Observed 1:50 PM MDT at KRQE

St. Michaels, AZ weather

Mostly sunny and 54°12°, jacket by 7 PM.

Mostly agree

Now 54°12°

Mostly sunny

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the south. Gusts to 25 mph40 km/h around 3 PM
Dew point: 46°8°; Comfortable · down to 38°3° by 3 PM
UV index: 5Moderate; Was high 1–2 PM · peak 6

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

7°4° cooler than this time yesterday (61°16° then, 54°12° now)

Good hours for

Rain until 6 PM (30%, 0.12 in3 mm)
Gusts to 25 mph40 km/h until 3 PM
Below 50°10° tonight after 8 PM
Fog tomorrow 6–9 AM
Below freezing tomorrow night 5–9 AM (low 29°−2°)

This afternoonNear 58°14° · Rain all afternoon (30%) · gusts to 25 mph40 km/h
TonightDown to 36°2° by 5 AM · rain chance 20% · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow morningUp to 47°8° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 56°13° by 5 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 31°−1° by 5 AM · freezing, low 31°−1° · Clear
Monday morningUp to 48°9° by 11 AM · freezing, low 29°−2° · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 2p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	49%	25%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	58°14°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	47%	27%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph37 km/h	44%	16%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm	13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	45%	10%	1
Sat 6p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	20%	12 mph19 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	47%	9%	1
Sat 7p	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	56%	43%	0
Sat 8p	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 48°9°)	45°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	71%	35%	0
Sat 9p	Partly cloudy	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	45°7°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	73%	50%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	45°7° (likely 40°4° to 47°8°)	44°7°	20%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	73%	28%	0
Sat 11p	Showers	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	43°6°	20%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	82%	69%	0
Sun 12a	Partly cloudy	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	42°6°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	86%	57%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	92%	44%	0
Sun 2a	Partly cloudy	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 42°6°)	39°4°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	92%	46%	0
Sun 3a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	80%	0
Sun 4a	Cloudy	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	37°3°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	82%	0
Sun 5a	Cloudy	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	36°2°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	78%	0
Sun 6a	Fog	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	100%	39%	0
Sun 7a	Fog	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°)	33°1°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	36%	0
Sun 8a	Fog	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	37%	0
Sun 9a	Cloudy	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	38°3°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	71%	1
Sun 10a	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	79%	2
Sun 11a	Cloudy	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 50°10°)	45°7°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	68%	74%	4
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	46°8°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	58%	54%	5
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	50%	45%	5
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	45%	21%	5
Sun 3p	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	43%	16%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	5%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	38%	7%	3
Sun 5p	Sunny	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	5%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	35%	2%	2
Sun 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	38%	2%	1
Sun 7p	Clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	46%	1%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	47°8° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	60%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 34°1° to 40°4°)	39°4°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	76%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	37°3° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	37°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	82%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	36°2° (likely 32°0° to 37°3°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	85%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	35°2° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 31°−1° to 36°2°)	35°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	33°1° (likely 31°−1° to 37°3°)	33°1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	92%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	4%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	31°−1° (likely 31°−1° to 38°3°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	100%	25%	0
Mon 7a	Clear	29°−2° (likely 29°−2° to 42°6°)	29°−2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	31°−1° (likely 28°−2° to 42°6°)	31°−1°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	0%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	92%	0%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°)	42°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	73%	2%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	54%	2%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	43%	2%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	35%	11%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 33°1°. Typical 65°18° / 28°−2°. Rain 0.03 in0.8 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 60, with temperatures falling to around 56 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 12 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then patchy fog. Partly cloudy. Low around 33, with temperatures rising to around 35 overnight. Southwest wind 1 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–60°16°
Low, likely
33°1°–43°6°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 28°−2°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Fog. High 57°14°, low 28°−2°. Typical 65°18° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°−1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 9am. Mostly sunny. High near 57, with temperatures falling to around 54 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 1 to 8 mph.
Night: Patchy fog after 4am. Mostly clear, with a low around 28. West wind 1 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–57°14°
Low, likely
28°−2°–37°3°
Typical high / low
65°18° / 27°−3°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 32°0°. Typical 64°18° / 27°−3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 31°−1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 61. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Southeast wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
29°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 27°−3°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 63°17°, low 34°1°. Typical 64°18° / 27°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 62°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. Southwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–63°17°
Low, likely
31°−1°–40°4°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 27°−3°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly sunny. High 64°18°, low 37°3°. Typical 64°18° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 41°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 64. Southwest wind 0 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 37. South wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
59°15°–64°18°
Low, likely
34°1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
64°18° / 26°−3°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 39°4°. Typical 63°17° / 26°−3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 42°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64. South wind 0 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. South wind 0 to 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
37°3°–44°7°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 26°−3°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 57°14°, low 37°3°. Typical 63°17° / 26°−3°. Rain 0.13 in3.3 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 45°7°
  40% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 57. South wind 1 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–59°15°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
63°17° / 26°−3°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 41°5°. Typical 62°17° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 42°6°
  40% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 45°7°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
48°9°–51°11°
Low, likely
39°4°–42°6°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 25°−4°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 47°8°, low 35°2°. Typical 62°17° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  50% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 48°9°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 41°5°
  50% chance · 0.09 in2.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 35°2°
  40% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–55°13°
Low, likely
23°−5°–41°5°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 25°−4°
Wind
17 mph28 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 52°11°, low 34°1°. Typical 62°17° / 25°−4°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
46°8°–65°18°
Low, likely
21°−6°–45°7°
Typical high / low
62°17° / 25°−4°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 39 mph63 km/h
UV peak
5

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 60°, low 33°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 57°, low 28°, cooling off.
Monday
Dry, high 61°, low 32°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 47–64°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

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Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 42Typical 138

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 31
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 20 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 46°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Window Rock Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1998–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 6°4° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+3°+2°SunOct 18
+3°+2°MonOct 19
+6°+3°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+10°+6°ThuOct 22
+8°+4°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

St. Michaels weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 59 min; Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 14 min less
Golden hour: 5:54–6:45 PM; Morning 7:15–8:06 AM
Blue hour: 6:45–6:55 PM; Morning 7:05–7:15 AM; first light 7:05 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 50% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:51 AM · rises 5:27 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northwest from St. Michaels. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,200 ft, 29 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.