Observed 6:55 AM MST at KSEZ

Village of Oak Creek (Big Park), AZ weather

Sunny and 48°9°, 14°8° colder than a typical Oct 24.

Forecasts agree

Now 48°9°

Sunny · Feels like 44°7°

Wind: 9 mph15 km/h; From the north-northeast. Gusts to 22 mph36 km/h around 4 PM
Dew point: 37°3°; Comfortable
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 10 AM–3 PM · peak 5
Pressure: 30 inHg1016 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.03 inHg+1.1 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

About the same as this time yesterday (50°10° then, 48°9° now)

Good hours for

Above 60°16° today by 10 AM
High 66°19° today at 1 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 6 PM

This morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · Clear
This afternoonDown to 61°16° by 5 PM · rain chance 40% · Mostly cloudy
TonightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · rain chance 20% · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 63°17° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 45°7° by 4 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 7a	Sunny	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	44°7°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	79%	13%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 50°10° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	69%	15%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	57%	14%	1
Sat 10a	Mostly sunny	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	53%	14%	3
Sat 11a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	46%	9%	4
Sat 12p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	46%	17%	5
Sat 1p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	20%	8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	43%	70%	5
Sat 2p	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	40%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	40%	66%	4
Sat 3p	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 59°15° to 66°19°)	66°19°	40%	9 mph14 km/h from SW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	42%	77%	2
Sat 4p	Drizzle	65°18° (likely 56°13° to 65°18°)	65°18°	40%	8 mph13 km/h from W, gusts 22 mph36 km/h	45%	89%	1
Sat 5p	Cloudy	61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	61°16°	20%	7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	51%	67%	1
Sat 6p	Cloudy	59°15° (likely 51°11° to 59°15°)	59°15°	20%	6 mph10 km/h from SE, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	57%	47%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	69%	31%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	53°12° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	53°12°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	71%	44%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	74%	14%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	50°10°	20%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	77%	5%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	74%	1%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	77%	2%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	48°9° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	77%	5%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	46°8° (likely 42°6° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	7%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 48°9°)	46°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	83%	3%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	3%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	45°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	44°7° (likely 41°5° to 47°8°)	44°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°)	45°7°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	71%	0%	1
Sun 9a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	61%	0%	2
Sun 10a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	59%	0%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	53%	0%	5
Sun 12p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	50%	0%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	45%	0%	5
Sun 2p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	40%	1%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	38%	1%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	40%	1%	2
Sun 5p	Sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 63°17°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	46%	0%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	51%	0%	0
Sun 7p	Clear	55°13° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	59%	0%	0
Sun 8p	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 9p	Clear	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	46°8°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 10p	Clear	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 53°12°)	46°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	74%	0%	0
Sun 11p	Clear	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	46°8°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	74%	28%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	77%	38%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	76%	40%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 44°7° to 51°11°)	42°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	79%	50%	0
Mon 3a	Mostly clear	46°8° (likely 43°6° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	79%	35%	0
Mon 4a	Mostly clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	79%	33%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	45°7° (likely 42°6° to 50°10°)	41°5°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	79%	30%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	46°8° (likely 41°5° to 50°10°)	42°6°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	76%	5%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Drizzle. High 66°19°, low 44°7°. Typical 80°27° / 44°7°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 66°19°
  40% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny. High near 66, with temperatures falling to around 61 in the afternoon. South wind 3 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 44. East wind 2 to 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
43°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 44°7°
Wind
23 mph38 km/h, gusts 31 mph50 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 66°19°, low 45°7°. Typical 79°26° / 43°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 66, with temperatures falling to around 63 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 0 to 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North wind 1 to 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–66°19°
Low, likely
40°4°–47°8°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 43°6°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 79°26° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 53°11°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71. Southeast wind 0 to 8 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46. East wind 1 to 6 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
41°5°–48°9°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 43°6°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 71°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 79°26° / 43°6°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. East wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–71°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–48°9°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 43°6°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 72°22°, low 50°10°. Typical 78°26° / 42°6°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. East wind 1 to 5 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 42°6°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 69°21°, low 52°11°. Typical 78°26° / 42°6°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Southeast wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. East wind around 3 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
68°20°–70°21°
Low, likely
46°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 42°6°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 64°18°, low 50°10°. Typical 78°26° / 42°6°. Rain 0.22 in5.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  40% chance · 0.05 in1.4 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  60% chance · 0.03 in0.7 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 56°13°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°11°
  50% chance · 0.2 in5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Rain showers likely before 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 64. South wind around 6 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
59°15°–66°19°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 42°6°
Wind
13 mph22 km/h, gusts 27 mph44 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 48°9°. Typical 77°25° / 41°5°. Rain 0.44 in11 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 53°11°
  50% chance · 0.12 in3.1 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 60°16°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 49°9°
  50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
56°13°–64°18°
Low, likely
48°9°–49°9°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Drizzle. High 60°16°, low 46°8°. Typical 77°25° / 41°5°. Rain 0.32 in8.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.06 in1.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 60°16°
  50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  50% chance · 0.08 in2.1 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  50% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
52°11°–67°19°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
77°25° / 41°5°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 23 mph37 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 62°17°, low 46°8°. Typical 76°24° / 40°4°. Rain 0.12 in3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°10°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
54°12°–74°23°
Low, likely
40°4°–57°14°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 40°4°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
37% chance of rain, high 66°, low 44°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 66°, low 45°.
Monday
Dry, high 71°, low 46°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 60–72°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday, Sunday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Dry Beaver Creek near Rimrock

3.7 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.2 ft
Flow: 115 cfs

Forecast peak 3.3 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 5:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Oak Creek (AZ) at Sedona

5.6 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 319 cfs

Forecast peak 3.1 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 5:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Oak Creek (AZ) at Page Springs near Cornville

7.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.0 ft
Flow: 252 cfs

Forecast peak 3.2 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 6 AM · NWS gauge page

Wet Beaver Creek near Rimrock

8.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 3.8 ft
Flow: 76 cfs

Forecast peak 3.9 ft Sat 7 AM

Reading from Sat 5:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 30% less heating than a typical week.

This week 21Typical 30

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 12
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 37°F).

Open the windows?

Sun, 11:00 AM–5:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows (air quality forecast not available for part of this window).

Is this typical?

TUZIGOOT · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1920–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 14°8° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

−4°−2°SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
+6°+3°WedOct 21
+8°+4°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Village of Oak Creek (Big Park) weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 1 min; Losing 2 min 2 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 11 min less
Golden hour: 5:06–5:57 PM; Morning 6:24–7:15 AM
Blue hour: 5:57–6:07 PM; Morning 6:14–6:24 AM; first light 6:14 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 9 PM–6:15 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:01 AM · rises 4:39 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 9

Looking northeast from Village of Oak Creek (Big Park). The highest point on the skyline is about 7,000 ft, 14 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 2.5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Village of Oak Creek (Big Park), AZ weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Dry Beaver Creek near Rimrock

Oak Creek (AZ) at Sedona

Oak Creek (AZ) at Page Springs near Cornville

Wet Beaver Creek near Rimrock

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon