Observed 3:55 AM MST at KDMA

Vail, AZ weather

Mostly cloudy and 65°18°, 9°5° colder than a typical Oct 23.

Forecasts differ

Now 65°18°

Mostly cloudy

Wind: 3 mph5 km/h; From the west. Up to 9 mph14 km/h through 5 PM
Dew point: 55°13°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; High 12–2 PM · peak 6
Air quality: 27Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 29.97 inHg1015 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

Above 70°21° today by 11 AM
High 75°24° today at 2 PM

This morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
This afternoonNear 73°23° · Clear
TonightDown to 51°11° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 70°21° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 71°22° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 50°10° by 3 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 5a	Partly cloudy	56°13° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	100%	30%	0
Fri 6a	Partly cloudy	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	97%	53%	0
Fri 7a	Partly sunny	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SSE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	98%	45%	0
Fri 8a	Mostly sunny	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	22%	0
Fri 9a	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from ESE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	76%	12%	2
Fri 10a	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	67%	9%	3
Fri 11a	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	60%	8%	5
Fri 12p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 70°21° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	55%	8%	6
Fri 1p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 71°22° to 78°26°)	74°23°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	53%	14%	6
Fri 2p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 81°27°)	75°24°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	47%	14%	5
Fri 3p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 80°27°)	75°24°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	44%	11%	3
Fri 4p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 70°21° to 78°26°)	75°24°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	43%	5%	1
Fri 5p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 69°21° to 76°24°)	73°23°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from WNW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	47%	0%	1
Fri 6p	Clear	71°22° (likely 65°18° to 73°23°)	71°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	50%	1%	0
Fri 7p	Clear	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	59%	3%	0
Fri 8p	Clear	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	64%	6%	0
Fri 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 60°16° to 65°18°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSW, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	68%	9%	0
Fri 10p	Clear	58°14° (likely 58°14° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	74%	9%	0
Fri 11p	Clear	57°14° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	75%	7%	0
Sat 12a	Clear	56°13° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	77%	6%	0
Sat 1a	Clear	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	78%	2%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	79%	5%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	53°12° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	77%	5%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	79%	7%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	51°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	9%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	78%	10%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	53°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	75%	10%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	66%	10%	1
Sat 9a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	53%	12%	2
Sat 10a	Sunny	67°19° (likely 63°17° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	48%	10%	4
Sat 11a	Sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	43%	12%	5
Sat 12p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	42%	19%	6
Sat 1p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	71°22°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from W, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	41%	25%	6
Sat 2p	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	72°22°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	39%	18%	5
Sat 3p	Mostly sunny	72°22° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	72°22°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	38%	18%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from W, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	38%	24%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	42%	26%	1
Sat 6p	Clear	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	45%	23%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	50%	19%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	57%	16%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 63°17°)	59°15°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WSW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	62%	12%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	67%	8%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	55°13° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	71%	12%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 60°16°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SSE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	75%	25%	0
Sun 1a	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 58°14°)	53°12°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	76%	10%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 57°14°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	78%	4%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 56°13°)	47°8°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from ESE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	80%	8%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Cloudy. High 75°24°, low 55°13°. Typical 84°29° / 57°14°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 75. West southwest wind 2 to 9 mph.
Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. South southeast wind around 2 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
72°22°–81°27°
Low, likely
55°13°–61°16°
Typical high / low
84°29° / 57°14°
Wind
18 mph29 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 83°28° / 56°13°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72. South southwest wind 5 to 9 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. South wind around 6 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 56°13°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
6
Sunday, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 74°23°, low 51°11°. Typical 83°28° / 56°13°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 74.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–76°24°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 56°13°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 78°26°, low 53°12°. Typical 83°28° / 56°13°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 60°15°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 78.
Night: Clear, with a low around 53.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
76°24°–81°27°
Low, likely
50°10°–57°14°
Typical high / low
83°28° / 56°13°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 80°27°, low 55°13°. Typical 82°28° / 55°13°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 80°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 66°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 80.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
76°24°–82°28°
Low, likely
51°11°–60°16°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 55°13°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 79°26°, low 56°13°. Typical 82°28° / 55°13°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 61°16°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 80°27°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 67°19°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
76°24°–84°29°
Low, likely
51°11°–59°15°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 55°13°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 76°24°, low 58°14°. Typical 82°28° / 55°13°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 58°15°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
75°24°–82°28°
Low, likely
52°11°–62°17°
Typical high / low
82°28° / 55°13°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 76°24°, low 58°14°. Typical 81°27° / 54°12°. Rain 0.08 in2 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 63°17°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 79°26°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
69°21°–82°28°
Low, likely
50°10°–63°17°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 54°12°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
6
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 74°23°, low 58°14°. Typical 81°27° / 54°12°. Rain 0.1 in2.5 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 63°17°
  30% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
67°19°–83°28°
Low, likely
52°11°–63°17°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 54°12°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Rain. High 71°22°, low 60°16°. Typical 81°27° / 54°12°. Rain 0.37 in9.4 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  30% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 71°22°
  40% chance · 0.09 in2.2 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 70°21°
  40% chance · 0.11 in2.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–86°30°
Low, likely
54°12°–67°19°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 54°12°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 75°, low 55°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 72°, low 49°, cooling off.
Sunday
Dry, high 74°, low 51°.
Rest of week
Highs 71–80°; chance of precipitation on Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (TWC) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Pantano Wash near Vail

1.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.9 ft
Flow: under 1 cfs

Forecast peak 3.7 ft Fri 5 AM

Reading from Fri 3:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Rincon Creek at Rincon Creek

8.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.9 ft

Forecast peak 2.1 ft Fri 5 AM

Reading from Fri 3:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Cienega Creek near Sonoita

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.3 ft
Flow: 1 cfs

Forecast peak 0.1 ft Fri 5 AM

Reading from Fri 3 AM · NWS gauge page

Pantano Wash at Broadway Blvd

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 0.3 ft

Forecast peak 1.2 ft Fri 5 AM

Reading from Fri 3 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

This week 10Typical 0

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 55°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 8:00 AM–9:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

Saguaro National Park · official normals 1991–2020 · records 2008–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 9°5° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 4°2° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

—SatOct 17
−4°−2°SunOct 18
+2°+1°MonOct 19
+3°+2°TueOct 20
+10°+5°WedOct 21
+10°+5°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Vail weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 9 min; Losing 1 min 48 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 6 min less
Golden hour: 5:07–5:56 PM; Morning 6:17–7:05 AM
Blue hour: 5:56–6:06 PM; Morning 6:07–6:17 AM; first light 6:07 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 42% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

91% lit · growing

Today: sets 3:52 AM · rises 4:07 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Vail. The highest point on the skyline is about 9,100 ft, 29 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 4.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Vail, AZ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Sunday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Pantano Wash near Vail

Rincon Creek at Rincon Creek

Cienega Creek near Sonoita

Pantano Wash at Broadway Blvd

For your home

Heating this week

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon