Model estimate for 12:00 PM PDT (no recent station report)

Lake Elsinore, CA weather

Sunny and 70°21°.

Mostly agree

Now 70°21°

Sunny

Wind: 5 mph8 km/hgusts 11 mph17 km/h; From the northwest. Up to 10 mph16 km/h through 12 AM
Dew point: 47°8°; Comfortable
UV index: 5Moderate; Moderate until 4 PM
Air quality: 48Good; Main pollutant: PM2.5 (fine particles)

No precipitation expected in the next 2 hours.

From forecast models

Next 48 hours

Good hours for

High 75°24° today at 5 PM
Low 54°12° tomorrow at 7 AM
Above 70°21° tomorrow by 11 AM

This afternoonUp to 75°24° by 5 PM · Clear
TonightDown to 56°13° by 4 AM · Clear
Tomorrow morningUp to 72°22° by 11 AM · Clear
Tomorrow afternoonUp to 79°26° by 3 PM · Partly cloudy
Tomorrow nightDown to 58°14° by 4 AM · Partly cloudy
Monday morningUp to 75°24° by 11 AM · Clear

Hourly forecast, next 48 hours, in the place's local time
Hour	Conditions	Temperature	Feels like	Precipitation	Wind	Humidity	Cloud cover	UV index
Sat 12p	Sunny	70°21° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	71°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	43%	0%	5
Sat 1p	Sunny	72°22° (likely 72°22° to 77°25°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from N, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	41%	1%	5
Sat 2p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 73°23° to 78°26°)	74°23°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	37%	1%	5
Sat 3p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 74°23° to 79°26°)	74°23°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	38%	1%	3
Sat 4p	Sunny	74°23° (likely 73°23° to 78°26°)	75°24°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	38%	1%	2
Sat 5p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 71°22° to 76°24°)	75°24°	0%	10 mph16 km/h from NW, gusts 13 mph20 km/h	40%	1%	2
Sat 6p	Clear	72°22° (likely 68°20° to 72°22°)	72°22°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph18 km/h	47%	4%	0
Sat 7p	Clear	70°21° (likely 63°17° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 8 mph12 km/h	52%	6%	0
Sat 8p	Clear	68°20° (likely 60°16° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	56%	6%	0
Sat 9p	Clear	64°18° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	64%	1%	0
Sat 10p	Clear	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	69%	5%	0
Sat 11p	Clear	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph7 km/h	73%	0%	0
Sun 12a	Clear	60°16° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	76%	0%	0
Sun 1a	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph6 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 2a	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 59°15°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	78%	0%	0
Sun 3a	Clear	57°14° (likely 53°12° to 59°15°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	80%	3%	0
Sun 4a	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	82%	6%	0
Sun 5a	Clear	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 58°14°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	82%	9%	0
Sun 6a	Clear	55°13° (likely 52°11° to 57°14°)	55°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	83%	11%	0
Sun 7a	Sunny	54°12° (likely 51°11° to 56°13°)	54°12°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	84%	11%	0
Sun 8a	Sunny	57°14° (likely 54°12° to 58°14°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	82%	10%	0
Sun 9a	Sunny	61°16° (likely 61°16° to 63°17°)	61°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	74%	7%	1
Sun 10a	Sunny	66°19° (likely 66°19° to 69°21°)	66°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	58%	3%	3
Sun 11a	Sunny	72°22° (likely 71°22° to 74°23°)	72°22°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	42%	0%	4
Sun 12p	Sunny	75°24° (likely 74°23° to 77°25°)	75°24°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	36%	2%	5
Sun 1p	Sunny	76°24° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)	76°24°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	35%	40%	6
Sun 2p	Sunny	77°25° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	77°25°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 5 mph9 km/h	34%	40%	5
Sun 3p	Sunny	79°26° (likely 77°25° to 80°27°)	79°26°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 6 mph10 km/h	34%	41%	4
Sun 4p	Sunny	77°25° (likely 76°24° to 79°26°)	77°25°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 9 mph15 km/h	38%	45%	3
Sun 5p	Mostly sunny	77°25° (likely 73°23° to 77°25°)	77°25°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 11 mph17 km/h	41%	47%	1
Sun 6p	Clear	74°23° (likely 70°21° to 74°23°)	75°24°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 10 mph16 km/h	46%	42%	0
Sun 7p	Mostly clear	70°21° (likely 66°19° to 70°21°)	70°21°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from W, gusts 7 mph12 km/h	54%	45%	0
Sun 8p	Mostly clear	68°20° (likely 63°17° to 68°20°)	68°20°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 7 mph11 km/h	56%	61%	0
Sun 9p	Mostly clear	66°19° (likely 61°16° to 66°19°)	67°19°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 6 mph9 km/h	58%	69%	0
Sun 10p	Cloudy	65°18° (likely 59°15° to 65°18°)	65°18°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from NE, gusts 5 mph8 km/h	62%	71%	0
Sun 11p	Cloudy	64°18° (likely 58°14° to 64°18°)	64°18°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph7 km/h	66%	71%	0
Mon 12a	Mostly clear	62°17° (likely 57°14° to 62°17°)	62°17°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 3 mph5 km/h	68%	57%	0
Mon 1a	Mostly clear	61°16° (likely 56°13° to 62°17°)	61°16°	0%	5 mph8 km/h from E, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	69%	56%	0
Mon 2a	Mostly clear	60°16° (likely 56°13° to 61°16°)	60°16°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	70%	45%	0
Mon 3a	Clear	59°15° (likely 55°13° to 60°16°)	59°15°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	72%	30%	0
Mon 4a	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	72%	5%	0
Mon 5a	Clear	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 60°16°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 3 mph4 km/h	71%	0%	0
Mon 6a	Mostly clear	56°13° (likely 53°12° to 62°17°)	56°13°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	72%	2%	0
Mon 7a	Sunny	56°13° (likely 52°11° to 62°17°)	57°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	74%	0%	0
Mon 8a	Sunny	58°14° (likely 54°12° to 63°17°)	58°14°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph3 km/h	73%	0%	0
Mon 9a	Sunny	63°17° (likely 62°17° to 67°19°)	63°17°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 1 mph2 km/h	60%	0%	1
Mon 10a	Sunny	69°21° (likely 69°21° to 71°22°)	69°21°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 2 mph4 km/h	46%	0%	3
Mon 11a	Sunny	75°24° (likely 72°22° to 75°24°)	75°24°	0%	0 mph0 km/h, gusts 4 mph6 km/h	37%	0%	4

Days ahead

Shaded: typical range for these dates (1991–2020)

Today, Oct 24. Sunny. High 76°24°, low 54°12°. Typical 81°27° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 75°24°
  Dry
2. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 68°20°
  Dry
3. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 56°13°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Today: Sunny, with a high near 76. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight: Clear, with a low around 54. Northeast wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
74°23°–79°26°
Low, likely
51°11°–55°13°
Typical high / low
81°27° / 52°11°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 18 mph29 km/h
UV peak
6
Tomorrow, Oct 25. Mostly sunny. High 80°27°, low 56°13°. Typical 80°27° / 52°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 68°20°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 58°14°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 80. Northwest wind 0 to 5 mph.
Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56. North wind 0 to 5 mph.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–80°27°
Low, likely
51°11°–56°13°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 52°11°
Wind
9 mph14 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
6
Monday, Oct 26. Sunny. High 81°27°, low 53°12°. Typical 80°27° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 58°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 79°26°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°17°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 54°12°
  Dry
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 81. South wind 0 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Night: Clear, with a low around 53.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
77°25°–81°27°
Low, likely
53°12°–58°14°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 51°11°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 15 mph25 km/h
UV peak
5
Tuesday, Oct 27. Sunny. High 78°26°, low 54°12°. Typical 80°27° / 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 55°13°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Sunny, 77°25°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Clear, 62°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Clear, 53°12°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Sunny, with a high near 78.
Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
74°23°–80°27°
Low, likely
50°10°–56°13°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 51°11°
Wind
7 mph12 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Wednesday, Oct 28. Mostly cloudy. High 77°25°, low 54°12°. Typical 80°27° / 51°11°. Dry. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Sunny, 54°12°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 76°24°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 77.
Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
72°22°–78°26°
Low, likely
49°9°–54°12°
Typical high / low
80°27° / 51°11°
Wind
7 mph11 km/h
UV peak
5
Thursday, Oct 29. Mostly cloudy. High 73°23°, low 55°13°. Typical 79°26° / 51°11°. Dry. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 57°14°
  Dry
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Mostly sunny, 71°22°
  Dry
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 61°16°
  Dry
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Night: A slight chance of rain showers after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
67°19°–73°23°
Low, likely
54°12°–57°14°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 51°11°
Wind
9 mph15 km/h, gusts 17 mph28 km/h
UV peak
5
Friday, Oct 30. Showers. High 70°21°, low 53°12°. Typical 79°26° / 50°10°. Rain 0.05 in1.3 mm, 30% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  20% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Partly sunny, 66°19°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 58°15°
  30% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Drizzle, 54°12°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.4 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
Official NWS forecast
Day: A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 70.
Night: A chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
64°18°–70°21°
Low, likely
52°11°–57°14°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 50°10°
Wind
10 mph17 km/h, gusts 21 mph33 km/h
UV peak
4
Saturday, Oct 31. Drizzle. High 65°18°, low 53°12°. Typical 79°26° / 50°10°. Rain 0.09 in2.3 mm, 40% chance. Mostly agree.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 56°13°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 65°19°
  30% chance
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Cloudy, 58°14°
  40% chance
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Cloudy, 52°11°
  40% chance
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Mostly agreeIndependent forecasts are fairly close; small surprises are possible.
High, likely
63°17°–68°20°
Low, likely
50°10°–55°13°
Typical high / low
79°26° / 50°10°
Wind
6 mph10 km/h, gusts 16 mph26 km/h
UV peak
3
Sunday, Nov 1. Rain. High 69°21°, low 50°10°. Typical 78°26° / 50°10°. Rain 0.19 in4.8 mm, 40% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Cloudy, 55°13°
  30% chance
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Cloudy, 70°21°
  30% chance · 0.02 in0.6 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Rain, 57°14°
  30% chance · 0.16 in3.9 mm
4. Overnight
  midnight–6 AM
  Rain, 51°10°
  30% chance · 0.18 in4.7 mm
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
62°17°–77°25°
Low, likely
44°7°–57°14°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 50°10°
Wind
8 mph13 km/h, gusts 20 mph32 km/h
UV peak
4
Monday, Nov 2. Cloudy. High 67°19°, low 51°11°. Typical 78°26° / 50°10°. Rain 0.2 in5.1 mm, 30% chance. Forecasts differ.
1. Morning
  6 AM–noon
  Drizzle, 58°14°
  20% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
2. Afternoon
  noon–6 PM
  Drizzle, 67°20°
  30% chance · 0.01 in0.3 mm
3. Evening
  6 PM–midnight
  Mostly clear, 59°15°
  Dry
Hours this far out come from computer models only.
The National Weather Service writes about seven days ahead; this day is our model forecast only.
Forecasts differIndependent forecasts disagree; expect changes and plan for the range.
High, likely
61°16°–75°24°
Low, likely
45°7°–58°14°
Typical high / low
78°26° / 50°10°
Wind
10 mph16 km/h
UV peak
3

