%0
Sat 7aSunny45°7° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)43°6°5%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h86%18%0
Sat 8aSunny52°11° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)52°11°5%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h69%18%1
Sat 9aMostly sunny56°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)56°13°5%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h62%42%2
Sat 10aMostly sunny59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)59°15°5%6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h55%37%3
Sat 11aSunny62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)62°17°30%7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h52%32%5
Sat 12pMostly sunny63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)63°17°30%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h50%40%6
Sat 1pDrizzle63°17° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)63°17°30%9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h50%65%6
Sat 2pDrizzle62°17° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)62°17°40%9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h54%30%4
Sat 3pSunny61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)61°16°40%8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h53%28%3
Sat 4pSunny59°15° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)59°15°40%7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h57%29%2
Sat 5pSunny57°14° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)57°14°5%6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h62%21%1
Sat 6pClear53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)53°12°5%5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h71%27%0
Sat 7pClear50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)49°9°5%3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h80%13%0
Sat 8pMostly clear48°9° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)46°8°5%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h89%7%0
Sat 9pClear46°8° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)44°7°5%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph17 km/h96%6%0
Sat 10pClear46°8° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)44°7°5%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h93%3%0
Sat 11pClear45°7° (likely 40°4° to 48°9°)43°6°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h93%0%0
Sun 12aClear45°7° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h89%0%0
Sun 1aClear43°6° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)41°5°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h93%0%0
Sun 2aClear43°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)41°5°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h93%0%0
Sun 3aClear42°6° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)40°4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h93%0%0
Sun 4aClear42°6° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)40°4°0%3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h89%0%0
Sun 5aClear41°5° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°)38°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h93%0%0
Sun 6aClear41°5° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)38°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h93%0%0
Sun 7aSunny41°5° (likely 37°3° to 45°7°)38°3°0%5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h93%0%0
Sun 8aSunny48°9° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)45°7°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h71%1%1
Sun 9aSunny53°12° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)53°12°0%2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h61%0%2
Sun 10aSunny58°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)58°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h53%0%3
Sun 11aSunny61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)61°16°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h48%8%5
Sun 12pSunny64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)64°18°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h41%14%5
Sun 1pMostly sunny65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)65°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h38%10%6
Sun 2pSunny65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)65°18°0%5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h38%1%5
Sun 3pSunny65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)65°18°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h38%0%4
Sun 4pSunny64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)64°18°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h40%1%2
Sun 5pSunny63°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)63°17°0%2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h46%0%1
Sun 6pClear58°14° (likely 53°12° to 58°14°)58°14°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h51%0%0
Sun 7pClear53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph15 km/h61%0%0
Sun 8pClear49°9° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)46°8°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h74%0%0
Sun 9pClear47°8° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)43°6°0%8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph15 km/h79%0%0
Sun 10pClear46°8° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)42°6°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h79%0%0
Sun 11pClear46°8° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°)42°6°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h79%0%0
Mon 12aClear45°7° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°)41°5°0%7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h82%1%0
Mon 1aClear45°7° (likely 36°2° to 48°9°)42°6°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h79%1%0
Mon 2aMostly clear44°7° (likely 36°2° to 48°9°)41°5°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h82%7%0
Mon 3aMostly clear43°6° (likely 35°2° to 48°9°)39°4°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h82%5%0
Mon 4aMostly clear43°6° (likely 34°1° to 47°8°)39°4°0%6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h79%6%0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 52°11°

      30% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 63°17°

      40% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 5pm. Sunny. High near 63, with temperatures falling to around 57 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    60°16°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–47°8°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 38°3°
    Wind
    21 mph34 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 65°18°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 49°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Mostly clear, 42°5°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph.

    Night: Clear, with a low around 42. North wind 2 to 8 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    62°17°–65°18°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–44°7°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 38°3°
    Wind
    8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph23 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 69°21°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 67°19°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 48°9°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 41°5°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 2 to 8 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. East wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    35°2°–45°7°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 37°3°
    Wind
    6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph25 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 69°21°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 47°8°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 50°10°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 43°6°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind 2 to 7 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. East wind around 6 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    67°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    37°3°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 37°3°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 48°9°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 68°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Southeast wind 2 to 8 mph.

    Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. East wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    68°20°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    40°4°–49°9°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 36°2°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 69°20°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 54°12°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      40% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 2 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. East wind 1 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    66°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    45°7°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    72°22° / 36°2°
    Wind
    8 mph14 km/h, gusts 20 mph33 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 61°16°, low 48°9°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.33 in8.4 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 52°11°

      50% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 60°16°

      60% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 53°12°

      50% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Showers, 49°9°

      60% chance · 0.22 in5.5 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    57°14°–63°17°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    71°22° / 36°2°
    Wind
    7 mph11 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    3
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 47°8°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.6 in15 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 50°10°

      60% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      60% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      50% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 46°8°

      60% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–61°16°
    Low, likely
    44°7°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    71°22° / 36°2°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
    UV peak
    4
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 44°7°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.56 in14 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 48°9°

      60% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 59°15°

      60% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 43°6°

      50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    48°9°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–46°8°
    Typical high / low
    70°21° / 35°2°
    Wind
    7 mph12 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 45°7°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 46°8°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 63°17°

      30% chance

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 51°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    53°12°–74°23°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    70°21° / 35°2°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
    UV peak
    5

The outlook

  1. Today

    39% chance of rain, high 63°, low 45°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 65°, low 42°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 69°, low 45°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 58–70°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tonto Creek near Roosevelt

14 mi
Below flood stage
Level
3.0 ft
Flow
250 cfs

Forecast peak 2.7 ft Sat 6 AM

Reading from Sat 4:15 AM · NWS gauge page

East Verde River near Childs

20 mi
Level
13.2 ft
Flow
331 cfs

Reading from Sat 4:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Fossil Creek near Strawberry

24 mi
Level
4.0 ft
Flow
45 cfs

Reading from Sat 4:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Verde River above Horseshoe Dam

25 mi
Level
12.8 ft
Flow
6,630 cfs

Reading from Sat 4:30 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 65% less heating than a typical week.

This week 26Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
21
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 5 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 10°6° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Forecast high / low
63°17° / 45°7°
Record high
88°31° in 1959
Record low
23°−5° in 1996

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. −6°−3°SunOct 18
  2. ±0°MonOct 19
  3. +2°+1°TueOct 20
  4. +9°+5°WedOct 21
  5. +5°+3°ThuOct 22
  6. −2°−1°FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Round Valley weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 6:38 AM, sunset 5:40 PM.

Daylight
11 h 2 min
Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour
5:05–5:55 PM
Morning 6:22–7:12 AM
Blue hour
5:55–6:05 PM
Morning 6:12–6:22 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Mostly clear 5:33–6:12 AM; moon 96% lit but below the horizon.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today
sets 4:59 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking northeast from Round Valley. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,000 ft, 19 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.