Observed 12:00 PM MST at KOLS

Tumacacori-Carmen, AZ weather

Sunny and 72°22°.

Mostly agree

Now 72°22°

Sunny

Wind: 15 mph24 km/h; From the southwest. Easing to 5 mph8 km/h by 8 PM
Dew point: 39°4°; Comfortable
UV index: 6High; High until 2 PM
Air quality: 20Good; PM2.5 (fine particles) · tomorrow moderate
Pressure: 30.01 inHg1016 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.03 inHg−0.8 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 75°24° today at 1 PM
Low 48°9° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 9 AM

This afternoonNear 74°23° · Clear
TonightDown to 50°10° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 76°24° · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 50°10° by 5 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 77°25° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	74°23°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from SSW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	37%	7%	6
Sat 1p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from SSW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	36%	11%	6
Sat 2p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	14 mph23 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	35%	11%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 71°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	34%	12%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 70°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from SSW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	37%	11%	1
Sat 5p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	34%	13%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	38%	11%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WSW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	42%	19%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	48%	25%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	51%	32%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	55%	32%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	58°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	29%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	63%	5%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	64%	6%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	65%	7%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	70%	6%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	71%	7%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	48°9° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 51°11°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	64%	1%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sun 11a	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	37%	1%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	32%	0%	6
Sun 1p	Sunny	76°24° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	29%	21%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	27%	40%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	77°25° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	26%	41%	4
Sun 4p	Mostly sunny	76°24° (likely 74°23° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	28%	45%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	76°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	76°24°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	27%	45%	1
Sun 6p	Partly cloudy	72°22° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from E, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	30%	43%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	67°19° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°)	67°19°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from SSE, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	35%	2%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	64°18° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	39%	2%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 55°13° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from S, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	43%	5%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	59°15° (likely 52°11° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	49%	7%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	58°14° (likely 50°10° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ENE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	52%	29%	0
Mon 12a	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 47°8° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	56%	20%	0
Mon 1a	Partly cloudy	54°12° (likely 46°8° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	58%	37%	0
Mon 2a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 45°7° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	58%	63%	0
Mon 3a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 44°7° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	61%	64%	0
Mon 4a	Cloudy	51°11° (likely 43°6° to 54°12°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	62%	67%	0
Mon 5a	Partly cloudy	50°10° (likely 43°6° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	63%	57%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	48°9° (likely 38°3° to 54°12°)	46°8°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	67%	33%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 38°3° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	63%	28%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 43°6° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	55%	4%	1
Mon 9a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 52°11° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	45%	2%	2
Mon 10a	Sunny	71°22° (likely 63°17° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	35%	15%	4
Mon 11a	Sunny	77°25° (likely 71°22° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	29%	2%	5

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 76°24°, low 47°8°. Typical 79°26° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 76. Southwest wind 9 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. South southwest wind 1 to 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–76°24°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 45°7°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph39 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 78°26°, low 47°8°. Typical 79°26° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 78. South southwest wind 1 to 6 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. East southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
74°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 45°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 82°28°, low 52°11°. Typical 78°26° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 56°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 82. South wind around 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–82°28°
Low, likely
43°6°–52°11°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 44°7°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 83°28°, low 54°12°. Typical 78°26° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 83.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
79°26°–83°28°
Low, likely
45°7°–56°13°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 44°7°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h
UV peak
6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 83°28°, low 56°13°. Typical 78°26° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 83.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
78°26°–83°28°
Low, likely
46°8°–57°14°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 44°7°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 82°28°, low 57°14°. Typical 78°26° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 81°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  30% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 82.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–82°28°
Low, likely
48°9°–58°14°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 44°7°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 75°24°, low 54°12°. Typical 77°25° / 43°6°. Storms 0.28 in7.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 62°17°
  40% chance · 0.12 in3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°22°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 61°16°
  30% chance · 0.04 in1.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
66°19°–75°24°
Low, likely
54°12°–59°15°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 43°6°
Wind
24 mph39 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
UV peak
3
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 55°13°. Typical 77°25° / 43°6°. Rain 0.15 in3.8 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 58°15°
  30% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 62°16°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 56°13°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
53°12°–58°14°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 43°6°
Wind
14 mph23 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 68°20°, low 53°12°. Typical 77°25° / 43°6°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 69°21°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  40% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°11°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–75°24°
Low, likely
43°6°–58°14°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 43°6°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 74°23°, low 52°11°. Typical 76°24° / 42°6°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
67°19°–82°28°
Low, likely
38°3°–63°17°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 42°6°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
6

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 76°, low 47°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 78°, low 47°.
Monday
Dry, high 82°, low 52°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 68–83°; chance of precipitation on Friday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TWC) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Santa Cruz River near Tubac

2.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 20.9 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Forecast peak 21.5 ft Sat 5 AM

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Santa Cruz River near Nogales

20 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.3 ft
Flow: 81 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 3 AM

Reading from Sat 11 AM · NWS gauge page

Santa Cruz River at Green Valley

21 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.1 ft

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 12 PM

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 57% less heating than a typical week.

This week 12Typical 27

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–9:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Tumacacori Nm · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1946–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Tumacacori-Carmen weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 8 min; Losing 1 min 43 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 3 min less
Golden hour: 5:08–5:57 PM; Morning 6:18–7:07 AM
Blue hour: 5:57–6:07 PM; Morning 6:09–6:18 AM; first light 6:09 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 12–6:09 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:56 AM · rises 4:39 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Tumacacori-Carmen. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,200 ft, 15 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Tumacacori-Carmen, AZ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Santa Cruz River near Tubac

Santa Cruz River near Nogales

Santa Cruz River at Green Valley

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon