Model estimate for 1:00 AM MST (no recent station report)

San Manuel, AZ weather

Clear and 58°14°, jacket by 6 AM.

Mostly agree

Now 58°14°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Up to 6 mph10 km/h through 1 PM
Dew point: 49°9°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; High 12–2 PM · peak 6

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Low 55°13° today at 6 AM
Above 60°16° today by 9 AM
High 72°22° today at 2 PM

TonightNear 57°14° · Clear
This morningUp to 68°20° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 71°22° · Clear
TonightDown to 54°12° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 69°21° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 72°22° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 57°14° by midnight · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 1a	Clear	58°14° (likely 49°9° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	73%	7%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	57°14° (likely 48°9° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	73%	7%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	56°13° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	75%	8%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	56°13° (likely 47°8° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	75%	6%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	56°13° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	73%	8%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	55°13° (likely 46°8° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	74%	7%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 46°8° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	72%	7%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	66%	8%	1
Sat 9a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	59%	9%	2
Sat 10a	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	52%	9%	4
Sat 11a	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	45%	29%	5
Sat 12p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 70°21° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	40%	22%	6
Sat 1p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	71°22°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WSW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	37%	16%	6
Sat 2p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)	72°22°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from WSW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	36%	21%	5
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	35%	20%	4
Sat 4p	Mostly sunny	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	37%	18%	2
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	70°21° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	39%	14%	1
Sat 6p	Mostly clear	67°19° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	43%	9%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	63°17° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	51%	10%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	61°16° (likely 53°12° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	54%	12%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	60°16° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	56%	11%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	58°14° (likely 50°10° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	59%	10%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	57°14° (likely 48°9° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	64%	10%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	57°14° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	63%	15%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	56°13° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	63%	15%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	56°13° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	63%	14%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	55°13° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	65%	16%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	54°12° (likely 46°8° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	64%	13%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	54°12° (likely 45°7° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	62%	18%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 45°7° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	64%	17%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 45°7° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	60%	21%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 50°10° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	56%	20%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	49%	13%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	44%	10%	4
Sun 11a	Sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	39%	17%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	35%	16%	6
Sun 1p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	33%	10%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	31%	13%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	31%	13%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	32%	10%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 67°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	34%	11%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	69°21° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	38%	10%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	66°19° (likely 58°14° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	43%	25%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	63°17° (likely 54°12° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	47%	22%	0
Sun 9p	Mostly clear	61°16° (likely 51°11° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	51%	32%	0
Sun 10p	Mostly clear	59°15° (likely 49°9° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	54%	36%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 48°9° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	56%	32%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly clear	57°14° (likely 43°6° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	57%	25%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 54°12°. Typical 77°25° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 73. Southwest wind 2 to 8 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–74°23°
Low, likely
46°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 46°8°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 53°12°. Typical 77°25° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 74°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75. Northeast wind around 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
71°22°–75°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–55°13°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 46°8°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 79°26°, low 58°14°. Typical 76°24° / 46°8°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 76°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 79.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
76°24°–79°26°
Low, likely
42°6°–58°14°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 46°8°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 80°27°, low 59°15°. Typical 76°24° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 80.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–80°27°
Low, likely
47°8°–60°16°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 45°7°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 81°27°, low 60°16°. Typical 76°24° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
76°24°–81°27°
Low, likely
49°9°–62°17°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 45°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 78°26°, low 60°16°. Typical 75°24° / 44°7°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 78°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 65°18°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers between 11am and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–80°27°
Low, likely
51°11°–62°17°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 44°7°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 72°22°, low 56°13°. Typical 75°24° / 44°7°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 72°22°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 55°13°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 72.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
68°20°–75°24°
Low, likely
52°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 44°7°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Showers. High 69°21°, low 54°12°. Typical 74°23° / 44°7°. Rain 0.34 in8.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 61°16°
  50% chance · 0.2 in5.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Showers, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–73°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 67°19°, low 54°12°. Typical 74°23° / 44°7°. Rain 0.27 in6.9 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 69°20°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  50% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  50% chance · 0.21 in5.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
48°9°–60°16°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 55°13°. Typical 74°23° / 43°6°. Rain 0.41 in10 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 57°14°
  40% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 70°21°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–72°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–59°15°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 43°6°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 73°, low 54°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 75°, low 53°.
Monday
Dry, high 79°, low 58°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 67–81°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TWC) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

San Pedro River near Redington

14 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 6.7 ft

Forecast peak 7.5 ft Sat 1 AM

Reading from Fri 11:15 PM · NWS gauge page

Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.5 ft
Flow: 15 cfs

Forecast peak 0.6 ft Sat 1 AM

Reading from Fri 11:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Sabino Creek near Sabino Dam

23 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.1 ft
Flow: 1 cfs

Forecast peak 1.1 ft Sat 1 AM

Reading from Sat 12:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 72% less heating than a typical week.

This week 9Typical 31

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 49°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 9:00 AM–9:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Oracle State Park · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1893–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SatOct 17
—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

San Manuel weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 6 min; Losing 1 min 53 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 5 min less
Golden hour: 5:05–5:54 PM; Morning 6:18–7:07 AM
Blue hour: 5:54–6:04 PM; Morning 6:08–6:18 AM; first light 6:08 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 1:36–6:08 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 4:55 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

96% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:55 AM · rises 4:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking southwest from San Manuel. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,100 ft, 15 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

San Manuel, AZ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

San Pedro River near Redington

Aravaipa Creek near Mammoth

Sabino Creek near Sabino Dam

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon