Carrizo Creek near Show Low
23 mi- Level
- 2.3 ft
- Flow
- 126 cfs
Forecast peak 2.2 ft Sat 12 PM
Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Observed 10:15 AM MST at KJTC
Turkey Creek, AZ weather
Sunny and 59°15°, jacket by 7 PM.
Today: low 37°3° (likely 37°3° to 49°9°), high 67°19° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°).
Now 59°15°
Sunny
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h
- From the south. Easing to 6 mph10 km/h by 6 PM
- Dew point
- 39°4°
- Comfortable
- UV index
- 6High
- High 12–2 PM
- Pressure
- 30.1 inHg1019 hPa
- Falling slowly · −0.04 inHg−1.2 hPa in 3 h
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
This afternoonNear 64°18° · rain chance 10% · Clear
TonightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 63°17° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 65°18° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 40°4° by 5 AM · Clear
Monday morningUp to 61°16° by 10 AM · Clear
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 11a | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 10% | 13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 22 mph36 km/h | 40% | 21% | 5 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 10% | 13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 24 mph38 km/h | 40% | 18% | 6 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 10% | 14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph37 km/h | 37% | 30% | 6 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 66°19° | 10% | 14 mph23 km/h from S, gusts 23 mph38 km/h | 34% | 17% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 10% | 13 mph21 km/h from SW, gusts 23 mph36 km/h | 37% | 12% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 63°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 10% | 12 mph19 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h | 39% | 13% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Sunny | 64°18° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 5% | 8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h | 38% | 7% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Mostly clear | 59°15° (likely 51°11° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 5% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 47% | 17% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Clear | 55°13° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 5% | 2 mph3 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 57% | 9% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 5% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 66% | 7% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Mostly clear | 50°10° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°) | 50°10° | 5% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 71% | 19% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°) | 49°9° | 5% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 71% | 6% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°) | 47°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 76% | 6% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 40°4° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 79% | 7% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 39°4° to 48°9°) | 45°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 82% | 8% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 44°7° (likely 39°4° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 86% | 11% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 43°6° (likely 38°3° to 46°8°) | 43°6° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 86% | 7% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 41°5° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°) | 41°5° | 0% | 1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 93% | 6% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 40°4° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 92% | 9% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Mostly clear | 39°4° (likely 37°3° to 46°8°) | 39°4° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 96% | 37% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Mostly sunny | 38°3° (likely 37°3° to 47°8°) | 38°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 29% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 42°6° (likely 42°6° to 49°9°) | 42°6° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 86% | 14% | 1 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 52°11° to 54°12°) | 52°11° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 54% | 11% | 2 |
| Sun 10a | Mostly sunny | 58°14° (likely 56°13° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 40% | 21% | 4 |
| Sun 11a | Mostly sunny | 63°17° (likely 57°14° to 63°17°) | 63°17° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 34% | 27% | 5 |
| Sun 12p | Mostly sunny | 64°18° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°) | 64°18° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 34% | 24% | 6 |
| Sun 1p | Mostly sunny | 65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h | 31% | 23% | 6 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 67°19° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°) | 67°19° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 29% | 20% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°) | 66°19° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h | 29% | 8% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph14 km/h | 30% | 3% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 65°18° (likely 57°14° to 65°18°) | 65°18° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 31% | 1% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 60°16° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°) | 60°16° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 36% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 56°13° (likely 47°8° to 56°13°) | 56°13° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 43% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 52°11° (likely 43°6° to 52°11°) | 52°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 54% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°) | 49°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 56% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 49°9° (likely 39°4° to 49°9°) | 48°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 56% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 47°8° (likely 37°3° to 48°9°) | 46°8° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 63% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 46°8° (likely 36°2° to 47°8°) | 44°7° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 68% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 45°7° (likely 36°2° to 46°8°) | 44°7° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 68% | 40% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Mostly clear | 44°7° (likely 35°2° to 45°7°) | 42°6° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 68% | 44% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Mostly clear | 42°6° (likely 34°1° to 45°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 70% | 39% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Mostly clear | 41°5° (likely 33°1° to 45°7°) | 39°4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 65% | 32% | 0 |
| Mon 5a | Mostly clear | 40°4° (likely 33°1° to 44°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 62% | 28% | 0 |
| Mon 6a | Mostly clear | 39°4° (likely 31°−1° to 43°6°) | 37°3° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 64% | 3% | 0 |
| Mon 7a | Sunny | 40°4° (likely 31°−1° to 44°7°) | 38°3° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 62% | 3% | 0 |
| Mon 8a | Sunny | 44°7° (likely 38°3° to 52°11°) | 41°5° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h | 55% | 3% | 1 |
| Mon 9a | Sunny | 52°11° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°) | 52°11° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 41% | 7% | 2 |
| Mon 10a | Mostly sunny | 61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°) | 61°16° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 30% | 8% | 4 |
Days ahead
Tap a day for its hours and the official wording.
Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 67°19°, low 37°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 66°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Mostly clear, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 40°4°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5pm. Sunny. High near 67, with temperatures falling to around 64 in the afternoon. South wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 37, with temperatures rising to around 40 overnight. Southeast wind 1 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 37°3°–49°9°
- Wind
- 16 mph26 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 68°20°, low 38°3°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 42°6°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 67°19°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 52°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 40°4°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 68, with temperatures falling to around 65 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 38. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–68°20°
- Low, likely
- 36°2°–46°8°
- Wind
- 8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 40°4°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 44°7°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 68°20°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 48°9°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 42°5°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 40. Southeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–73°23°
- Low, likely
- 32°0°–41°5°
- Wind
- 8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph24 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 73°23°, low 42°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 70°21°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 49°9°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 44°7°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73. South wind 2 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. Southeast wind around 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 67°19°–73°23°
- Low, likely
- 37°3°–45°7°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 74°23°, low 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 51°11°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 71°21°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 50°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 48°9°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Southeast wind 2 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Southeast wind 3 to 8 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 68°20°–74°23°
- Low, likely
- 42°6°–46°8°
- Wind
- 10 mph17 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 73°23°, low 47°8°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 54°12°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 70°21°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 51°10°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 49°9°30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. Southeast wind 3 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 5am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 66°19°–73°23°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–49°9°
- Wind
- 12 mph20 km/h, gusts 30 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Friday, Oct 30. Thunderstorms. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Storms 0.44 in11 mm, 80% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 55°13°50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Showers, 60°16°60% chance · 0.18 in4.6 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Showers, 51°10°70% chance · 0.16 in4.1 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 48°9°60% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. South wind 5 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 55°13°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 45°7°–49°9°
- Wind
- 12 mph19 km/h, gusts 32 mph51 km/h
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 55°13°, low 47°8°. Rain 0.35 in8.9 mm, 60% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 51°10°50% chance · 0.08 in2 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 56°14°50% chance · 0.04 in1 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 49°10°50% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 48°9°60% chance · 0.04 in0.9 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 52°11°–58°14°
- Low, likely
- 44°7°–49°9°
- Wind
- 9 mph14 km/h, gusts 29 mph46 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 41°5°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 50°10°60% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Partly sunny, 57°14°60% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 45°7°50% chance · 0.19 in4.7 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 42°6°40% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 51°11°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 27°−3°–47°8°
- Wind
- 11 mph18 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 40°4°. Rain 0.16 in4.1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 48°9°40% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Mostly sunny, 63°17°30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 49°10°20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 54°12°–73°23°
- Low, likely
- 27°−3°–52°11°
- Wind
- 11 mph17 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 67°, low 37°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 68°, low 38°.
Monday
Dry, high 73°, low 40°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 55–74°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
E Fork White River near Fort Apache
7.7 mi- Level
- 1.7 ft
- Flow
- 144 cfs
Reading from Sat 10:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 6:32 AM, sunset 5:35 PM.
- Daylight
- 11 h 3 min
- Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 9 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:00–5:50 PM
- Morning 6:16–7:06 AM
- Blue hour
- 5:50–6:00 PM
- Morning 6:06–6:16 AM; first light 6:06 AM
Stars tonight? Fair
Mostly clear 6 PM–6 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
97% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 4:53 AM · rises 4:33 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
