Observed 4:20 AM PDT at KMOD

Keyes, CA weather

Overcast and 61°16°.

Forecasts agree

Now 61°16°

Cloudy

Wind: Calm; Up to 12 mph19 km/h through 5 PM
Dew point: 57°14°; A little sticky
UV index: 0Low; Moderate 12–3 PM · peak 3
Air quality: 30Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)
Pressure: 29.98 inHg1015 hPa; Rising slowly · +0.02 inHg+0.6 hPa in 3 h

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

3°2° warmer than this time yesterday (57°14° then, 60°16° now)

Good hours for

Fog until 6 AM
Above 60°16° today by 10 AM
High 70°21° today at 5 PM
Below 60°16° tonight after 9 PM

This morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · Mostly cloudy
This afternoonUp to 70°21° by 5 PM · Partly cloudy
TonightDown to 47°8° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 62°17° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 73°23° by 5 PM · Clear
Tomorrow nightDown to 48°9° by 4 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Fri 5a	Fog	54°12° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	54°12°	10%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	100%	82%	0
Fri 6a	Cloudy	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	53°12°	5%	1 mph2 km/h from NNW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	100%	93%	0
Fri 7a	Cloudy	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 59°15°)	52°11°	5%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	100%	98%	0
Fri 8a	Cloudy	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 59°15°)	55°13°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	100%	93%	0
Fri 9a	Mostly cloudy	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 60°16°)	57°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NNW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	100%	65%	0
Fri 10a	Cloudy	60°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	98%	81%	1
Fri 11a	Partly sunny	62°17° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	62°17°	0%	8 mph13 km/h from NNW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	91%	69%	2
Fri 12p	Mostly cloudy	65°18° (likely 63°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 14 mph23 km/h	79%	70%	3
Fri 1p	Partly sunny	66°19° (likely 65°18° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	76%	71%	3
Fri 2p	Partly sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NW, gusts 17 mph27 km/h	71%	63%	3
Fri 3p	Mostly sunny	68°20° (likely 67°19° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	12 mph19 km/h from NW, gusts 18 mph29 km/h	64%	33%	2
Fri 4p	Sunny	69°21° (likely 67°19° to 69°21°)	69°21°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	59%	26%	1
Fri 5p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 67°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 19 mph30 km/h	61%	13%	2
Fri 6p	Clear	67°19° (likely 64°18° to 67°19°)	67°19°	0%	9 mph14 km/h from NW, gusts 17 mph28 km/h	70%	1%	0
Fri 7p	Clear	64°18° (likely 61°16° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from WNW, gusts 14 mph22 km/h	81%	0%	0
Fri 8p	Clear	61°16° (likely 59°15° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 13 mph21 km/h	81%	1%	0
Fri 9p	Clear	58°14° (likely 57°14° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from WNW, gusts 15 mph24 km/h	79%	0%	0
Fri 10p	Clear	57°14° (likely 56°13° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from WNW, gusts 16 mph25 km/h	76%	0%	0
Fri 11p	Clear	55°13° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	55°13°	0%	7 mph11 km/h from WNW, gusts 15 mph25 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sat 12a	Clear	53°12° (likely 53°12° to 57°14°)	53°12°	0%	6 mph10 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph17 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sat 1a	Clear	52°11° (likely 52°11° to 55°13°)	52°11°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	80%	0%	0
Sat 2a	Clear	51°11° (likely 51°11° to 53°12°)	50°10°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NNW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	83%	0%	0
Sat 3a	Clear	50°10° (likely 49°9° to 52°11°)	50°10°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	87%	0%	0
Sat 4a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	89%	0%	0
Sat 5a	Clear	47°8° (likely 47°8° to 51°11°)	47°8°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sat 6a	Clear	45°7° (likely 45°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sat 7a	Sunny	45°7° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	45°7°	0%	1 mph2 km/h from W, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	92%	0%	0
Sat 8a	Sunny	47°8° (likely 44°7° to 50°10°)	47°8°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	90%	0%	0
Sat 9a	Sunny	51°11° (likely 49°9° to 54°12°)	51°11°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	77%	0%	1
Sat 10a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 55°13° to 58°14°)	58°14°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	59%	0%	2
Sat 11a	Sunny	62°17° (likely 59°15° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 9 mph14 km/h	48%	0%	3
Sat 12p	Sunny	66°19° (likely 63°17° to 66°19°)	66°19°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	43%	0%	4
Sat 1p	Sunny	68°20° (likely 65°18° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	42%	0%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	71°22° (likely 67°19° to 71°22°)	71°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	40%	0%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	40%	0%	4
Sat 4p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 69°21° to 73°23°)	72°22°	0%	3 mph5 km/h from NW, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	40%	0%	3
Sat 5p	Sunny	73°23° (likely 68°20° to 73°23°)	73°23°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	43%	0%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	68°20° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	68°20°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 2 mph2 km/h	57%	0%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	65°18° (likely 62°17° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	2 mph3 km/h from NNW, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	69%	0%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	62°17° (likely 58°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	79%	0%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	85%	0%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	88%	0%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	54°12° (likely 50°10° to 58°14°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	90%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	52°11° (likely 46°8° to 58°14°)	52°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	94%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	51°11° (likely 45°7° to 58°14°)	51°11°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	97%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	50°10° (likely 44°7° to 57°14°)	50°10°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	99%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	49°9° (likely 42°6° to 56°13°)	49°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	100%	2%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	48°9° (likely 42°6° to 55°13°)	48°9°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	100%	2%	0

