Observed 8:15 PM PDT at KTRK

Carnelian Bay, CA weather

Clear and 36°2°.

Mostly agree

Now 36°2°

Clear

Wind: Calm; Light through 8 AM
Dew point: 34°1°; Dry, static shocks likely
Humidity: 93%; Air 36°2°, dew point 34°1° · frost likely
UV tomorrow: 5Moderate; Moderate 11 AM–4 PM · peak 5
Air quality: 26Good; Main pollutant: Ozone

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

5°3° cooler than this time yesterday (41°5° then, 36°2° now)

Good hours for

Low 34°1° tomorrow at 6 AM
Above 50°10° tomorrow by 11 AM
High 58°14° tomorrow at 2 PM
Below 50°10° tomorrow night after 6 PM
Gusts to 35 mph56 km/h Monday 5 AM–6 PM

TonightDown to 35°2° by 5 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 52°11° by 11 AM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 58°14° by 2 PM · Mostly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 38°3° by 4 AM · gusts to 26 mph42 km/h · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 47°8° by 11 AM · gusts to 33 mph53 km/h · Clear
Monday afternoonNear 48°9° · gusts to 35 mph56 km/h · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 8p	Clear	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	64%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 43°6°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	65%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 42°6°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	39°4° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	39°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	68%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	73%	2%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	73%	3%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	37°3° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	37°3°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	75%	5%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 41°5°)	36°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 8 mph14 km/h	78%	6%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	79%	11%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	80%	13%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	34°1° (likely 34°1° to 41°5°)	34°1°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	80%	13%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	35°2° (likely 35°2° to 41°5°)	35°2°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	81%	13%	0
Sun 9a	Partly sunny	40°4° (likely 40°4° to 46°8°)	40°4°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	73%	46%	1
Sun 10a	Partly sunny	47°8° (likely 46°8° to 49°9°)	47°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	61%	52%	2
Sun 11a	Partly sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	50%	54%	3
Sun 12p	Partly sunny	54°12° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	45%	56%	4
Sun 1p	Partly sunny	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	40%	55%	5
Sun 2p	Cloudy	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	34%	60%	5
Sun 3p	Cloudy	56°13° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	56°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	37%	76%	4
Sun 4p	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	41%	77%	2
Sun 5p	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	53°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	45%	78%	1
Sun 6p	Cloudy	48°9° (likely 48°9° to 49°9°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	53%	80%	0
Sun 7p	Cloudy	46°8° (likely 45°7° to 47°8°)	46°8°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	58%	83%	0
Sun 8p	Cloudy	43°6° (likely 42°6° to 46°8°)	39°4°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 15 mph23 km/h	63%	90%	0
Sun 9p	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	64%	93%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	42°6° (likely 41°5° to 45°7°)	38°3°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	62%	87%	0
Sun 11p	Partly cloudy	41°5° (likely 40°4° to 45°7°)	36°2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 19 mph31 km/h	63%	47%	0
Mon 12a	Clear	40°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	35°2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	66%	14%	0
Mon 1a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	33°1°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph34 km/h	66%	5%	0
Mon 2a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	33°1°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 23 mph38 km/h	65%	0%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 44°7°)	33°1°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 24 mph39 km/h	66%	5%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	32°0°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 25 mph40 km/h	68%	9%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	38°3° (likely 38°3° to 43°6°)	32°0°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 26 mph42 km/h	70%	11%	0
Mon 6a	Clear	37°3° (likely 37°3° to 43°6°)	30°−1°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	72%	11%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	29°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 28 mph46 km/h	74%	15%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	36°2° (likely 36°2° to 43°6°)	29°−2°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 30 mph48 km/h	75%	15%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	39°4° (likely 39°4° to 45°7°)	32°0°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	71%	15%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	43°6° (likely 43°6° to 48°9°)	37°3°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from SW, gusts 31 mph50 km/h	64%	17%	2
Mon 11a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	40°4°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 33 mph53 km/h	56%	19%	3
Mon 12p	Sunny	49°9° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	43°6°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 33 mph54 km/h	50%	17%	4
Mon 1p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 34 mph55 km/h	45%	15%	5
Mon 2p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 52°11°)	44°7°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from SW, gusts 35 mph56 km/h	42%	10%	5
Mon 3p	Sunny	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	44°7°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from SW, gusts 34 mph55 km/h	42%	5%	4
Mon 4p	Sunny	49°9° (likely 46°8° to 50°10°)	43°6°	0%	20 mph32 km/h from SW, gusts 32 mph52 km/h	44%	1%	3
Mon 5p	Sunny	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 47°8°)	41°5°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 28 mph45 km/h	47%	2%	1
Mon 6p	Clear	44°7° (likely 40°4° to 44°7°)	37°3°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 21 mph33 km/h	52%	3%	0
Mon 7p	Clear	41°5° (likely 36°2° to 42°6°)	33°1°	0%	15 mph24 km/h from SW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	58%	2%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Mostly sunny. High 52°11°, low 34°1°. Typical 56°13° / 31°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 40°4°
  Dry
2. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 35°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 34. South wind around 0 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–54°12°
Low, likely
32°0°–36°2°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 31°−1°
Wind
15 mph24 km/h, gusts 27 mph43 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Partly sunny. High 58°14°, low 36°2°. Typical 56°13° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Partly sunny, 35°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 43°6°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 38°3°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. Southwest wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
55°13°–58°14°
Low, likely
35°2°–41°5°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 30°−1°
Wind
11 mph18 km/h, gusts 26 mph42 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 52°11°, low 31°−1°. Typical 56°13° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 37°3°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 36°2°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 52. Southwest wind 10 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Southwest wind 0 to 15 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–52°11°
Low, likely
31°−1°–40°4°
Typical high / low
56°13° / 30°−1°
Wind
19 mph31 km/h, gusts 45 mph72 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 56°13°, low 33°1°. Typical 55°13° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 36°2°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 53°12°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 39°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 32°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 56. Southwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 33.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
49°9°–56°13°
Low, likely
31°−1°–39°4°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 30°−1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 35 mph56 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Cloudy. High 55°13°, low 34°1°. Typical 55°13° / 30°−1°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 33°1°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 40°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 55.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 34.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Low, likely
26°−3°–39°4°
Typical high / low
55°13° / 30°−1°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Snow. High 50°10°, low 31°−1°. Typical 54°12° / 30°−1°. Snow, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 37°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 50°10°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°4°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Partly cloudy, 35°1°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of rain between 11am and 2pm, then a chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 50.
Night: A chance of snow before 8pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
47°8°–51°11°
Low, likely
31°−1°–41°5°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 30°−1°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 47 mph75 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Snow. High 45°7°, low 29°−2°. Typical 54°12° / 29°−2°. Snow 0.02 in0.5 mm, 20% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 34°1°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 44°6°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 32°0°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 28°−2°
  40% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow. Mostly sunny, with a high near 45.
Night: A slight chance of snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around 29.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
43°6°–46°8°
Low, likely
26°−3°–37°3°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 29°−2°
Wind
22 mph36 km/h, gusts 44 mph71 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Snow. High 43°6°, low 28°−2°. Typical 54°12° / 29°−2°. Snow 0–4 in0–10 cm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 28°−2°
  40% chance · 0.2 in0.6 cm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 40°5°
  30% chance · 0.5 in1.2 cm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 31°−1°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.5 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 26°−3°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A slight chance of snow before 5pm, then a chance of rain and snow. Mostly sunny, with a high near 43.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–45°7°
Low, likely
23°−5°–35°2°
Typical high / low
54°12° / 29°−2°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 38 mph61 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Cloudy. High 42°6°, low 27°−3°. Typical 53°12° / 29°−2°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 28°−2°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 44°6°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 35°2°
  20% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 31°0°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
37°3°–51°11°
Low, likely
20°−7°–33°1°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 29°−2°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 28 mph45 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 47°8°, low 32°0°. Typical 53°12° / 29°−2°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 38°3°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
43°6°–52°11°
Low, likely
29°−2°–34°1°
Typical high / low
53°12° / 29°−2°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h, gusts 20 mph31 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 52°, low 34°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 58°, low 36°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 52°, low 31°, cooling off.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 42–56°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (REV) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Lake Tahoe at Tahoe City

