Carrizo Creek near Show Low
21 mi- Level
- 2.4 ft
- Flow
- 153 cfs
Forecast peak 2.6 ft Sat 5 AM
Reading from Sat 3:30 AM · NWS gauge page
Model estimate for 5:00 AM MST (no recent station report)
Wagon Wheel, AZ weather
Clear and 39°4°.
Today: low 39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°), high 58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°).
Now 39°4°
Clear
- Wind
- 3 mph5 km/h
- From the south. Gusts to 28 mph45 km/h around 1 PM
- Dew point
- 39°4°
- Comfortable
- Humidity
- 100%
- Air 39°4°, dew point 39°4° · fog or dew likely
- UV index
- 0Low
- High 12–2 PM · peak 6
Next 2 hours
No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.
From forecast models
Next 48 hours
Good hours for
This morningUp to 57°14° by 11 AM · rain chance 20% · gusts to 27 mph43 km/h · Clear
This afternoonDown to 53°12° by 5 PM · Rain 2–5 PM (30%) · gusts to 28 mph45 km/h
TonightDown to 35°2° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 55°13° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonNear 57°14° · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 33°1° by 4 AM · Clear
| Hour | Conditions | Temperature | Feels like | Precipitation | Wind | Humidity | Cloud cover | UV index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 5a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 37°3° | 5% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 19% | 0 |
| Sat 6a | Clear | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°) | 36°2° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 24% | 0 |
| Sat 7a | Sunny | 39°4° (likely 39°4° to 46°8°) | 35°2° | 5% | 6 mph10 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 100% | 21% | 0 |
| Sat 8a | Mostly sunny | 45°7° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°) | 41°5° | 5% | 7 mph11 km/h from S, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 18% | 1 |
| Sat 9a | Sunny | 51°11° (likely 51°11° to 52°11°) | 51°11° | 5% | 10 mph16 km/h from S, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 80% | 21% | 2 |
| Sat 10a | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 5% | 13 mph21 km/h from S, gusts 25 mph40 km/h | 66% | 25% | 4 |
| Sat 11a | Mostly sunny | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 27 mph43 km/h | 62% | 26% | 5 |
| Sat 12p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 57°14° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 59% | 18% | 6 |
| Sat 1p | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 20%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph45 km/h | 55% | 19% | 6 |
| Sat 2p | Sunny | 58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°) | 58°14° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 27 mph44 km/h | 55% | 17% | 5 |
| Sat 3p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 15 mph24 km/h from S, gusts 28 mph44 km/h | 57% | 13% | 4 |
| Sat 4p | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 30%, 0.03 in0.8 mm | 14 mph23 km/h from SW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h | 61% | 12% | 2 |
| Sat 5p | Partly sunny | 53°12° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 5% | 10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h | 66% | 54% | 1 |
| Sat 6p | Partly cloudy | 49°9° (likely 47°8° to 49°9°) | 46°8° | 5% | 8 mph13 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 80% | 44% | 0 |
| Sat 7p | Mostly clear | 45°7° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°) | 43°6° | 5% | 5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 14 mph23 km/h | 93% | 44% | 0 |
| Sat 8p | Clear | 43°6° (likely 41°5° to 44°7°) | 41°5° | 5% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 5% | 0 |
| Sat 9p | Clear | 42°6° (likely 40°4° to 43°6°) | 40°4° | 5% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 100% | 10% | 0 |
| Sat 10p | Partly cloudy | 40°4° (likely 38°3° to 42°6°) | 38°3° | 5% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 100% | 21% | 0 |
| Sat 11p | Partly cloudy | 39°4° (likely 38°3° to 41°5°) | 37°3° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 100% | 24% | 0 |
| Sun 12a | Mostly clear | 38°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°) | 36°2° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 49% | 0 |
| Sun 1a | Mostly clear | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 40°4°) | 37°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 100% | 28% | 0 |
| Sun 2a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°) | 37°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h | 100% | 12% | 0 |
| Sun 3a | Clear | 37°3° (likely 36°2° to 39°4°) | 37°3° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph12 km/h | 100% | 8% | 0 |
| Sun 4a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°) | 35°2° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 5% | 0 |
| Sun 5a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 35°2° to 39°4°) | 35°2° | 0% | 2 mph3 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 2% | 0 |
| Sun 6a | Clear | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 39°4°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 3% | 0 |
| Sun 7a | Sunny | 34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from SE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 6% | 0 |
| Sun 8a | Sunny | 42°6° (likely 41°5° to 46°8°) | 40°4° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 8 mph13 km/h | 96% | 10% | 1 |
| Sun 9a | Sunny | 49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 48°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from S, gusts 13 mph20 km/h | 71% | 14% | 2 |