10 days15 days30 days

The outlook

Today
Dry, high 76°, low 54°.
Tomorrow
Dry, high 80°, low 56°, warming up.
Monday
Dry, high 81°, low 53°.
Rest of week
Highs 65–78°; chance of precipitation on Saturday.

Want the meteorologists’ reasoning? Read the NWS forecast discussion (SGX) (opens in a new tab)

What changed since yesterday

No meaningful changes from yesterday’s forecast.

Radar

Radar data: NOAA MRMS, rendered by forecast.blue

Radar loads when scrolled into view

Full-screen radar

Rivers

NOAA river gauges within 25 mi

Murrieta Creek at Temecula

18 mi

Level: 1.4 ft

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Santa Margarita River near Temecula

18 mi

Level: 2.0 ft
Flow: 19 cfs

Reading from Sat 10 AM · NWS gauge page

Temescal Creek near Corona

19 mi

Level: 2.1 ft

Reading from Sat 10:15 AM · NWS gauge page

Santa Ana River at MWD Crossing near Arlington

21 mi

Level: 4.0 ft
Flow: 67 cfs

Reading from Sat 11 AM · NWS gauge page

For your home

What this week’s weather means for heating, cooling, pipes and fresh air.

Cooling this week

About 77% more cooling than a typical week.

This week 7Typical 4

Cooling degree days, base 65°F

Comfort

Dry air outside (dew point 47°F).

Open the windows?

Today, 1:00 PM–12:00 AM

Good stretch to open the windows.

Is this typical?

ELSINORE · official normals 1991–2020 · records 1897–2026

Oct 24, today vs a typical year

Today’s expected high is 5°3° colder than typical.

Last 7 days vs normal

—SunOct 18
—MonOct 19
—TueOct 20
—WedOct 21
—ThuOct 22
—FriOct 23
—SatOct 24

Lake Elsinore weather by month: normals, records, snow and freeze dates

Sun & moon

Sun

Daylight: 11 h 3 min; Losing 1 min 57 s a day; shortest Dec 21, 1 h 8 min less
Golden hour: 5:30–6:20 PM; Morning 6:46–7:35 AM
Blue hour: 6:20–6:30 PM; Morning 6:36–6:46 AM; first light 6:36 AM

Stars tonight? Fair

Clear 6:30 PM–6:37 AM, but the moon is 99% lit and up.

Moon

Waxing gibbous

97% lit · growing

Today: sets 5:24 AM · rises 5:03 PM
Full moon: Oct 25
New moon: Nov 8

Looking northeast from Lake Elsinore. The highest point on the skyline is about 11,900 ft, 15 mi away.Skyline from USGS elevation data, heights drawn up to 6× taller. Sky, sun and moon as they are now.