4.4 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 6227 ft
Flow: 435,000 cfs

Forecast peak 6227 ft Sat 9 PM

Reading from Sat 7 PM · NWS gauge page

Truckee River near Truckee

8.0 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.6 ft
Flow: 74 cfs

Forecast peak 1.6 ft Sat 9 PM

Reading from Sat 7:30 PM · NWS gauge page

Truckee River at Tahoe City

5.9 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 2.5 ft
Flow: 78 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:45 PM · NWS gauge page

Incline Creek near Incline Village

7.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 1.6 ft
Flow: 3 cfs

Reading from Sat 7:50 PM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 73% less heating than a typical week.

This week 43Typical 157

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 34
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at. About 3 hours are near freezing and damp, when outdoor units defrost more often.

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 34°F).

Open the windows?

No stretch in the next few days is comfortable enough outside, by temperature, dew point and air quality.

Is this typical?

Tahoe City · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1909–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 4°2° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 2°1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+5°+3°MonOct 19
+5°+3°TueOct 20
+5°+3°WedOct 21
+1°ThuOct 22
−2°−1°FriOct 23
−2°−1°SatOct 24
—SunOct 25

Carnelian Bay weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 49 min; Losing 2 min 25 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 25 min less
Golden hour: 5:31–6:25 PM; Morning 7:02–7:56 AM
Blue hour: 6:25–6:36 PM; Morning 6:52–7:02 AM; first light 6:52 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 8:40 PM–6:53 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

99% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:40 AM · rises 5:08 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking southeast from Carnelian Bay. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,300 ft, 1 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Carnelian Bay, CA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Monday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Lake Tahoe at Tahoe City

Truckee River near Truckee

Truckee River at Tahoe City

Incline Creek near Incline Village

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Fair

Moon