| Sun 10a | Sunny | 53°12° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°) | 53°12° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 59% | 15% | 4 |
| Sun 11a | Sunny | 55°13° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°) | 55°13° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h | 55% | 20% | 5 |
| Sun 12p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h | 47% | 16% | 6 |
| Sun 1p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h | 42% | 15% | 6 |
| Sun 2p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 7 mph11 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph20 km/h | 42% | 16% | 5 |
| Sun 3p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 6 mph10 km/h from SW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h | 40% | 15% | 4 |
| Sun 4p | Sunny | 59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°) | 59°15° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h | 44% | 8% | 2 |
| Sun 5p | Sunny | 57°14° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°) | 57°14° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 49% | 2% | 1 |
| Sun 6p | Clear | 50°10° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°) | 49°9° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 66% | 1% | 0 |
| Sun 7p | Clear | 46°8° (likely 42°6° to 47°8°) | 45°7° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from NE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h | 76% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 8p | Clear | 43°6° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°) | 40°4° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 86% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 9p | Clear | 41°5° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°) | 38°3° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph9 km/h | 93% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 10p | Clear | 38°3° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°) | 34°1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 7 mph11 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Sun 11p | Clear | 37°3° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°) | 33°1° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 8 mph12 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 12a | Clear | 36°2° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°) | 32°0° | 0% | 5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 1a | Clear | 35°2° (likely 33°1° to 41°5°) | 32°0° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph7 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 2a | Clear | 34°1° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 0% | 0 |
| Mon 3a | Mostly clear | 34°1° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°) | 31°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 5% | 0 |
| Mon 4a | Mostly clear | 33°1° (likely 32°0° to 40°4°) | 30°−1° | 0% | 3 mph5 km/h from E, gusts 5 mph8 km/h | 100% | 4% | 0 |
Days ahead
Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)
Today, Oct 24. Cloudy. High 58°14°, low 39°4°. Typical 62°17° / 34°1°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 45°7°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 58°14°30% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 43°6°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 35°2°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 2pm and 5pm. Sunny. High near 58, with temperatures falling to around 53 in the afternoon. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 54°12°–58°14°
- Low, likely
- 38°3°–41°5°
- Typical high / low
- 62°17° / 34°1°
- Wind
- 17 mph28 km/h, gusts 34 mph54 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 59°15°, low 33°1°. Typical 62°17° / 34°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 42°6°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 59°15°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 43°6°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 33°1°Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 59. Southwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 33. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 53°12°–59°15°
- Low, likely
- 33°1°–38°3°
- Typical high / low
- 62°17° / 34°1°
- Wind
- 10 mph16 km/h, gusts 24 mph38 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 63°17°, low 37°3°. Typical 62°17° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 42°5°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 63°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 45°7°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 40°5°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 63. South wind around 6 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. South wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 61°16°–64°18°
- Low, likely
- 31°−1°–38°3°
- Typical high / low
- 62°17° / 33°1°
- Wind
- 9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 65°18°, low 39°4°. Typical 61°16° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Sunny, 49°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Sunny, 63°17°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Clear, 45°7°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Clear, 42°6°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 7 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39. South wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 62°17°–65°18°
- Low, likely
- 38°3°–43°6°
- Typical high / low
- 61°16° / 33°1°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 29 mph47 km/h
- UV peak
- 6