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 23. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 51°11°. Typical 76°24° / 50°10°. Dry. Forecasts agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 47°8°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Haze before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 70. Northwest wind 1 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tonight: Haze and patchy fog. Mostly cloudy. Low around 51, with temperatures rising to around 54 overnight. North northwest wind around 1 mph.
Forecasts agreeIndependent forecasts are close; the range is narrow.
High, likely
67°19°–70°21°
Low, likely
51°11°–56°13°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 50°10°
Wind
15 mph25 km/h, gusts 25 mph40 km/h
UV peak
5
Tomorrow, Oct 24. Sunny. High 73°23°, low 45°7°. Typical 76°24° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 47°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind around 3 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 45. Northeast wind around 2 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
69°21°–73°23°
Low, likely
44°7°–50°10°
Typical high / low
76°24° / 49°9°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
5
Sunday, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 48°9°. Typical 75°24° / 49°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Mostly sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 50°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
72°22°–78°26°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 49°9°
Wind
6 mph9 km/h, gusts 12 mph20 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Oct 26. Mostly sunny. High 77°25°, low 46°8°. Typical 75°24° / 49°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 73°23°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 46.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
70°21°–77°25°
Low, likely
44°7°–54°12°
Typical high / low
75°24° / 49°9°
Wind
10 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph27 km/h
UV peak
4
Tuesday, Oct 27. Mostly sunny. High 72°22°, low 45°7°. Typical 74°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 48°9°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 70°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 48°9°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 72.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
43°6°–51°11°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 48°9°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 19 mph31 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 46°8°. Typical 74°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 46°8°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 71°21°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Partly cloudy, 60°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 49°10°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–72°22°
Low, likely
40°4°–49°9°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 48°9°
Wind
8 mph12 km/h
UV peak
4
Thursday, Oct 29. Partly sunny. High 71°22°, low 49°9°. Typical 74°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 66°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°15°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 51°11°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
63°17°–71°22°
Low, likely
45°7°–52°11°
Typical high / low
74°23° / 48°9°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h
UV peak
1
Friday, Oct 30. Cloudy. High 70°21°, low 49°9°. Typical 73°23° / 48°9°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 50°10°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 63°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 54°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
65°18°–74°23°
Low, likely
39°4°–53°12°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 48°9°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h, gusts 13 mph22 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 67°19°, low 52°11°. Typical 73°23° / 47°8°. Rain 0.17 in4.3 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°19°
  20% chance · 0.05 in1.1 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Drizzle, 60°15°
  30% chance · 0.1 in2.4 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 56°13°
  30% chance · 0.3 in7.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
58°14°–74°23°
Low, likely
49°9°–55°13°
Typical high / low
73°23° / 47°8°
Wind
12 mph19 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Showers. High 68°20°, low 55°13°. Typical 72°22° / 47°8°. Rain 0.83 in21 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.31 in7.8 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 67°19°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Showers, 62°16°
  20% chance · 0.24 in6.2 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
66°19°–69°21°
Low, likely
49°9°–60°16°
Typical high / low
72°22° / 47°8°
Wind
16 mph25 km/h, gusts 30 mph49 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 70°, low 51°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 73°, low 45°, warming up.
Sunday
Dry, high 77°, low 48°, warming up.
Rest of week
Mostly dry, highs 67–77°.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (STO) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Tuolumne River at Modesto

6.3 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 38.9 ft
Flow: 808 cfs

Forecast peak 39.9 ft Sat 3 AM

Reading from Fri 3:45 AM · NWS gauge page

San Joaquin River at Patterson

10 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 31.2 ft
Flow: 624 cfs

Forecast peak 32.8 ft Tue 2 AM

Reading from Fri 2:45 AM · NWS gauge page

Merced River at Stevinson

13 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 57.1 ft
Flow: 174 cfs

Forecast peak 59.7 ft Tue 1 AM

Reading from Fri 3 AM · NWS gauge page

San Joaquin River at Newman

15 mi

Below flood stage

Level: 48.8 ft
Flow: 389 cfs

Forecast peak 50.8 ft Tue 4 AM

Reading from Fri 2:45 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Heating this week

About 34% less heating than a typical week.

This week 15Typical 23

Heating degree days, base 65°F

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

h below 47°F: 5
h below 17°F: 0
h below 5°F: 0

47, 17 and 5°F are the test points heat pumps are rated at.

Comfort

Comfortable, non-humid air (dew point 57°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 10:00 AM–8:00 PM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

MODESTO AP · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1927–2026

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 6°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

On average 1° warmer than normal (daily mean temperature).

+4°+2°SatOct 17
+5°+3°SunOct 18
+1°±0°MonOct 19
−1°TueOct 20
−2°−1°WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23

Keyes weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 10 h 56 min; Losing 2 min 11 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 22 min less
Golden hour: 5:39–6:31 PM; Morning 7:03–7:55 AM
Blue hour: 6:31–6:42 PM; Morning 6:53–7:03 AM; first light 6:53 AM

Stars tonight? Poor

Clouds most of the night (about 88% cover).

Moon

Waxing gibbous

91% lit · growing

Today: sets 4:35 AM · rises 4:47 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking east from Keyes. The highest point on the skyline is about 12,800 ft, 91 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.

Keyes, CA weather

Next 2 hours

Next 48 hours

Days ahead

The outlook

Today

Tomorrow

Sunday

Rest of week

What changed since yesterday

Radar

Rivers

Tuolumne River at Modesto

San Joaquin River at Patterson

Merced River at Stevinson

San Joaquin River at Newman

For your home

Heating this week

Heat-pump hours, next 7 days

Comfort

Open the windows?

Is this typical?

Oct 23, today vs a typical year

Last 7 days vs normal

Sun & moon

Sun

Stars tonight? Poor

Moon