Observed 6:55 AM MST at KPAN

Rye, AZ weather

Partly cloudy and 45°7°, jacket by 8 PM.

Forecasts differ

Now 45°7°

Partly sunny

Wind: Calm; Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 7 PM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; High 12–2 PM · peak 6
Pressure: 30.02 inHg1017 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+0.9 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (46°8° then, 45°7° now)

Good hours for

Dry until 11 AM
Rain today 11 AM–5 PM (30%, 0.18 in4.6 mm)
High 68°20° today at 11 AM
Below 60°16° tonight after 7 PM
Low 49°9° tonight at 4 AM

This morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Rain 11 AM–noon (20%)
This afternoonNear 67°19° · Rain noon–5 PM (30%)
TonightDown to 49°9° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 68°20° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 50°10° by 3 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 7a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 45°7° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	71%	17%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	56°13°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	72%	20%	1
Sat 9a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	61°16°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	60%	22%	2
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	52%	29%	3
Sat 11a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	68°20°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	47%	23%	5
Sat 12p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	68°20°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	49%	58%	6
Sat 1p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	68°20°	20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	47%	48%	6
Sat 2p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 62°17° to 69°21°)	68°20°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	47%	55%	4
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 61°16° to 68°20°)	68°20°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	47%	28%	3
Sat 4p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 59°15° to 69°21°)	68°20°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	47%	46%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 58°14° to 67°19°)	65°18°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	52%	8%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	61°16°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	62%	6%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	58°14° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	58°14°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	69%	3%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	55°13°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	77%	1%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)	53°12°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	3%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	53°12° (likely 47°8° to 55°13°)	53°12°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	52°11° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	52°11° (likely 45°7° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	66%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	56%	0%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	48%	0%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	42%	1%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	40%	6%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	37%	1%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	36%	0%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	36%	0%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	44%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	63°17° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	50%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	62%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	53°12° (likely 48°9° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	24%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	52°11°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	40%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	74%	40%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	71%	44%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	35%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 54°12°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	32%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	71%	27%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	49°9° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)	46°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	74%	21%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 49°9°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°13°
  20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 68°20°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm. Sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. West wind 3 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–69°21°
Low, likely
45°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 70, with temperatures falling to around 68 in the afternoon. South wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 49. North wind 1 to 9 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 74°23°, low 52°11°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74. Southeast wind 0 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52. East wind 1 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
42°6°–52°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 74°23°, low 54°12°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74. South wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. East wind 2 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
42°6°–54°12°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 14 mph22 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 75°24°, low 56°13°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind 2 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 72°22°, low 56°13°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Southeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. East wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–76°24°
Low, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 66°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.3 in7.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  50% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°19°
  50% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  50% chance · 0.14 in3.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  60% chance · 0.2 in5.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. Southeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. East wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–70°21°
Low, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 51°11°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.58 in15 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  60% chance · 0.17 in4.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  50% chance · 0.17 in4.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 53°11°
  60% chance · 0.05 in1.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–68°20°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.5 in13 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  60% chance · 0.21 in5.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  60% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  50% chance · 0.1 in2.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–75°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 49°9°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–80°27°
Low, likely
42°6°–57°14°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 68°, low 49°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 70°, low 49°.
Monday
Dry, high 74°, low 52°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 62–75°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tonto Creek near Roosevelt

8.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.0 ft
Flow: 241 cfs

Forecast peak 2.7 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 5:15 AM · NWS gauge page

East Verde River near Childs

20 mi

Level: 13.2 ft
Flow: 323 cfs

Reading from Sat 5:30 AM · NWS gauge page

Verde River above Horseshoe Dam

21 mi

Level: 12.5 ft
Flow: 5,920 cfs

Reading from Sat 6:10 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 79% less heating than a typical week.

This week 16Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 9:00 AM–10:00 AM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Rye weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 9 min less
Golden hour: 5:06–5:56 PM; Morning 6:22–7:12 AM
Blue hour: 5:56–6:06 PM; Morning 6:12–6:22 AM; first light 6:12 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:06 PM–6:13 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:59 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Rye. The highest point on the skyline is about 7,800 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.