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 65°18°, low 42°6°. Typical 61°16° / 33°1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 49°9°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 64°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 46°8°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Mostly clear, 44°6°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. South wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. South wind around 7 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 40°4°–46°8°
- Typical high / low
- 61°16° / 33°1°
- Wind
- 15 mph23 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Thursday, Oct 29. Showers. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 61°16° / 32°0°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 50°10°Dry
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 65°18°Dry
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 51°11°Dry
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 47°9°30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain showers after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. South wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
- High, likely
- 63°17°–66°19°
- Low, likely
- 40°4°–48°9°
- Typical high / low
- 61°16° / 32°0°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 31 mph49 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Friday, Oct 30. Drizzle. High 58°14°, low 45°7°. Typical 60°16° / 32°0°. Rain 0.18 in4.6 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 50°10°40% chance · 0.06 in1.6 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 57°14°60% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Drizzle, 48°9°50% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Drizzle, 45°7°50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers before 11am, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny, with a high near 58. South wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 51°11°–61°16°
- Low, likely
- 43°6°–47°8°
- Typical high / low
- 60°16° / 32°0°
- Wind
- 15 mph25 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
- UV peak
- 2
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 51°11°, low 42°6°. Typical 60°16° / 32°0°. Rain 0.28 in7.1 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 46°8°50% chance · 0.07 in1.7 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 52°11°50% chance · 0.03 in0.8 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 44°7°50% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 43°6°60% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 48°9°–55°13°
- Low, likely
- 42°6°–44°7°
- Typical high / low
- 60°16° / 32°0°
- Wind
- 15 mph24 km/h, gusts 34 mph55 km/h
- UV peak
- 4
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 51°11°, low 39°4°. Typical 60°16° / 32°0°. Rain 0.39 in9.9 mm, 60% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Drizzle, 46°8°50% chance · 0.07 in1.8 mm
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 53°12°50% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 43°6°50% chance · 0.17 in4.3 mm
Overnight
midnight–6 AM
Cloudy, 38°4°50% chance · 0.05 in1.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 46°8°–59°15°
- Low, likely
- 36°2°–42°6°
- Typical high / low
- 60°16° / 32°0°
- Wind
- 16 mph25 km/h, gusts 32 mph52 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 54°12°, low 40°4°. Typical 59°15° / 31°−1°. Rain 0.21 in5.3 mm, 50% chance. Forecasts differ.
Morning
6 AM–noon
Cloudy, 42°5°40% chance
Afternoon
noon–6 PM
Cloudy, 55°13°30% chance
Evening
6 PM–midnight
Cloudy, 46°8°Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
- High, likely
- 47°8°–67°19°
- Low, likely
- 36°2°–44°7°
- Typical high / low
- 59°15° / 31°−1°
- Wind
- 22 mph35 km/h, gusts 45 mph72 km/h
- UV peak
- 5
The outlook
Today
Dry, high 58°, low 39°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 59°, low 33°.
Monday
Dry, high 63°, low 37°, warming up.
Rest of week
Highs 51–65°; chance of precipitation on Friday, Saturday.
Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (FGZ) (opens in a new tab)
What changed since yesterday
No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.
Radar
Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue
Radar loads when scrolled into view
Rivers
NOAA river gauges within 25 mi
Below flood stage
For your home
What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.
Heating this week
About 70% less heating than a typical week.
This week 38Typical 125
Heating degree days, base 65°F
Heat-pump hours, next 7 days
- h below 47°F
- 27
- h below 17°F
- 0
- h below 5°F
- 0
47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 22 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.
Comfort
Dry air outside (dew point 39°F).
Open the windows?
No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.
Is this typical?
Mcnary 2n · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1933–2026
Oct 24, today vs a typical year
Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.
- Normal high / low
- 62°17° / 34°1°
- Forecast high / low
- 58°14° / 39°4°
- Record high
- 79°26° in 1973
- Record low
- 17°−8° in 1945
Last 7 days vs normal
- —SunOct 18
- —MonOct 19
- —TueOct 20
- —WedOct 21
- —ThuOct 22
- —FriOct 23
- —SatOct 24
Wagon Wheel weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates
Sun & moon
Sun
Sunrise 6:33 AM, sunset 5:35 PM.
- Daylight
- 11 h 2 min
- Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 10 min less
- Golden hour
- 5:00–5:50 PM
- Morning 6:17–7:07 AM
- Blue hour
- 5:50–6:00 PM
- Morning 6:07–6:17 AM; first light 6:07 AM
Stars tonight? Good
Mostly clear 5:05–6:07 AM; moon 96% lit but below the horizon.
Moon
Waxing gibbous
96% lit · growing
- Today
- sets 4:54 AM · rises 4:33 PM
- Full moon
- Oct 25
- New moon
- Nov 9
