Observed 10:55 AM PDT at KMOD

Ceres, CA weather

Overcast and 61°16°.

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Cloudy

Wind: 10 mph17 km/h; From the west-northwest. 610–10 mph17 km/h through 11 PM
Dew point: 55°13°; A little sticky · down to 47°8° by 11 PM (comfortable)
UV index: 2Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 49Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 30.05 inHg1018 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa in 3 h

None rain starting around 7:15 AM.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 70°21° today at 5 PM
Low 48°9° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 60°16° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonUp to 70°21° by 5 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 50°10° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 61°16° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 72°22° by 4 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 49°9° by 5 AM · Clear
Sunday morningUp to 58°14° by 10 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 11a	Drizzle	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NNW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	93%	98%	2
Fri 12p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 60°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	85%	97%	3
Fri 1p	Partly sunny	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	79%	58%	3
Fri 2p	Mostly sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph28 km/h	75%	48%	3
Fri 3p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	68%	38%	2
Fri 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	60%	19%	1
Fri 5p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 20 mph32 km/h	62%	9%	2
Fri 6p	Clear	69°21° (likely 64°18° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NW, gusts 20 mph33 km/h	64%	0%	0
Fri 7p	Clear	67°19° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	71%	0%	0
Fri 8p	Clear	64°18° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	73%	0%	0
Fri 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 57°14° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	72%	0%	0
Fri 10p	Clear	59°15° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	59°15°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from WNW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	69%	0%	0
Fri 11p	Clear	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from WNW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	66%	0%	0
Sat 12a	Clear	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 57°14°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph26 km/h	67%	0%	0
Sat 1a	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 56°13°)	55°13°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NNW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	71%	0%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 54°12°)	54°12°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 12 mph19 km/h	81%	0%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	50°10° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph15 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	48°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	48°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	49°9°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	52°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	52°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	76%	0%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	60%	0%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 8 mph13 km/h	49%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 66°19°)	65°18°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	46%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	67°19° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	67°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	43%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 71°22°)	70°21°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	41%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	71°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	41%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	41%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	43%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	70°21° (likely 64°18° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	52%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	67°19° (likely 60°16° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	63%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	64°18° (likely 57°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	61°16° (likely 54°12° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	58°14° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	82%	2%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	56°13° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	84%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	54°12° (likely 48°9° to 55°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	86%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	52°11° (likely 47°8° to 53°12°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	88%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	51°11° (likely 46°8° to 52°11°)	51°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	90%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	50°10° (likely 45°7° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	92%	1%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	94%	5%	0
Sun 5a	Mostly clear	49°9° (likely 44°7° to 52°11°)	49°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	95%	13%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	48°9° (likely 40°4° to 54°12°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	98%	2%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 40°4° to 53°12°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from SE, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	99%	16%	0
Sun 8a	Mostly sunny	48°9° (likely 40°4° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	96%	23%	0
Sun 9a	Mostly sunny	52°11° (likely 44°7° to 60°16°)	52°11°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	86%	34%	1
Sun 10a	Mostly sunny	58°14° (likely 50°10° to 66°19°)	58°14°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	74%	21%	2

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Drizzle. High 70°21°, low 48°9°. Typical 76°24° / 50°10°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 0% chance. Forecasts agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 7 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tonight: Clear. Low around 48, with temperatures rising to around 50 overnight. Northwest wind 2 to 8 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
48°9°–57°14°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 50°10°
Wind
14 mph22 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Sunny. High 72°22°, low 47°8°. Typical 76°24° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 64°18°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 47. Northeast wind around 1 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–73°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 49°9°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 49°9°. Typical 75°24° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 75°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77. Southeast wind around 3 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
72°22°–79°26°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 49°9°
Wind
7 mph10 km/h, gusts 13 mph21 km/h
UV peak
5
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 75°24°, low 49°9°. Typical 75°24° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 49°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 60°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 75.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 49.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–75°24°
Low, likely
44°7°–53°12°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 49°9°
Wind
16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 48°9°. Typical 74°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 59°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
69°21°–72°22°
Low, likely
42°6°–50°10°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 74°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 72°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
68°20°–73°23°
Low, likely
42°6°–49°9°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 74°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Mostly clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
64°18°–72°22°
Low, likely
48°9°–52°11°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 69°21°, low 47°8°. Typical 73°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 51°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 47°8°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–74°23°
Low, likely
36°2°–53°12°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 48°9°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Cloudy. High 66°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 73°23° / 47°8°. Rain 0.04 in1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 58°14°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 46°8°
  30% chance · 0.15 in3.8 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
60°16°–74°23°
Low, likely
31°−1°–55°13°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 47°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Sunny. High 66°19°, low 46°8°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Rain 0.38 in9.7 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  30% chance · 0.29 in7.5 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 67°19°
  20% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 56°13°
  30% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–70°21°
Low, likely
30°−1°–60°16°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
13 mph21 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
4

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 70°, low 48°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 72°, low 47°.
Sunday
Dry, high 77°, low 49°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 66–75°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (STO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tuolumne River at Modesto

2.1 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 39.1 ft
Flow: 903 cfs

Forecast peak 39.8 ft Sat 3 AM

Reading from Fri 10 AM · NWS gauge page

San Joaquin River at Patterson

9.5 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 31.3 ft
Flow: 639 cfs

Forecast peak 32.7 ft Tue 3 PM

Reading from Fri 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Stanislaus River at Ripon

12 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 42.0 ft
Flow: 1,010 cfs

Forecast peak 42.4 ft Fri 7 PM

Reading from Fri 9:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Merced River at Stevinson

16 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 57.2 ft
Flow: 179 cfs

Forecast peak 59.6 ft Tue 4 AM

Reading from Fri 9 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 37% less heating than a typical week.

This week 14Typical 23

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 1
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Comfortable, non-humid air (dew point 55°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 12:00 PM–9:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

MODESTO AP · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1927–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1°0° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+4°+2°SatOct 17
+5°+3°SunOct 18
+1°±0°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
−2°−1°WedOct 21
−1°ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Ceres weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 56 min; Losing 2 min 21 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 22 min less
Golden hour: 5:39–6:32 PM; Morning 7:03–7:56 AM
Blue hour: 6:32–6:42 PM; Morning 6:53–7:03 AM; first light 6:53 AM

Stars tonight? Good

Clear 6:42 PM–6:54 AM; moon 96% lit, sets 5:42 AM.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

93% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:35 AM · rises 4:47 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking east from Ceres. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,600 ft, 93 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Ceres, CA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Sunday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Tuolumne River at Modesto

San Joaquin River at Patterson

Stanislaus River at Ripon

Merced River at Stevinson

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Good

Moon