Observed 2:40 PM MST at KFLG

Timberline-Fernwood, AZ weather

Mostly cloudy and 54°12°.

Mostly agree

Now 54°12°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 8 mph13 km/h; From the south-southwest. Up to 8 mph13 km/h through 3 AM
Dew point: 28°−2°; Dry, static shocks likely
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 44Good; Main pollutant: Ozone
Pressure: 30.08 inHg1019 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Rain until 5 PM (30%)
Low 32°0° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 40°4° tomorrow by 9 AM
Below freezing tomorrow night 5–7 AM (low 30°−1°)

This afternoonNear 50°10° · Rain 3–5 PM (30%)
TonightDown to 34°1° by 5 AM · rain chance 20% · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 49°9° by 11 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 52°11° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 32°0° by 5 AM · freezing, low 32°0° · Clear
Monday morningUp to 51°11° by 11 AM · freezing, low 30°−1° · Partly cloudy
Monday afternoonUp to 58°14° by 2 PM · Partly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 52°11°)	51°11°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	54%	76%	4
Sat 4p	Snow	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	30%, 0.01 in0.3 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	54%	95%	2
Sat 5p	Rain	49°9° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°)	47°8°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	56%	73%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	44°7°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	65%	78%	0
Sat 7p	Cloudy	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	41°5°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	70%	73%	0
Sat 8p	Partly cloudy	43°6° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	40°4°	20%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	73%	67%	0
Sat 9p	Showers	41°5° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	41°5°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	79%	46%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	40°4° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	40°4°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	12%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	38°3° (likely 35°2° to 38°3°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	38°3° (likely 34°1° to 38°3°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	82%	9%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	85%	4%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	89%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	35°2° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	3%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	34°1° (likely 33°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 36°2°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 37°3°)	34°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 40°4°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	92%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 46°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	73%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	68%	15%	3
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	49°9° (likely 48°9° to 51°11°)	48°9°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	28%	4
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	51°11°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	54%	32%	5
Sun 1p	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	51°11°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	54%	73%	5
Sun 2p	Partly sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 53°12°)	53°12°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	50%	58%	3
Sun 3p	Mostly sunny	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	53°12°	5%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	50%	45%	2
Sun 4p	Mostly cloudy	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	60%	2
Sun 5p	Mostly cloudy	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	52%	1
Sun 6p	Mostly cloudy	49°9° (likely 43°6° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	50%	0
Sun 7p	Mostly clear	47°8° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	63%	26%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	43°6° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	43°6°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	73%	4%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	40°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	40°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	79%	0%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 40°4°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	82%	0%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°)	36°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	85%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 40°4°)	35°2°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	89%	9%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 40°4°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	42%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	32°0° (likely 32°0° to 39°4°)	32°0°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	96%	44%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	30°−1° (likely 30°−1° to 38°3°)	30°−1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	46%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly sunny	33°1° (likely 33°1° to 39°4°)	33°1°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	96%	49%	0
Mon 8a	Partly sunny	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	36°2°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	36%	1
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	73%	60%	2
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from E, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	63%	60%	3
Mon 11a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	52%	70%	4
Mon 12p	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	47%	47%	5
Mon 1p	Mostly sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	40%	33%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	58°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	39%	27%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Snow. High 54°12°, low 31°−1°. Typical 61°16° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Snow, 51°11°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 43°6°
  20% chance
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 34°1°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. High near 54, with temperatures falling to around 49 in the afternoon. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy. Low around 31, with temperatures rising to around 34 overnight. West wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
53°12°–55°13°
Low, likely
31°−1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
61°16° / 29°−2°
Wind
15 mph23 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 29°−2°. Typical 60°16° / 29°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 55, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. South wind around 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 29. Southwest wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Low, likely
29°−2°–36°2°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 29°−2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 59°15°, low 34°1°. Typical 60°16° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 59. Southeast wind 2 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. South wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
34°1°–37°3°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 28°−2°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 61°16°, low 36°2°. Typical 60°16° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 40°5°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 36. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–40°4°
Typical high / low
60°16° / 28°−2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 61°16°, low 38°3°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Dry. Mostly agree. Best day outdoors this week.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 3 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 38. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
Best day outdoors this week: the one dry, mild day the forecasts agree on (high 61°16°).
High, likely
58°14°–63°17°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 28°−2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 60°16°, low 40°4°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 60. South wind 3 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Night: A chance of rain showers after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Southwest wind 3 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
55°13°–61°16°
Low, likely
40°4°–44°7°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 28°−2°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 33 mph53 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 54°12°, low 37°3°. Typical 59°15° / 28°−2°. Storms 0.22 in5.6 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  20% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  40% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 43°6°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 42°6°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 54. Southwest wind 7 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Southwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
59°15° / 28°−2°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h, gusts 36 mph58 km/h
UV peak
2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 48°9°, low 41°5°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 44°7°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 43°6°
  40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–53°12°
Low, likely
37°3°–43°6°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 27°−3°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 48°9°, low 34°1°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.33 in8.4 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 38°3°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 49°9°
  50% chance · 0.13 in3.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 39°4°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 36°2°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–57°14°
Low, likely
25°−4°–40°4°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 27°−3°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 50°10°, low 34°1°. Typical 58°14° / 27°−3°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 41°5°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 51°11°
  20% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
42°6°–56°13°
Low, likely
27°−3°–46°8°
Typical high / low
58°14° / 27°−3°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
1

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
34% chance of snow, high 54°, low 31°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 55°, low 29°.
Monday
Dry, high 59°, low 34°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 48–61°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 70% less heating than a typical week.

This week 44Typical 147

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 33
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 28°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Flagstaff Airport · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1898–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 7°4° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 3°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+2°+1°SunOct 18
+3°+1°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+8°+4°WedOct 21
+6°+3°ThuOct 22
−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Timberline-Fernwood weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 59 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 13 min less
Golden hour: 5:04–5:55 PM; Morning 6:24–7:15 AM
Blue hour: 5:55–6:05 PM; Morning 6:14–6:24 AM; first light 6:14 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 10 PM–6:15 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

98% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:01 AM · rises 4:38 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking west from Timberline-Fernwood. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,800 ft, 6 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.