Observed 11:55 AM PDT at KMCE

Bear Creek, CA weather

Sunny and 63°17°.

Mostly agree

Now 63°17°

Sunny

Wind: Calm; Light through 12 AM
Dew point: 41°5°; Comfortable · up to 49°9° by 2 PM
UV index: 4Moderate; Moderate until 5 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 44Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.05 inHg1018 hPa; Falling slowly · −0.02 inHg−0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 71°22° today at 4 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 9 PM
Low 48°9° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 10 AM

This afternoonUp to 71°22° by 4 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 50°10° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 66°19° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 76°24° by 4 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 51°11° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 64°18° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	52%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	47%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	47%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	47%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	46%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	70°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	49%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	56%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	58%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	60°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	75%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	52°11° (likely 48°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	89%	6%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	10%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	10%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 46°8° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	10%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	50%	0
Sun 6a	Mostly clear	49°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	89%	51%	0
Sun 7a	Mostly sunny	48°9° (likely 45°7° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	93%	51%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	89%	48%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	80%	44%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	65%	42%	2
Sun 11a	Mostly sunny	66°19° (likely 62°17° to 68°20°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	58%	55%	3
Sun 12p	Mostly sunny	69°21° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	69°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	53%	65%	4
Sun 1p	Mostly sunny	73°23° (likely 70°21° to 75°24°)	73°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	46%	58%	5
Sun 2p	Mostly sunny	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	46%	68%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 73°23° to 78°26°)	74°23°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SSE, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	46%	76%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	76°24° (likely 73°23° to 78°26°)	76°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from S, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	43%	82%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	74°23° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)	74°23°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	46%	83%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	71°22° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	71°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	53%	84%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	59%	57%	0
Sun 8p	Partly cloudy	63°17° (likely 61°16° to 65°18°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	67%	75%	0
Sun 9p	Partly cloudy	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	72%	65%	0
Sun 10p	Partly cloudy	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	75%	58%	0
Sun 11p	Mostly clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	77%	54%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	80%	52%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 57°14°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	86%	37%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	53°12° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	86%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	51°11° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	89%	0%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	86%	0%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	49°9° (likely 42°6° to 55°13°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	93%	4%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 41°5° to 54°12°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	93%	10%	0
Mon 8a	Mostly sunny	51°11° (likely 41°5° to 55°13°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	37%	0
Mon 9a	Mostly sunny	54°12° (likely 46°8° to 59°15°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	83%	37%	1
Mon 10a	Mostly sunny	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 64°18°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	75%	13%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	64°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	60%	26%	3

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 75°24° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 72, with temperatures falling to around 70 in the afternoon. South southwest wind around 0 mph.
Tonight: Clear. Low around 48, with temperatures rising to around 50 overnight. East northeast wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
44°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 46°8°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 76°24°, low 49°9°. Typical 75°24° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 51°11°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny. High near 76, with temperatures falling to around 74 in the afternoon. Southeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. West northwest wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
73°23°–78°26°
Low, likely
45°7°–49°9°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 46°8°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 73°23°, low 47°8°. Typical 74°23° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 0 to 10 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
70°21°–74°23°
Low, likely
45°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 46°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 26 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 71°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 74°23° / 46°8°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind around 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 46°8°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 69°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 73°23° / 45°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–71°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 45°7°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 73°23° / 45°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
66°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
46°8°–55°13°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 45°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 65°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 72°22° / 45°7°. Rain 0.01 in0.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 45°7°
  20% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. Northwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Night: A chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
42°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 45°7°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 21 mph34 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 65°18°, low 44°7°. Typical 72°22° / 45°7°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 65°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–69°21°
Low, likely
38°3°–48°9°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 45°7°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Mostly sunny. High 67°19°, low 43°6°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 45°7°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 57°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 44°7°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–71°22°
Low, likely
31°−1°–49°9°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 63°17°, low 44°7°. Typical 71°22° / 44°7°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
35°2°–53°12°
Typical high / low
71°22° / 44°7°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 72°, low 48°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 76°, low 49°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 73°, low 47°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 63–71°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (HNX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Bear Creek at McKee Road

1.8 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 5.0 ft
Flow: 47 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Deadman Creek at Le Grand

13 mi

Level: -0.7 ft

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Eastside Bypass at El Nido

15 mi

Level: 8.8 ft

Reading from Sat 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Merced River at Shaffer Bridge

15 mi

Level: 3.5 ft
Flow: 975 cfs

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 63% less heating than a typical week.

This week 14Typical 38

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 41°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–8:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

MERCED · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1899–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 3°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Bear Creek weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 54 min; Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 19 min less
Golden hour: 5:36–6:29 PM; Morning 7:02–7:54 AM
Blue hour: 6:29–6:39 PM; Morning 6:51–7:02 AM; first light 6:51 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:39 PM–5 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:40 AM · rises 5:12 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northeast from Bear Creek. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,000 ft, 69 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.