Skip to forecast
Search a place

Model estimate for 2:00 PM MST (no recent station report)

Sonoita, AZ weather

Sunny and 69°21°, jacket by 8 PM.

Today: low 44°7° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°), high 70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°).

Forecasts agree

Now 69°21°

Sunny

Wind
15 mph24 km/hgusts 23 mph36 km/h
From the southwest. Easing to 5 mph8 km/h by 8 PM
Dew point
36°2°
Comfortable
UV index
5Moderate
Was high 12–2 PM · peak 6

Next 2 hours

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

Next 48 hours

Good hours for
  • Below 60°16° tonight after 7 PM
  • Low 45°7° tomorrow at 6 AM
  • Above 60°16° tomorrow by 10 AM
  1. This afternoonNear 68°20° · Clear
  2. TonightDown to 46°8° by 3 AM · Clear
  3. Tomorrow morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Clear
  4. Tomorrow afternoonUp to 72°22° by 3 PM · Clear
  5. Tomorrow nightDown to 47°8° by 5 AM · Clear
  6. Monday morningUp to 71°22° by 11 AM · Clear
Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
HourConditionsTemperatureFeels likePrecipitationWindHumidityCloud coverUV index
Sat 2pSunny69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)69°21°0%15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 23 mph36 km/h29%13%5
Sat 3pSunny69°21° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)69°21°0%16 mph26 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h29%14%3
Sat 4pSunny68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)68°20°0%14 mph23 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h31%16%1
Sat 5pSunny66°19° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)66°19°0%12 mph19 km/h from WSW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h30%13%1
Sat 6pClear62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)62°17°0%8 mph13 km/h from WSW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h38%6%0
Sat 7pClear57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)57°14°0%6 mph10 km/h from WSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h49%4%0
Sat 8pClear54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)54°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h53%2%0
Sat 9pClear53°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)53°12°0%3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h58%2%0
Sat 10pClear52°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)52°11°0%2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h61%6%0
Sat 11pClear50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)50°10°0%2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 2 mph4 km/h65%12%0
Sun 12aClear49°9° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)48°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h68%10%0
Sun 1aClear48°9° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)48°9°0%2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h68%6%0
Sun 2aClear47°8° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h70%1%0
Sun 3aClear46°8° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)45°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h73%5%0
Sun 4aClear46°8° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)45°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h73%0%0
Sun 5aClear46°8° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)44°7°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 2 mph4 km/h74%0%0
Sun 6aClear45°7° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)45°7°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h74%0%0
Sun 7aSunny46°8° (likely 42°6° to 52°11°)47°8°0%2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h69%7%0
Sun 8aSunny52°11° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h57%8%1
Sun 9aSunny59°15° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)59°15°0%3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h43%6%2
Sun 10aSunny63°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)63°17°0%3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h37%7%4
Sun 11aSunny65°18° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)65°18°0%3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h34%8%5
Sun 12pSunny68°20° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)68°20°0%3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h30%8%6
Sun 1pSunny70°21° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)70°21°0%3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h27%6%6
Sun 2pMostly sunny71°22° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)71°22°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h25%26%5
Sun 3pMostly sunny72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)72°22°0%5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h24%43%4
Sun 4pMostly sunny70°21° (likely 68°20° to 70°21°)71°22°0%6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h25%46%3
Sun 5pSunny69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)69°21°0%7 mph11 km/h from NNW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h25%14%1
Sun 6pClear65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)65°18°0%7 mph11 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h32%6%0
Sun 7pClear59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)59°15°0%6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h41%2%0
Sun 8pClear56°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)56°13°0%6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h45%2%0
Sun 9pClear54°12° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)54°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h49%4%0
Sun 10pClear53°12° (likely 47°8° to 54°12°)53°12°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h53%5%0
Sun 11pClear52°11° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)52°11°0%3 mph5 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h57%8%0
Mon 12aPartly cloudy50°10° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)50°10°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h58%15%0
Mon 1aPartly cloudy50°10° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)49°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h59%17%0
Mon 2aClear49°9° (likely 44°7° to 53°12°)48°9°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h59%26%0
Mon 3aCloudy48°9° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)47°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h61%67%0
Mon 4aCloudy48°9° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)47°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h60%66%0
Mon 5aPartly cloudy47°8° (likely 43°6° to 51°11°)46°8°0%3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h61%55%0
Mon 6aPartly cloudy46°8° (likely 42°6° to 51°11°)44°7°0%5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h63%47%0
Mon 7aSunny49°9° (likely 42°6° to 53°12°)46°8°0%6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h58%43%0
Mon 8aPartly sunny54°12° (likely 48°9° to 57°14°)54°12°0%6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h49%26%1
Mon 9aSunny60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)60°16°0%6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h41%6%2
Mon 10aSunny66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)66°19°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h34%2%4
Mon 11aSunny71°22° (likely 68°20° to 71°22°)71°22°0%6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h28%2%5
Mon 12pMostly sunny74°23° (likely 69°21° to 74°23°)75°24°0%6 mph10 km/h from SSE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h24%8%6
Mon 1pMostly sunny76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)76°24°0%6 mph10 km/h from SSW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h22%5%6

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
  1. Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 44°7°. Typical 76°24° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 69°21°

      Dry

    2. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    3. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 46°8°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Today: Sunny. High near 70, with temperatures falling to around 66 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 12 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. Southeast wind 2 to 8 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    67°19°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    43°6°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    76°24° / 42°6°
    Wind
    16 mph26 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  2. Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 76°24° / 41°5°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 52°11°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Mostly sunny, 72°22°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 56°13°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 47°8°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 72. South southwest wind 2 to 7 mph.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. East northeast wind 3 to 7 mph.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    69°21°–72°22°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–50°10°
    Typical high / low
    76°24° / 41°5°
    Wind
    10 mph16 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  3. Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 49°9°. Typical 76°24° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 54°12°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 76°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 57°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 51°11°

      Dry

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 77. South wind around 6 mph.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    72°22°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–51°11°
    Typical high / low
    76°24° / 41°5°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  4. Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 78°26°, low 50°10°. Typical 75°24° / 41°5°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Sunny, 57°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 75°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 53°11°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Sunny, with a high near 78.

    Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    73°23°–78°26°
    Low, likely
    46°8°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    75°24° / 41°5°
    Wind
    9 mph15 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  5. Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 52°11°. Typical 75°24° / 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 74°24°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Clear, 54°12°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.

    Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    73°23°–78°26°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–56°13°
    Typical high / low
    75°24° / 40°4°
    Wind
    11 mph17 km/h, gusts 18 mph28 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  6. Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 77°25°, low 53°12°. Typical 75°24° / 40°4°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 58°14°

      Dry

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 74°23°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Cloudy, 60°16°

      Dry

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 56°13°

      20% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 77.

    Night: A chance of rain showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.

    High, likely
    73°23°–77°25°
    Low, likely
    49°9°–57°14°
    Typical high / low
    75°24° / 40°4°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  7. Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 70°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 74°23° / 40°4°. Rain 0.24 in6.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Cloudy, 58°15°

      40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Drizzle, 66°19°

      40% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Drizzle, 54°12°

      40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Drizzle, 51°11°

      30% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    Official NWS forecast

    Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    62°17°–70°21°
    Low, likely
    50°10°–55°13°
    Typical high / low
    74°23° / 40°4°
    Wind
    23 mph37 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
    UV peak
    2
  8. Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 62°17°, low 51°11°. Typical 74°23° / 39°4°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Drizzle, 53°12°

      30% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Cloudy, 62°17°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Partly cloudy, 56°13°

      40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 52°11°

      40% chance

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.

    High, likely
    59°15°–64°18°
    Low, likely
    48°9°–54°12°
    Typical high / low
    74°23° / 39°4°
    Wind
    13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
    UV peak
    6
  9. Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 49°9°. Typical 74°23° / 39°4°. Rain 0.28 in7.1 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Partly sunny, 53°12°

      40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Partly sunny, 63°17°

      40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 53°11°

      40% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm

    4. Overnight

      midnight–6 AM

      Cloudy, 49°9°

      30% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    54°12°–69°21°
    Low, likely
    42°6°–53°12°
    Typical high / low
    74°23° / 39°4°
    Wind
    12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
    UV peak
    5
  10. Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 48°9°. Typical 73°23° / 39°4°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
    1. Morning

      6 AM–noon

      Mostly sunny, 54°12°

      20% chance

    2. Afternoon

      noon–6 PM

      Sunny, 70°21°

      Dry

    3. Evening

      6 PM–midnight

      Clear, 58°14°

      Dry

    Hours this far out come from computer models only.

    The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.

    Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.

    High, likely
    62°17°–78°26°
    Low, likely
    39°4°–57°14°
    Typical high / low
    73°23° / 39°4°
    Wind
    8 mph12 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
    UV peak
    6

The outlook

  1. Today

    Dry, high 70°, low 44°.

  2. Tomorrow

    Dry, high 72°, low 45°.

  3. Monday

    Dry, high 77°, low 49°, warming up.

  4. Rest of week

    Highs 62–78°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TWC) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Babocomari River near Huachuca City

13 mi
Below flood stage
Level
4.5 ft

Forecast peak 6.0 ft Sat 4 AM

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

Cienega Creek near Sonoita

14 mi
Below flood stage
Level
0.3 ft
Flow
1 cfs

Forecast peak 0.1 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 1 PM · NWS gauge page

Santa Cruz River near Tubac

24 mi
Below flood stage
Level
20.8 ft
Flow
3 cfs

Forecast peak 21.5 ft Sat 5 AM

Reading from Sat 12:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Babocomari River near Tombstone

24 mi
Below flood stage
Level
0.4 ft
Flow
under 1 cfs

Forecast peak 0.1 ft Sat 2 PM

Reading from Sat 1:15 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 63% less heating than a typical week.

This week 18Typical 49

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F
8
h below 17°F
0
h below 5°F
0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 36°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 3:00 PM–6:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

Elgin 5 S · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2002–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.

Normal high / low
76°24° / 42°6°
Forecast high / low
70°21° / 44°7°
Record high
89°32° in 2024
Record low
31°−1° in 2022

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

  1. +4°+2°SunOct 18
  2. —MonOct 19
  3. —TueOct 20
  4. —WedOct 21
  5. —ThuOct 22
  6. —FriOct 23
  7. —SatOct 24

Sonoita weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Sunrise 6:32 AM, sunset 5:40 PM.

Daylight
11 h 8 min
Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 3 min less
Golden hour
5:07–5:55 PM
Morning 6:17–7:05 AM
Blue hour
5:55–6:05 PM
Morning 6:07–6:17 AM; first light 6:07 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:05 PM–6:08 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today
sets 4:55 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon
Oct 25
New moon
Nov 9
Looking west from Sonoita. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,200 ft, 12 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.