Observed 11:15 AM MST at KPAN

Tonto Village, AZ weather

Overcast and 59°15°, 15°8° colder than a typical Oct 24, rain ~2–4 PM (43%).

Forecasts agree

Now 59°15°

Cloudy

Wind: 5 mph8 km/h; Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 1 PM
Pressure: 30.06 inHg1018 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (59°15° then, 59°15° now)

Good hours for

Rain until 5 PM (40%, 0.1 in2.5 mm)
Below 50°10° tonight after 6 PM
Low 37°3° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 9 AM

This afternoonDown to 52°11° by 5 PM · Rain noon–5 PM (40%)
TonightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 58°14° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	59%	77%	4
Sat 1p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	9 mph14 km/h from S, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	62%	79%	2
Sat 2p	Sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	64%	38%	2
Sat 3p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	69%	82%	2
Sat 4p	Cloudy	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	54°12°	40%, 0.02 in0.5 mm	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	69%	82%	1
Sat 5p	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	5%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	74%	64%	1
Sat 6p	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	86%	75%	0
Sat 7p	Mostly clear	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	45°7°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	96%	21%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	44°7° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	42°6°	5%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	96%	3%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	43°6°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	42°6°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	42°6° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	96%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	41°5° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	41°5° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	41°5°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	93%	0%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	39°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	0%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°)	38°3°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	37°3°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	100%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 45°7°)	42°6°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	96%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	66%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	54%	1%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	51%	11%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	47%	15%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	45%	13%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	44%	1%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	59°15° (likely 57°14° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	47%	6%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	46%	9%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	51%	7%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	59%	2%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	41°5°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	86%	0%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	43°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	39°4°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	86%	4%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	86%	40%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	42°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	82%	50%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	37°3°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	82%	42%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	35°2°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	85%	36%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 45°7°)	34°1°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	92%	34%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°)	36°2°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	85%	10%	0
Mon 7a	Mostly sunny	42°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	38°3°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	82%	8%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	44°7° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	40°4°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	76%	10%	1
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	58%	13%	2
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	43%	28%	3
Mon 11a	Mostly sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	34%	45%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 35°2°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Rain 0.06 in1.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  40% chance · 0.1 in2.5 mm
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5pm. Partly sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 52 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight: Patchy fog after 1am. Mostly clear. Low around 35, with temperatures rising to around 38 overnight. Southwest wind around 3 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
35°2°–43°6°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
4
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 61°16°, low 37°3°. Typical 73°23° / 38°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 42°6°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Patchy fog before 7am. Sunny. High near 61, with temperatures falling to around 58 in the afternoon. South wind 1 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. Northeast wind 2 to 7 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
57°14°–61°16°
Low, likely
37°3°–41°5°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 38°3°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 40°4°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 44°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 0 to 7 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 40. East wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
38°3°–45°7°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 41°5°. Typical 72°22° / 37°3°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41. East wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 37°3°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 49°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. Southeast wind 1 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 64°18°, low 45°7°. Typical 72°22° / 36°2°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  40% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. Southeast wind 2 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
45°7°–48°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 56°13°, low 43°6°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Storms 0.54 in14 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  50% chance · 0.11 in2.9 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Showers, 54°12°
  60% chance · 0.24 in6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  60% chance · 0.13 in3.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 45°7°
  60% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. South wind 3 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
51°11°–58°14°
Low, likely
43°6°–47°8°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 53 mph85 km/h
UV peak
1
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 50°10°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 36°2°. Rain 0.62 in16 mm, 70% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 47°8°
  60% chance · 0.14 in3.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  60% chance · 0.16 in4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 46°8°
  60% chance · 0.09 in2.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 42°5°
  60% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
49°9°–51°11°
Low, likely
43°6°–45°7°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 36°2°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 22 mph35 km/h
UV peak
2
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 53°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.47 in12 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 43°6°
  60% chance · 0.19 in4.7 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 53°12°
  60% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  50% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
45°7°–63°17°
Low, likely
34°1°–45°7°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 41°5°. Typical 70°21° / 35°2°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 59°15°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
50°10°–67°19°
Low, likely
36°2°–50°10°
Typical high / low
70°21° / 35°2°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 58°, low 35°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 61°, low 37°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 66°, low 40°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 50–66°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Monday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 53% less heating than a typical week.

This week 35Typical 74

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 27
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 18 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Payson · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1940–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 15°8° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−6°−3°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
+2°+1°TueOct 20
+9°+5°WedOct 21
+5°+3°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Tonto Village weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 2 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
Golden hour: 5:04–5:55 PM; Morning 6:21–7:12 AM
Blue hour: 5:55–6:04 PM; Morning 6:11–6:21 AM; first light 6:11 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 7 PM–6:12 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:58 AM · rises 4:37 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking north from Tonto Village. The highest point on the skyline is about 8,000 ft, 4 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.