Coastal Flood Advisory
Ends in 5 days 6 h
When
From 8 AM Saturday to 3 PM PDT Thursday.
Where
Bay Shoreline locations of San Francisco Bay, Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast.
Issued for this forecast zone · National Weather Service San Francisco CA
What, impacts and precautionsHide details
What
Up to 1.9ft of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
Impacts
High tides will result in flooding of low-lying infrastructure, isolated road closures, and coastal erosion. Rising tides will bring water and waves farther up the beach than normal, restricting escape from beaches and coastal areas.
Additional details
At the San Francisco tidal gauge, high tide is expected to be 1.1 ft above normal (6.9 ft MLLW) at 10:39 AM Saturday 10/24, 1.5 ft above normal (7.3 ft MLLW) at 11:07 AM Sunday 10/25, 1.6 ft above normal (7.4 ft MLLW) at 11:39 AM Monday 10/26, 1.8 ft above normal (7.6 ft MLLW) at 12:15 PM Tuesday 10/27, 1.9 ft above normal (7.7 ft MLLW) at 12:56 PM Wednesday 10/28, and 1.7 ft above normal (7.5 ft MLLW) at 01:43 PM Thursday 10/29. These predictions include up to 1.0 ft of surge that will enhance the astronomical tide and flooding threat. High tide varies up to 90 minutes earlier or later along the Pacific Coast and through the San Francisco Bay, respectively.
Precautionary actions
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property.
Areas: San Francisco; North Bay Interior Valleys; San Francisco Bay Shoreline; Northern Monterey Bay; Southern Monterey Bay and Big Sur Coast
See it on weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Observed 7:45 AM PDT at KMRY

Carmel-by-the-Sea, CA weather

Sunny and 50°10°.

Mostly agree

Now 50°10°

Sunny

Wind: 6 mph9 km/h; From the east. 35–6 mph10 km/h through 8 PM
Dew point: 45°7°; Comfortable · up to 54°12° by 11 AM
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 5
Air today: 44Good; EPA forecast · Ozone
Pressure: 30.04 inHg1017 hPa; Steady over the last 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

8°4° cooler than this time yesterday (59°15° then, 51°11° now)

Good hours for

Above 60°16° today by 10 AM
High 69°21° today at 3 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 9 PM
Fog tomorrow night 8 PM–2 AM

This morningUp to 63°17° by 11 AM · Clear
This afternoonNear 66°19° · Clear
TonightDown to 54°12° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 65°18° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonNear 67°19° · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 53°12° by 5 AM · Mostly cloudy

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	85%	2%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	2%	0
Sat 10a	Sunny	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 63°17°)	60°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	76%	1%	1
Sat 11a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	63°17°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNE, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	74%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	66°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from N, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	68%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 66°19° to 72°22°)	67°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	64%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	68°20°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	62%	0%	4
Sat 3p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 65°18° to 70°21°)	69°21°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	69%	0%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	67°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	71%	0%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from WNW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	72%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	78%	0%	1
Sat 7p	Clear	61°16° (likely 58°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	82%	1%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from N, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	83%	1%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	80%	2%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	59°15° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	10%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	84%	2%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	57°14° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	83%	1%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	84%	1%	0
Sun 2a	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	82%	17%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	55°13° (likely 50°10° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	82%	40%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	80%	40%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	82%	41%	0
Sun 6a	Partly cloudy	53°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	80%	52%	0
Sun 7a	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	82%	59%	0
Sun 8a	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	82%	66%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	78%	72%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	63°17° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	63°17°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from ENE, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	74%	67%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	74%	58%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	74%	57%	4
Sun 1p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 64°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from WNW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	74%	67%	5
Sun 2p	Cloudy	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	75%	85%	4
Sun 3p	Cloudy	69°21° (likely 62°17° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	82%	85%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	67°19° (likely 61°16° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from W, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	85%	79%	3
Sun 5p	Cloudy	66°19° (likely 60°16° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 12 mph20 km/h	87%	83%	2
Sun 6p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 59°15° to 64°18°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	92%	81%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	94%	83%	0
Sun 8p	Fog	60°16° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	94%	81%	0
Sun 9p	Fog	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	95%	77%	0
Sun 10p	Fog	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	95%	73%	0
Sun 11p	Fog	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	96%	70%	0
Mon 12a	Fog	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	96%	66%	0
Mon 1a	Fog	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	97%	47%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	97%	43%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	98%	41%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	99%	46%	0
Mon 5a	Mostly clear	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	99%	54%	0
Mon 6a	Partly cloudy	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	53°12°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	75%	0
Mon 7a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 51°11° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from N, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	100%	61%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 70°21°, low 52°11°. Typical 69°21° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny. High near 70, with temperatures falling to around 66 in the afternoon. North wind around 6 mph.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low around 52, with temperatures rising to around 54 overnight. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
48°9°–53°12°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 50°10°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Cloudy. High 71°22°, low 52°11°. Typical 69°21° / 50°10°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 69°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Fog, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny. High near 71, with temperatures falling to around 66 in the afternoon. Northwest wind 2 to 6 mph.
Night: Patchy fog between 8pm and 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52. West northwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–71°22°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 50°10°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Partly sunny. High 68°20°, low 49°9°. Typical 69°21° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68. North northwest wind 2 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 49°9°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 25 mph41 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Partly sunny. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 69°21° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–67°19°
Low, likely
47°8°–53°12°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 49°9°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 64°18°, low 52°11°. Typical 69°21° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 64.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
62°17°–65°18°
Low, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Typical high / low
69°21° / 49°9°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 62°17°, low 51°11°. Typical 68°20° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A chance of rain after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–64°18°
Low, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 49°9°
Wind
11 mph17 km/h, gusts 23 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Friday, Oct 30. Rain. High 62°17°, low 50°10°. Typical 68°20° / 49°9°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 53°12°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 60°15°
  20% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 55°13°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 62.
Night: A chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
60°16°–62°17°
Low, likely
48°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 49°9°
Wind
12 mph20 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 61°16°, low 48°9°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 61°16°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 54°12°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
60°16°–65°18°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 48°9°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h, gusts 22 mph36 km/h
UV peak
4
Sunday, Nov 1. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 47°8°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Rain 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–76°24°
Low, likely
40°4°–52°11°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 48°9°
Wind
18 mph28 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Drizzle. High 63°17°, low 51°11°. Typical 68°20° / 48°9°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 56°14°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
61°16°–66°19°
Low, likely
42°6°–57°14°
Typical high / low
68°20° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 30 mph48 km/h

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 70°, low 52°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 71°, low 52°.
Monday
Dry, high 68°, low 49°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 61–67°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (MTR) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 74% less heating than a typical week.

This week 11Typical 42

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 45°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 10:00 AM–8:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

MONTEREY PENINSUL AP · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1968–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is about typical for the date.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

±0°SunOct 18
±0°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
±0°WedOct 21
+1°ThuOct 22
+1°FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Carmel-by-the-Sea weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 56 min; Losing 2 min 7 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 16 min less
Golden hour: 5:44–6:35 PM; Morning 7:07–7:59 AM
Blue hour: 6:35–6:46 PM; Morning 6:57–7:07 AM; first light 6:57 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Mostly clear 6:46 PM–3 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:45 AM · rises 5:19 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking southeast from Carmel-by-the-Sea. The highest point on the skyline is about 4,600 ft, 19 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 5× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

1 active weather alert

Coastal Flood Advisory